基于贝叶斯网络的我国海上能源通道海盗袭击风险分析与实验评估

鉴于能源进口安全保障的重要性及迫切性,针对海上能源通道海盗袭击事件的不确定性与突发性,基于风险理论、贝叶斯网络、蒙特卡洛模拟等方法,建立了海上能源通道海盗袭击风险的量化评估模型,探索了快速、量化评估突发性事件的技术途径,旨在为保障我国能源进口安全提供时效性强、精确度高的决策依据。     

Deconsolidation and combustion performance of thermally consolidated propellants deterred by multi-layers coating

Both heating and solvent-spray methods are used to consolidate the standard grains of double-base oblate sphere propellants plasticized with triethyleneglycol dinitrate (TEGDN) (TEGDN propellants) to high density propellants. The obtained consolidated propellants are deterred and coated with the slow burning multi-layer coating. The maximum compaction density of deterred and coated consolidated propellants can reach up to 1.39 g/cm³. Their mechanic, deconsolidation and combustion performances are tested by the materials test machine, interrupted burning set-up and closed vessel, respectively. The static compression strength of consolidated propellants deterred by multi-layer coating increases significantly to 18 MPa, indicating that they can be applied in most circumstances of charge service. And the samples are easy to deconsolidate in the interrupted burning test. Furthermore, the closed bomb burning curves of the samples indicate a two-stage combustion phenomenon under the condition of certain thickness of coated multi-layers. After the outer deterred multi-layer coating of consolidated samples is finished burning, the inner consolidated propellants continue to burn and breakup into aggregates and grains. The high burning progressivity can be carefully obtained by the smart control of deconsolidation process and duration of consolidated propellants. The preliminary results of consolidated propellants show that a rapid deconsolidation process at higher deconsolidation pressure is presented in the dynamic vivacity curves of closed bomb test. Higher density and higher macro progressivity of consolidated propellants can be obtained by the techniques in this paper.     

雷达虚拟维修训练中交互系统的通用性

基于USB接口技术对"通用雷达装备虚拟维修训练系统(URVMTS)"的人机交互系统进行研究,通过合理的软、硬件设计实现了系统的通用性。不同的实装操作部件经过适当的信号调理均可以通过该系统方便地实现与雷达虚拟样机之间的交互。着重介绍了交互系统的通用性设计与实现方法,包括系统的通用性设计方案,USB硬件电路的通用性设计及相应的软件开发。     

DIS的多武器模拟器训练系统

现有的武器系统模拟器大多是对单个武器系统平台的性能仿真,利用DIS可以将它们联结成多武器平台的作战环境下的对抗仿真。在分析基于DIS的多武器系统模拟器训练系统的基础上,确定了系统的仿真框架,介绍了系统中通信的实现方法,并介绍了系统的工作过程。     

广义模型的音频分析方法

目前网络数据中包含有大量的多媒体数据,音频作为多媒体信息的重要载体之一,蕴涵了丰富的语义,有效地丰富和补充了人们对信息的感知和获取。而目前的多媒体检索主要利用的是常规的信息检索技术诸如视觉信息,往往忽略了音频信息,这已不能满足需要。音频信息检索就逐渐成为多媒体信息检索的研究重点之一。基于此,针对音频信息检索问题展开讨论,提出一种利用广义模型进行音频分析的新方法。该方法可应用到音频检索中,实验证明了该方法的有效性。     

基于有色Petri网的综电系统总线建模

针对运用解析法对战车电子系统总线进行建模和分析困难这一问题,运用CPN Tools工具构建了基于有色Petri网的综合电子系统总线模型,建立了总线性能仿真平台,对某型战车总线性能进行了分析。结果验证了基于CPN的战车综合电子系统总线建模的正确性与可行性。     

基于多层次Petri网的软件保障流程建模

软件保障流程分析是研究软件保障规律的重要手段。应用多层赋时变迁、随机Petri网技术,逐步细化建立了软件保障流程仿真模型,给出了各层次模型中库所和变迁的含义。结合模型的仿真分析,提出了用"软件使用保障时间比"作为评价软件保障性的参数,给出了软件使用保障时间比的计算方法,并就该计算方法所表达的意义同装备系统进行了比较,指出了软件使用与保障时间分配的特殊性。     

无源单站定位技术研究

无源定位技术已成为现代化战争中对抗"四大威胁"的关键技术。在研究目标来波方向(DOA)与多普勒频率的基础上,提出一种基于最小二乘估计的运动目标单站定位跟踪方法。经计算机仿真表明,该方法不仅能对运动目标进行定位,而且能对运动目标的速度、航迹等进行估计。     

一种基于LVQ的语音线谱对参数量化方法

在现有格型矢量量化(LVQ)方法的基础上,通过对线谱对(LSP)参数进行精度预处理,使其数值更接近于格点从而减少量化失真。仿真实现了改进方法,并采用MELP算法中4级MSVQ方法作为对比。得到的结果表明,较之MSVQ,LVQ量化LSP参数的精度提升了约90%的同时,合成语音的谱失真(SD)降低了约2/3,客观评估得分和近似MOS分略有提高。     

A general model of heterogeneous system lifetimes and conditions for system burn‐in

Burn‐in is a technique to enhance reliability by eliminating weak items from a population of items having heterogeneous lifetimes. System burn‐in can improve system reliability, but the conditions for system burn‐in to be performed after component burn‐in remain a little understood mathematical challenge. To derive such conditions, we first introduce a general model of heterogeneous system lifetimes, in which the component burn‐in information and assembly problems are related to the prediction of system burn‐in. Many existing system burn‐in models become special cases and two important results are identified. First, heterogeneous system lifetimes can be understood naturally as a consequence of heterogeneous component lifetimes and heterogeneous assembly quality. Second, system burn‐in is effective if assembly quality variation in the components and connections which are arranged in series is greater than a threshold, where the threshold depends on the system structure and component failure rates. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 50: 364–380, 2003.