防空C~3I系统战前辅助决策的MADM模型及框架设计

存在于Ｃ３Ｉ系统中的决策是大量且复杂的。首先详细分析了野战防空Ｃ３Ｉ系统战前决策的五个基本内容;然后,根据多属性决策（ＭＡＤＭ）理论,提出了一种统一的战前辅助决策的ＭＡＤＭ模型,并从实际出发,给出了求解随机的ＡＤＭ问题的三个适用方法;最后讨论了辅助决策系统的枢架设计及实现方法。     

变结构C3I系统指控组织结构的建模与评估

指挥控制组织是Ｃ３Ｉ系统的核心,文章讨论了指控组织的Ｐｅｔｒｉ网建模方法,提出了一种变结构的指控结构模型,并与以往所采用的固定结构的模型相比较对其进行了性能评估     

利用区间着色 Petri 网的 C~3I 系统时延分析

Ｃ３Ｉ系统是一个复杂的分布式离散事件动态系统,适合于用Ｐｅｔｒｉ网来描述其异步,并发行的,而且Ｃ３Ｉ系统是一个时间准则系统,文中提出的区间着色Ｐｅｔｒｉ网非常适合于分析其严格时限,并给出计算时延上（下）界的算法。     

防空 C~3I 时分多址网络仿真系统

介绍了防空Ｃ３Ｉ时分多址网络仿真系统的结构、功能、原理和特点。     

系统的互操作性

阐明了确保互操作性的重要性,介绍了有关互操作性的标准及互操作性的鉴别与测试,并提出了确保互操作性的几点建议。     

Dynamic Winner-Take-All Conflict

This paper empirically investigates the importance of financial and political variables in determining debt rescheduling probabilities in Turkey for 1955–2000. The problem of sovereign debt default and rescheduling has been the subject of substantial academic research during the last two decades. There has been criticism of models of developing countries’ indebtedness and rescheduling that rely solely on some economic or financial predictors related to country debt, the foreign exchange sector or the domestic economic situation. Using probit analysis, this paper indicates that financial variables are important determinants of rescheduling probabilities. However, political variables are not significant in our models.     

Transnational terrorism as a spillover of domestic disputes in other countries

This paper models transnational terrorism as a three‐way strategic interaction involving a government that faces armed opposition at home, which may spill over in the form of acts of terrorism by the state's opponents against the government's external sponsor. The external sponsor also utilises deterrence against potential terrorists, which only lowers terrorism if terrorists are not intrinsically motivated by a deep‐seated sense of humiliation. The model highlights the importance of intrinsic motivation. A rise in the external power's preference for deterrence against terrorism may backfire in these circumstances. Increases in the government's military efficiency against the rebels, who are also terrorists against the government's sponsor, raises overall levels of violence.     

Defence Enterprise Surveys On Market Outlets: The Case Of Slovenia

This article presents the results of an empirical survey of Slovenian defence enterprises focusing on three segmented geographic market outlets: the domestic market, the other European Union (EU-26) markets and the global markets. In the enterprise surveys are included around two-thirds of the domestic defence enterprises of different sizes and activities. The Slovenian defence enterprises by production, supply-in-return, subcontracting, middleman and trader activities in the defence marketing chains are mostly specializing towards the businesses on the domestic market. Rare enterprises are specialized exclusively for activities on the EU-26 markets and the global markets.     

GNSS多系统联合的探月飞行器轨道定位分析*

为适应深空探测的应用需求,全球卫星导航系统对深空飞行器定位的可行性问题备受关注。针对探月飞行器月球公转轨道上的GNSS定位问题,以高轨道飞行器GNSS定位的研究为基础,采用多系统联合定位的方法进行仿真。分析了载波功率与噪声功率密度比为15dB-Hz的弱信号捕获门限下,各系统联合定位时波束主瓣和旁瓣的可用性,同时对各系统联合情况下的精度因子值进行分析。仿真结果表明：当接收到的卫星天线辐射的主瓣和旁瓣信号均高于载噪比门限时,全球卫星导航系统的三系统或四系统的联合能满足实时定位条件;而旁瓣损耗不加以补偿时,接收信号载噪比低于门限并导致任意联合方式均无法完成定位。各系统联合的精度因子分析表明：单系统或双系统联合的几何精度因子变化剧烈,四系统联合相比三系统联合的几何精度因子下降16.93%;三系统联合定位方案中,美国全球定位系统、中国的北斗卫星导航定位系统与欧洲的伽利略卫星导航定位系统联合方案的几何精度因子值变化最平稳,为最佳选择。理论分析和仿真结果为探月飞行器定位技术研究和星载多系统接收机设计提供参考。     

面向作战仿真的指控系统建模技术研究

重点研究指控系统的建模技术,建立了群指挥所、方面作战指挥所和平台指挥所三级指控系统的模型,并确立了三者之间的层次和控制的逻辑关系。从作战方案和战术响应两方面对指控系统进行"静态的"和"动态的"建模,实现了作战双方基于感知态势的闭环仿真。这些模型在海军某作战仿真系统中得到了应用,仿真实验表明该指控系统模型满足作战仿真系统的作战需求,能够提高作战仿真的真实性和合理性。