Waypoint analysis for command and control

Command and Control (C2) in a military setting can be epitomized in battles‐of‐old when commanders would seek high ground to gain superior spatial‐temporal information; from this vantage point, decisions were made and relayed to units in the field. Although the fundamentals remain, technology has changed the practice of C2; for example, enemy units may be observed remotely, with instruments of varying positional accuracy. A basic problem in C2 is the ability to track an enemy object in the battlespace and to forecast its future position; the (extended) Kalman filter provides a straightforward solution. The problem changes fundamentally if one assumes that the moving object is headed for an (unknown) location, or waypoint. This article is concerned with the new problem of estimation of such a waypoint, for which we use Bayesian statistical prediction. The computational burden is greater than an ad hoc regression‐based estimate, which we also develop, but the Bayesian approach has a big advantage in that it yields both a predictor and a measure of its variability. © 2004 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2004     

装备研制中的Bayesian网及其应用

针对装备研制过程中产生的大量试验和调试数据,提出采用Bayesian网挖掘各组成单元间的依赖关系,并对Bayesian网学习中基于信息论的方法进行了改进,使确定网络拓扑结构的过程更加客观.学习得到Bayesian网后,分析了其在失效源判定和发现设计缺陷等方面的应用.     

未知非线性系统的神经网络建模与控制仿真研究

针对一类未知非线性系统的建模与控制问题,采用基于神经网络的多步预测控制算法进行了仿真研究,仿真对象选取控制工程界常用的单摆试验装置.该算法的实现步骤为:获取系统开环试验数据;辨识神经网络正向动态模型;设计非线性优化控制律.仿真研究结果表明,所提出的建模与控制方法是有效的.     

具有变时滞的离散型随机BAM神经网络的稳定性

研究一类具有变时滞的离散型随机BAM神经网络。通过构造Lyapunov泛函以及线性矩阵不等式（LMI）,得出了离散系统全局渐近稳定的充分条件。     

基于弱多径覆盖的虚电路恢复策略研究

虚电路技术可以为Ad Hoc网络中的节点提供面向连接的服务。然而,由于拓扑动态性等特征,Ad Hoc网络中的虚电路容易断开,从而导致业务时延、时延抖动增大甚至通信中断等问题。为此文章提出了一种基于弱多径覆盖的虚电路恢复策略,通过将虚电路机制与弱多径覆盖多径策略相结合,可以有效地减少虚电路恢复时间和需要重新预约资源的节点的数量。理论分析和仿真结果表明了该方法的有效性。     

基于小波包变换和BP网络的齿轮箱故障诊断

利用小波包分析提取出齿轮箱在各种工况下振动信号的有效成分,根据时频域特点提取比较典型的特征参量,利用改进的BP网络进行训练,根据训练结果判别齿轮箱的故障状态。     

一种网络设备告警事件纵向关联方法的设计与实现

现有的网络事件关联系统主要存在以下不足:各被管设备感知的大量告警事件全部传送到管理端处理,会带来很多传输与事件管理问题;现有的网络事件关联方法很不成熟,一般只涉及底层协议告警事件的关联.在分析网络告警与故障关系的基础上,提出了一种在设备这一级驻留代理,采用贝叶斯网络推理技术完成包括应用层告警事件在内的本地告警事件纵向关联方法.并在描述协议栈各层协议实体模型的基础上,给出了利用AdventNet API和ebayes进行系统具体实现的方法.     

A generalization of the weighted set covering problem

We study a generalization of the weighted set covering problem where every element needs to be covered multiple times. When no set contains more than two elements, we can solve the problem in polynomial time by solving a corresponding weighted perfect b‐matching problem. In general, we may use a polynomial‐time greedy heuristic similar to the one for the classical weighted set covering problem studied by D.S. Johnson [Approximation algorithms for combinatorial problems, J Comput Syst Sci 9 (1974), 256–278], L. Lovasz [On the ratio of optimal integral and fractional covers, Discrete Math 13 (1975), 383–390], and V. Chvatal [A greedy heuristic for the set‐covering problem, Math Oper Res 4(3) (1979), 233–235] to get an approximate solution for the problem. We find a worst‐case bound for the heuristic similar to that for the classical problem. In addition, we introduce a general type of probability distribution for the population of the problem instances and prove that the greedy heuristic is asymptotically optimal for instances drawn from such a distribution. We also conduct computational studies to compare solutions resulting from running the heuristic and from running the commercial integer programming solver CPLEX on problem instances drawn from a more specific type of distribution. The results clearly exemplify benefits of using the greedy heuristic when problem instances are large. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005     

基于贝叶斯网络的空中目标意图识别方法

针对空中目标意图识别问题,对防空作战中的战场事件进行了分类定义,根据事件之间的关联关系,提出了基于贝叶斯网络的空中目标意图识别方法,在此基础上,给出了网络模型的构建和推理方法,最后以一个示例说明了方法的有效性。     

L+1容错恢复策略在复杂军事网络中的应用仿真

以标准3×3网格为基础网络,介绍了L+1容错恢复策略的概念和恢复原理,以海上舰艇编队作战系统网络为研究对象,使用Matlab-Simulink仿真工具,通过对阻塞概率、平均路径长度、路径重新分配概率和有效利用率4个指标的仿真,对比了该网络在无策略、备份多路和L+1容错恢复3种策略下网络的恢复程度,验证了L+1容错恢复策略的有效性和可行性。