浅谈“B-2”隐身战略轰炸机

把注意力集中于首次使用于科索沃战争中的B-2战略轰炸机,对其隐身性能、突防能力及其使用弱点进行了研究,并对B-3战略轰炸机的发展作了分析.     

基于Gauss伪谱法的空空导弹最优中制导律设计

研究Gauss伪谱法在空空导弹最优中制导律设计中的应用。建立空空导弹中制导律设计问题最优控制模型,首次提出采用Gauss伪谱法求解最优中制导律设计问题的思路,详细阐述了求解流程,通过仿真算例验证了求解方法的有效性,并同比例导引、打靶法等传统方法进行了对比。仿真结果表明,综合考虑性能指标、计算精度、计算效率等因素,Gauss伪谱法具有明显优势,Gauss伪谱法求解结果和求解效率与配点个数密切相关。研究结果为空空导弹中制导律设计提供理论参考。     

基于搜索论的远程反舰导弹搜捕概率建模方法

针对传统捕捉概率模型难以满足远程反舰导弹机动搜捕概率建模计算的问题,提出利用搜索论进行导弹机动搜捕概率计算的建模方法。该方法根据目标机动规律建立其分布概率密度函数,并依据末制导雷达发现目标概率的"倒四次方律"及弹目相对运动轨迹,构建其探测函数,通过求取两者之积的积分实现搜捕概率计算。计算结果显示:若远程反舰导弹不采取机动搜捕策略,目标指示误差增加1km时搜捕概率降低0.47,目标速度增加10节时搜捕概率降低0.3,末制导雷达搜索半径减小50%时搜捕概率降低0.3;若采取平行搜捕策略,上述因素对其影响大幅下降。可见,该方法综合考虑了目标机动规律、传感器探测规律、导弹搜捕策略,可实现远程反舰导弹机动搜捕概率的解算。     

空舰导弹航路规划攻击角度与发射距离选择仿真分析

如何使用空舰导弹突击具有区域防空能力水面战斗舰艇是对海突击战斗的重点、难点问题之一,从分析使用空舰导弹突击水面舰艇战斗过程入手,归纳了导弹航路规划中需要考虑的各种关键要素,并对各要素进行简要的分析,根据分析建立舰空导弹拦截过程的数学模型,并使用matlab编制仿真程序进行计算,根据计算结果对航路规划问题中空舰导弹进入方向与发射距离之间的关系进行探讨。     

基于动态模板匹配的非接触超声弹体厚度测量方法

为了实现某弹体在车削加工过程中弹体厚度的自动测量,采用喷水式的非接触超声检测方法,利用弹体和刀架的匀速旋转和移动,在工控机的控制下实现弹体的全面检测。通过动态模板匹配的超声回波处理方法计算出弹体各检测位置的厚度值。检测结果表明,该检测方法的检测精度可达到0.1 mm。     

BP神经网络的弹道导弹态势等级模型

针对弹道导弹的目标特性和作战特点,对主要态势指标进行了提取,构建了基于BP神经网络的态势等级模型,并按照区间对预警等级进行划分。为提高模型的准确性和适应性,通过样本数据对BP网络进行了训练,并进行了仿真得到了态势等级。仿真结果表明:利用BP神经网络对态势等级进行研究是可行的。     

The symbolic politics of ballistic missile defense: seeking the perfect defense in an imperfect world

Ballistic missile defense (BMD) politics present an interesting evolution in how the USA, especially Congress, has come to think about BMD both as operational reality and as a symbolic policy. The argument here is that BMD's operational reality is increasingly overshadowed by its symbolic aspects. Such a status arose from rapidly changing international and domestic politics. The end result is a situation in which BMD policy in a sense floats above the question of its actual combat effectiveness. Its primary mission in part is sustaining US capacity to remain a global power and support its allies.     

Country Survey XIII: Japan's security posture and defense industry prospects

Defense budgets in Japan have been complicated compromises from numerous inputs ‐ including threat perceptions, domestic industrial/technological base development, support for the bilateral security treaty with the United States and internal bureaucratic politics ‐ but with the fall of the former Soviet Union, the clearest justification for higher spending disappeared. Double‐digit defense spending increases that were common in the 1980s have been replaced by annual increases lower than present inflation rates, resulting in negative real growth in the country's defense budget. Domestic economic problems and consistent government pressures for smaller budgets have further slowed annual growth in total spending and have contributed to lower procurement budgets. As a result, the domestic Japanese defense industry is facing far more constrained conditions from the growth years of a decade before.

Government policymakers are examining Japan's regional security environment as well as its alliance with the United States to determine the appropriate course for the country to take in the coming years. The formal security treaty with the United States is likely to remain a major element of government positions, but other aspects of the country's overall security posture are open to debate. Perceptions of a reduced threat environment are fueling additional pressures for defense budget cuts.

The domestic defense industry seeks means to assure its survival in domestic defense markets in this constrained environment. Expansion into overseas markets to offset declining domestic markets is an option that currently is constrained by policy restrictions on arms exports. Industry is advocating re‐examination of those policies and unlike earlier years, government appears willing to respond positively but cautiously to this lobbying.     

NATO Territorial Ballistic Missile Defense and its Implications for Arms Control

ABSTRACT

Since 2002, NATO's territorial missile defense has evoked continuous debates between NATO states and the Russian Federation. Thirteen years have passed without reaching a common denominator. This article provides a comprehensive overview of the historical background of the debate and the technical details of the missile defense system, highlighting its shortcomings and the state of its deployment process. It also contrasts the military-technical and political arguments of both sides, before addressing the applicable norms of international law to highlight violations and the effect of this noncompliance on existing arms control measures.     

考虑目标微多普勒频移的反导雷达配置模型

针对采用微多普勒频移识别目标的反导雷达,对其配置问题进行研究,以便更好地发挥其目标识别能力。首先,利用雷达性能参数,计算出要探测某一弹道时的雷达可配置区;其次,分析目标微多普勒频移对目标识别可能性的影响,以雷达覆盖区和高概率识别区的最大化为目标建立雷达的配置模型;最后,通过仿真分析发现通过调节雷达覆盖区与高概率识别区的权重,可以得到针对不同作战需求时的雷达配置方案。