考虑验前信息可信度时的Bayes估计

研究了考虑验前信息可信度时的验前分布和Bayes估计算法,给出了正态总体参数的Bayes估计方法。以导弹落点散布的估计为例,说明了考虑验前信息可信度时Bayes估计有明显的改善,即具有更好的可信度。     

一种新的非线性/非高斯滤波方法

自主滤波方法是一种递归式贝叶斯估计方法 ,该方法采用一组抽样值来近似目标状态的概率密度函数 ,可用于非线性系统模型和观测模型、非高斯观测噪声条件下的滤波。将该算法与扩展卡尔曼滤波方法进行了比较 ,仿真结果表明 ,该算法性能优于扩展卡尔曼滤波方法     

神经网络在声纳目标识别中的研究进展

综述了神经网络在声纳信号预处理、目标特征提取及其自动分类方面的研究进展,简要分析了神经网络模型的特点和在应用中的局限性。并对该领域的发展趋势提出了自己的看法。     

基于BP 网络与D-S理论相结合的点目标状态下卫星及其伴飞诱饵的识别方法

本文提出的点目标状态下卫星及其伴飞锈饵的识别方法是基于ＢＰ网络与Ｄ－Ｓ理论相结合的信息融合方法。该方法采用目标的红外辐射特征,先用ＢＰ网络对目标进行粗分类,然后用Ｄ－Ｓ理论对ＢＰ网络的多次识别结果进行融合。仿真实验结果表明,Ｄ－Ｓ理论的最后输出比ＢＰ网络的输出识别率得到很大的改善,抗噪能力得到很大的提高     

数字调制信号的神经网络识别方法

提出数字调制信号的人工神经网络识别方法，从信号幅度、相位、频率及功率谱等特性中提取五种特征参数，用于训练神经网络对数字调制信号的识别。采用神经网络，不仅可提高识别的智能化，而且能提高正确识别率。     

无线自组织网络跨层攻击检测博弈模型

无线自组织网络中的跨层攻击具有比单层攻击更强的隐蔽性、更好的攻击效果或更低的攻击成本.为了检测无线自组织网络中的跨层攻击,提出了一种基于博弈论的攻击检测模型.由于攻击不可避免地会对各协议层的参数造成影响,因此模型从协议层攻防博弈的角度,建立起相应的策略矩阵和支付矩阵,并通过均衡分析得到该模型的混合策略纳什均衡解.仿真结...     

Disruption management in production planning

We study the problem of recovering a production plan after a disruption, where the disruption may be caused by incidents such as power failure, market change, machine breakdown, supply shortage, worker no‐show, and others. The new recovery plan we seek after has to not only suit the changed environment brought about by the disruption, but also be close to the initial plan so as not to cause too much customer unsatisfaction or inconvenience for current‐stage and downstream operations. For the general‐cost case, we propose a dynamic programming method for the problem. For the convex‐cost case, a general problem which involves both cost and demand disruptions can be solved by considering the cost disruption first and then the demand disruption. We find that a pure demand disruption is easy to handle; and for a pure cost disruption, we propose a greedy method which is provably efficient. Our computational studies also reveal insights that will be helpful to managing disruptions in production planning. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005.     

An approximate planning model for distributed computing networks

We develop an approximate planning model for a distributed computing network in which a control system oversees the assignment of information flows and tasks to a pool of shared computers, and describe several optimization applications using the model. We assume that the computers are multithreaded, and have differing architectures leading to varying and inconsistent processing rates. The model is based on a discrete‐time, continuous flow model developed by Graves [Oper Res 34 (1986), 522–533] which provides the steady‐state moments of production and work‐in‐queue quantities. We make several extensions to Graves' model to represent distributed computing networks. First, we approximately model control rules that are nonlinear functions of the work‐in‐queue at multiple stations through a linearization approach. Second, we introduce an additional noise term on production and show its use in modeling the discretization of jobs. Third, we model groups of heterogeneous computers as aggregate, “virtual computing cells” that process multiple tasks simultaneously, using a judiciously selected control rule. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005.     

基于FNNs的闭式循环柴油机配氧前馈控制策略研究

配氧控制是闭式循环柴油机(CCD)系统的关键技术之一,为改善其动态特性,在 PID反馈控制的基础上,设计了基于模糊神经网络(FNNs)模型的前馈控制器,并采用 PID反馈控制输出信号作为网络训练的误差信号,使模糊神经网络逐步具有前馈补偿能力,从而能够有效对负荷扰动进行及时补偿.仿真结果表明,采用FNNs前馈控制器后,可以有效改善氧气控制的动态特性,并且具有快速的学习速度和很强的适应能力.     

基于特征融合的刀具磨损监测方法

提出了一种基于特征融合的刀具磨损监测方法,将该方法应用于铣刀磨损监测取得了较好的效果,文中论述了特征融合方法的基本思想,多传感器信号的特征关联、抽取及正规化处理,作为融合中心的神经网络的构造及训练等内容。实验分析表明,该方法实现刀具磨损监测是行之有效的。