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This article considers the problem of monitoring Poisson count data when sample sizes are time varying without assuming a priori knowledge of sample sizes. Traditional control charts, whose control limits are often determined before the control charts are activated, are constructed based on perfect knowledge of sample sizes. In practice, however, future sample sizes are often unknown. Making an inappropriate assumption of the distribution function could lead to unexpected performance of the control charts, for example, excessive false alarms in the early runs of the control charts, which would in turn hurt an operator's confidence in valid alarms. To overcome this problem, we propose the use of probability control limits, which are determined based on the realization of sample sizes online. The conditional probability that the charting statistic exceeds the control limit at present given that there has not been a single alarm before can be guaranteed to meet a specified false alarm rate. Simulation studies show that our proposed control chart is able to deliver satisfactory run length performance for any time‐varying sample sizes. The idea presented in this article can be applied to any effective control charts such as the exponentially weighted moving average or cumulative sum chart. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 60: 625–636, 2013 相似文献
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本文作为原理性探讨,在一定实验的基础上,提出了一种利用CCD器件和模拟电路构成光电位敏探测器(PSD)的新方法.用此方法构成的PSD具有高于CCD空间分辨率的定位精度、较宽的线性工作范围和较高的动态响应速度,能够满足特殊场合的使用需要. 相似文献
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单硬件实现的高效电磁环境绘制适用范围更广;但是,并行光线投射绘制电磁环境时,其效率受硬件性能制约。在研究硬件限制并行光线投射效率的基础上,提出一种面向硬件制约的像素插值方法。当硬件限制并行光线投射绘制不能实时完成时,减少并行投射的光线数量,即部分图像像素由光线投射生成,其余像素插值生成。像素插值以图像质量换取执行效率,当图像更新停顿时重新使用光线投射生成插值获得的像素,以恢复图像内容。实验结果表明,低硬件配置条件下,像素插值能够大幅度提高绘制图像的生成效率。同时,对比多个体数据的绘制效果和误差统计得出:电磁环境数据场最适合使用像素插值方法。 相似文献
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基于湍流冲击振动的输油管道稳定性研究 总被引:3,自引:3,他引:0
要水流冲刷管底形成悬空管道,悬空管道假设为一端固定一端铰支的均质等截面简支梁。在分析管道垂直载荷对悬空管道临界长度影响的基础上,考虑到输油管道振动引起的动应力以及管道振动时的外部阻尼、管道轴向力和内压对管道的作用,对悬空管道进行受力分析,导出管道振动微分方程。以保证管道强度的安全可靠为判据,计算求出悬空管道的临界长度,以便预测管道失稳条件,并对其及时采取稳固及抢修措施。 相似文献
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邓玉良 《中国人民武装警察部队学院学报》2007,23(2):86-90
在分子结构理论中,杂化轨道理论在多原子分子的空间构型被实验确定后,能够根据一定的假设给出合理的解释;价层电子对互斥理论主要用于预测分子或离子的空间构型,但其假设有些生硬、推理不够严密,对VP与电子对空间构型之间关系的推导比较繁琐,不易理解,也不能很好地解释一些多原子分子(如PF5、IF7等分子)中存在键长不等的现象。两种理论在各自的领域都取得了很大的成功,也各有其不足之处,一直未能统一。价层轨道杂化理论正是在综合了这两种理论的优点之后得到的。该理论在假设较少———即假设中心原子的价层轨道在成键时都要发生杂化,该假设与实验事实完全相符———的前提下,利用立体几何学原理对多原子分子的空间构型进行了非常简洁的推导,其结果不仅可全部继承前两种理论的成功之处,而且还能解释多原子分子中出现的键长不同、存在异构体等现象,这是其独到之处,也是其创新之处。 相似文献
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《防务技术》2019,15(3):409-418
A three-stage theoretical model is presented herein to predict the perforation of a thick metallic plate struck normally by a long rod at high velocities. The model is suggested on the basis of the assumption that the perforation of a thick metallic plate by a long rod can be divided into three stages: (1) initial penetration; (2) plug formation and (3) plug slipping and separation. Various analytical equations are derived which can be employed to predict the ballistic limit, residual velocity and residual length of the long rod. It is demonstrated that the present model predictions are in good agreement with available experimental results for the perforation of finite steel targets struck normally by steel as well as tungsten alloy long rods at high velocities. It is also demonstrated that the dynamic maximum shear stress of a plate material has strong effect on plug formation and plug thickness which, in turn, exerts considerable influence on the residual velocities and lengths of a long rod at impact velocities just above the ballistic limit. 相似文献
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扼要介绍了闭式循环柴油机的原理,重点对其突破性技术-水处理系统进行了详细介绍,并分析了它的组成原理及实现,进一步探讨了降低系统噪音及系统中高压泵改进设计的问题. 相似文献
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为了研究钢壳体PELE爆裂效应与影响因素之间的数学关系,对钢壳体PELE侵彻钢板进行了数值仿真和试验。采用均匀设计法设计仿真工况,将仿真结果进行回归分析,得出爆裂效应与影响因素之间的数学关系式,实弹侵彻实验结果与仿真结果基本吻合。研究表明,影响因素均与壳体爆裂长度成非线性关系,增大靶板厚度、弹芯长度和着速或减小壳体厚度均有利于提高钢壳体的爆裂效应。相关结论为PELE的工程设计和应用提供了理论基础。 相似文献