Recursive weighted least squares estimation algorithm based on minimum model error principle

Kalman filter is commonly used in data filtering and parameters estimation of nonlinear system,such as projectile's trajectory estimation and control.While there is a drawback that the prior error covariance matrix and filter parameters are difficult to be determined,which may result in filtering divergence.As to the problem that the accuracy of state estimation for nonlinear ballistic model strongly depends on its mathematical model,we improve the weighted least squares method(WLSM)with minimum model error principle.Invariant embedding method is adopted to solve the cost function including the model error.With the knowledge of measurement data and measurement error covariance matrix,we use gradient descent algorithm to determine the weighting matrix of model error.The uncertainty and linearization error of model are recursively estimated by the proposed method,thus achieving an online filtering estimation of the observations.Simulation results indicate that the proposed recursive esti-mation algorithm is insensitive to initial conditions and of good robustness.     

应用抗差无迹卡尔曼滤波的再入弹道处理技术

针对现有无迹卡尔曼滤波在再入弹道处理中可能出现的异常观测、观测随机误差模型不准确以及动力学模型不合理等问题,在无迹卡尔曼滤波中引入自适应与抗差估计理论,研究适用于再入弹道处理的自适应抗差滤波方法。该方法可以自适应地估计测量噪声等价协方差阵和状态噪声等价协方差阵,并可实现异常值的分离和维纳模型方差的自适应调整。数值仿真结果表明:该方法计算简单,并能有效减弱测量误差和动力学模型误差对弹道处理精度的影响。     

任务分配与调度中遗传算子的设计

应用遗传算法等进化方法进行任务分配与调度为越来越多的计算机学者们所关注。基于任务排列的知识表示 ,常规的标准遗传操作算子并不总是有效的。好的遗传算子对算法收敛性及收敛到好点是非常重要的。在列表编码的知识表示基础上 ,设计了三个有针对性的遗传算子 ,即改进的交配算子、内部交配算子和一种作为变异的迁移算子。模拟实验结果与分析表明这些算子对任务分配与调度是有效的。     

基于多子网语言决策图的空管体系绩效评估

为评估空管体系综合绩效水平,制定了关键绩效领域和指标,提出基于多子网语言决策图的群体评估模型。采用多子网策略分析领域及指标间的影响关系,应用语言尺度辅助群体专家建立了领域及指标间的初始判断矩阵和影响连接矩阵。给出了模型的求解方法,在求得各子网内准则的全局权重后,聚合即可得到体系的综合评估值。案例分析表明,相比于不考虑领域及指标间影响的情况,模型结果能更客观、全面地展示各领域及指标的权重,更显著地揭示空管体系间的差距。     

基于卡尔曼滤波的单矢量水听器水中多目标方位跟踪

对单矢量水听器接收的声压和质点振速信息进行联合处理,采用量子粒子群求解声压和质点振速组成的非线性相关方程组,从而实现多目标声源方位的估计。对于低信噪比的情况,难免会引入较大的方位估计误差。采用最小二乘法对目标方位轨迹进行拟合并建立预测模型,然后通过卡尔曼滤波对单矢量水听器估计的目标方位轨迹进行优化。结果表明：单矢量水听器能够同时分辨多个目标方位,解算结果应用统计特性表示;信噪比越高,分辨率和精度越高,偏差越小;对于水中目标而言,1阶多项式足以进行方位轨迹拟合,再采用卡尔曼滤波能够有效提高目标方位跟踪精度。     

基于合作博弈的智能集群自主聚集研究

智能集群是指由大量智能体构成、采用自组织策略协作完成任务的群体。以无人车集群系统协同监视再入体着靶过程为任务背景,开展智能集群自组织策略的关键技术研究。设计了无人车集群执行再入体着靶协同监视的集群行为模式,提出了基于合作博弈的智能集群自组织策略,各智能体以实现群体聚集为“合作目标”,以降低自身能量消耗为“竞争目标”,开展博弈,基于微粒群算法规划局部路径,最终使群体系统涌现出聚集行为。仿真实验验证了设计的自主聚集策略的有效性。     

正交频分复用水声通信自适应调制算法

分析预估信道长度对信道估计算法的影响规律,提出利用水声通信均衡恢复信号统计量对信道估计质量评估的方法。通过信道长度自适应修正机制,实现对未知水声信道的高精度估计。针对水声信道造成的正交频分复用子载波特性差异,基于信道估计结果,提出在码元总速率、能量约束条件下,各个正交频分复用子载波速率、功率优化分配的自适应调制算法。与传统的等功率、速率分配算法相比,新算法能够显著提升水声通信系统的误码率性能,通过仿真和实地试验,验证了研究内容的有效性。     

一种高机动场景下的单快拍DOA估计算法

针对高机动场景下目标信号样本数据少,常规算法难以获取信号子空间的问题,提出一种基于改进协方差矩阵的单快拍DOA估计算法。所提算法首先对接收的单次采样数据做互相关预处理,利用预处理所得数据重构等效协方差矩阵,再基于MUSIC算法完成相干信号的DOA估计。在不损失阵列孔径的同时,算法保证了谱估计精度。计算机仿真表明,在样本量较小的情况下,所提算法能够有效估计出相干目标信号,较现有算法估计精度有所提高。     

Business and peace in the Niger Delta: what we know and what we need to know

The global restructuring of state–society relationships driven by neoliberal logic has not only allowed for the taming of the ‘state’, which has paradoxically accentuated its inadequacies, but has also facilitated, for better or for worse, the emergence of business – especially transnational corporations – as a major political force in global governance. Consequently, while the issues of peace and conflict have traditionally been the concern of governments, businesses are now increasingly being expected to make peace and conflict their concern. However, despite claims and counterclaims that businesses can be moneymakers and peacemakers, analyses of the relationship between business and peace remain largely embryonic. This paper seeks to contribute to this emerging business and peace debate by drawing on insights from the Niger Delta conflict to ascertain what we know and what we need to know if businesses are to become peacemakers in conflict zones in Africa.     

防空导弹制导系统一体化仿真系统框架

介绍了一种采用现代先进仿真技术思想、支持面向对象的建模与仿真、用于防空导弹全弹道飞行动态仿真的一体化仿真系统框架 ,详细说明了它的主要特点、构成及各部分的功能