Predictability of operational processes over finite horizon

Operational processes are usually studied in terms of stochastic processes. The main information measure used for predictability of stochastic processes is the entropy rate, which is asymptotic conditional entropy, thus not suitable for application over a finite horizon. We use the conditional entropy to study the predictability of stochastic processes over the finite horizon. It is well‐known that the conditional entropies of stationary processes decrease as the processes evolve, implying that, on average, their pasts become more informative about prediction of their future outcomes. Some important operational processes such as martingale, models for maintenance policies, nonhomogeneous Poisson, and mixed Poisson processes are nonstationary. We show that as a nonstationary process evolves, it may provide more information or less information about the future state of the system. We develop results for comparing the predictability of stochastic processes. © 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2011     

空域频域不确定条件下电磁探测卫星规划方法研究

电磁探测卫星对区域目标的覆盖搜索在反恐及海上搜救等领域发挥着重要作用.针对电磁探测卫星区域搜索任务中存在的空域频域不确定性,构建了电磁探测卫星区域搜索问题(EDSASP)中不确定因素的量化描述模型及决策要素模型,提出了基于贝叶斯决策的电磁卫星任务规划方法,并以信息探测收益和前端截获收益为优化目标,建立了空域频域不确定条...     

基于复杂网络理论的军事力量部署研究

运用复杂网络理论,将军事力量部署进行网络拓扑化,通过分析计算网络关键节点的组成来研究军事力量在空间部署的合理性。在定义了军事力量部署网络拓扑化后的关键节点概念的基础上,提出了基于网络节点度和介数综合数学模型来评价网络节点关键度量值数学模型及基本算法流程,并运用案例进行了计算分析。     

适用于传感器网络战场监视系统的无锚点定位算法

针对传感器网络在军事领域的应用。本文提出一种适用于战场监视系统的三维无锚点自定位算法。该算法首先对布撒后的全网节点进行不基于地理信息的分簇算法,缩短了全网坐标建立的启动时间。当簇头节点能量将消耗尽时,再进行基于地理信息的分簇算法更新簇头节点。采用OFDM测距方法后,减小了节点间的测距误差。仿真实验表明,传感器网络鲁棒性较高,在区域为400m×400m×50m的三维空间内,随机放置200个节点,其平均定位误差为0.64%,满足战场传感器监视系统的要求。     

战场通信网络战时抗毁性初探

以战时应用为背景研究了战场通信网络的战时抗毁性定义,分析了影响抗毁性的可能因素,提出了基于干线节点密度变化、网络可通性度量及网络流量变化等的战场通信网络战时抗毁性评价指标,并提出了提高军用通信网络战时抗毁性的可能措施和方法。     

基于神经网络的舰船目标识别研究

为了实现对水下目标的识别,在现有特征提取方法的基础上,提出了一种从DEMON谱线谱和DEMON谱连续谱提取的特征方法,并设计了一个基于BP神经网络和多神经网络分类识别器的舰船目标识别系统。通过对实际舰船噪声目标进行识别,识别效果比较满意。这对舰船目标识别的发展具有一定的参考价值。     

信度函数在作战效能分析中的运用

针对某些作战效能指标由于与人的行为等因素关系密切而难以量化,运用信度函数探索不确定评价问题。通过建立信度函数模型把指标评价建模为信度函数,并应用登普斯特(Dempster)规则转化为mass函数合成为上层指标进行综合评价。经过实例分析,信度函数模型尤其对战时在考虑指挥员的指挥艺术及士兵士气等非确定性因素的情况下,对作战效能的评估是十分有效的,从而为决策者的作战决策提供一定辅助作用。     

BP神经网络和D-S证据理论的目标识别

目标识别是指挥自动化系统的一个重要组成部分,针对现代战争对抗手段不断增强的特点,运用BP神经网络和D-S证据理论探索作战飞机机型的识别方法.前端采用3层BP神经网络结构,以传感器接收数据为输入,以神经网络输出作为证据,后端对不同传感器的证据按D-S理论进行融合,得到待识别目标的识别概率.经由MATLAB编程对国内外几种主要机型的识别进行仿真研究,与现行目标识别方法相比较,能够更快速、准确、可靠地识别飞机目标,较好地满足了空战中作战指挥系统对飞机机型识别的需求.     

一种新的MIMO非线性系统动态解耦控制方法

提出了一种基于回归小波网络(recurrent wavelet networks)的多输入多输出系统(multi-input multi-output)动态解耦控制的新方法.该方法为分散式控制结构,采用回归小波网络作为解耦辨识器(decoupling identifier),在线动态辨识、回馈对应输入输出的灵敏度信息(sensitivity information),PID神经网络控制器根据回馈信息实现自适应分散独立控制.小波函数的紧支性、波动性以及回归网络较强的动态非线性映射能力使得回归小波网络具有较好的综合性能.仿真结果表明,用该方法构成的控制系统解耦效果好,收敛速度快,且具有较好的鲁棒性.     

A new energy efficient management approach for wireless sensor networks in target tracking

This paper mainly studied the problem of energy conserving in wireless sensor networks for target tracking in defensing combats. Firstly, the structures of wireless sensor nodes and networks were illustrated; Secondly, the analysis of existing energy consuming in the sensing layer and its calculation method were provided to build the energy conserving objective function; What's more, the other two indicators in target tracking, including target detection probability and tracking accuracy, were combined to be regarded as the constraints of the energy conserving objective function. Fourthly, the three energy conserving approaches, containing optimizing the management scheme, prolonging the time interval between two adjacent observations, and transmitting the observations selectively, were introduced; In addition, the improved lion algorithm combined with the Logistic chaos sequence was proposed to obtain sensor management schemes. Finally, simulations had been made to prove the effectiveness of the proposed methods and algorithm.