Defence spending and economic growth in South Africa: A supply and demand model*

This paper provides a contribution to the growing corpus of knowledge and understanding of the interaction between economic growth and defence spending in South Africa by specifying a Keynesian simultaneous equation model and estimating the system for the period 1961 to 1997. The model contains a growth equation, a savings equation, a trade balance equation and a military burden equation and when estimated by single equation and systems estimation methods is relatively well specified. There is evidence of an overall negative effect of military spending on the economy over this period, though the significance of individual coefficients is low. There is certainly no evidence of any positive impact, suggesting that cuts in military spending do present an opportunity for improved macroeconomic performance.     

U.S. Troops and Foreign Economic Growth

By way of an evolutionary game model we show that mediation in international conflicts might be harmful to the conflicting parties. In fact, under anarchy both parties can be better off than under an international regime if mediation reduces the parties’ reactive capacities (i.e. their abilites to respond to an aggression). This result is applied to issues currently discussed in the literature on international relations such as the role of the United Nations as a mediator of international conflicts.     

Defence Enterprise Surveys On Market Outlets: The Case Of Slovenia

This article presents the results of an empirical survey of Slovenian defence enterprises focusing on three segmented geographic market outlets: the domestic market, the other European Union (EU-26) markets and the global markets. In the enterprise surveys are included around two-thirds of the domestic defence enterprises of different sizes and activities. The Slovenian defence enterprises by production, supply-in-return, subcontracting, middleman and trader activities in the defence marketing chains are mostly specializing towards the businesses on the domestic market. Rare enterprises are specialized exclusively for activities on the EU-26 markets and the global markets.     

钨球破片对相控阵雷达天线的冲击损伤仿真

利用非线性动力分析软件LS-DYNA 3D,建立了钨球破片在击穿相控阵雷达天线部件下的毁伤仿真模型.对不同初速度的钨球破片以45°入射角对天线等效靶板的侵彻进行仿真分析,得到了钨球破片整个侵彻作用全过程的完整图像和主要数据.通过对结果图像与数据的分析得出:随着钨球破片初速度增大,剩余速度也会随之增大、击穿靶板所需杀伤动能变大、靶板质量损失变大.结论为相控阵雷达天线的战损快速评估与平时修理提供了科学的依据和参考.     

车载多接入边缘网络中联合资源分配和动态任务卸载方案

针对车联网中车辆移动速度过快产生的任务卸载失败问题,设计了一个有效的任务卸载风险评估模型,并提出了联合资源分配的动态任务卸载方案。将时间、能耗和风险共同建模为系统效用,通过联合优化卸载决策、资源分配来最大化系统效用。优化问题被公式化为混合整数非线性规划,在给定卸载决策的情况下,利用凸优化技术解决计算资源分配问题,功率分配通过分式规划技术来优化。仿真分析了车辆移动性对系统效用的影响,证明了所提方案的合理性。     

面向时空交通栅格流量预测的3D通道注意力网络

城市交通流量预测对交通管理和公共安全具有重要意义。然而,交通栅格流量数据中的规律在时刻变化,在城市中存在全局范围的时空间关系,并且不同特征通道在每个城市区域上有不同的重要性。为解决这些挑战并做出更准确的预测,设计了一种新颖的时空神经网络模型——3D通道注意力网络(three-dimensional channel-wise attention networks,3D-CANet)。提出一个3D通道内注意力(three-dimensional inner channel attention,3D-InnerCA)单元来动态捕获各个通道中不同的全局时空相关性,同时设计通道间注意力(inter channel attention,InterCA)单元来自适应地重校准每个区域上不同特征通道的贡献。在3个真实交通栅格流量数据集上的实验结果表明,3D-CANet模型的预测能力优于其他对比方法,证明了模型的有效性。     

关于实施2＋6工程推进防消结合的思考

从消防安全“两个能力”建设和灭火救援“六熟悉”工作入手,积极探索防火、灭火工作的互动、结合,形成建设“2 6”工程、推进防消结合的工作构想。着重就“2 6”工程的内涵、意义以及实施“2 6”工程的基本设想进行详细阐述,主要目的是通过分析实施“2 6”工程的必要性、可行性,评估工程效果,为实施“2 6”工程提供依据。     

关系数据库规范化设计理论探析

数据库设计是数据库应用领域的主要研究课题,是继需求分析后的一个非常重要的环节。关系数据库设计的重点难点就是数据库的规范化理论,必须深入透彻的理解规范化理论,才能设计出一个高质量的数据库。根据数据库设计理论和应用要求,通过通俗易懂的实例详尽地说明了1NF、2NF、3NF和BCNF在数据库设计中的具体操作步骤和方法,对于数据库设计有重要的指导意义。     

CeO2对NiCrBSi合金激光熔覆层滑动摩擦磨损性能的影响

采用NdYAG激光器,在45CrNi钢表面制备了添加有0、0.4%、0.8%和1.2?O2的NiCrBSi合金熔覆层.在MM-200环块摩擦磨损试验机上分别检测了4种熔覆层的滑动摩擦磨损性能.测试结果表明 经CeO2强化后熔覆层的耐磨性提高,摩擦因数略有下降.利用SEM分析磨损表面形貌可知未加入CeO2的熔覆层对应的磨损机理是显微切削;加入1.2?O2熔覆层的磨损表面光滑,显微切削造成的沟槽明显减少.上述试验结果与熔覆层显微组织密切相关.     

多视图三角化中特征点噪声尺度的自适应估算

鲁棒性多视图三角化方法通常借助重投影误差经验阈值来剔除图像对应中的错误匹配,该经验阈值的选取直接影响三维重构场景点的数量和精度。在分析图像特征点定位噪声及对极传递几何原理的基础上,建立对极传递过程不确定性的传递模型,提出一种基于核密度估计的最优噪声尺度估算方法,并将该噪声尺度作为多视图三角化中错误匹配筛选的依据。实验结果表明,该方法可以获得准确的噪声尺度估计,从而有效提升多视图三角化方法的三维重构质量。