It Takes Two to Tango: Autocratic underbalancing,regime legitimacy and China’s responses to India’s rise

What factors do autocracies evaluate when responding to perceived threats and why might they fail to balance appropriately? I posit that autocratic leaders may choose greater exposure to an external threat if, by doing so, it preserves regime legitimacy. Specifically, the desire to promote a positive image to one’s domestic public creates incentives to publicly downplay a rival’s military progress, which then affects the state’s ability to mobilize resources to respond to the growing threat. I test this theory in the case of China’s response to India’s military rise. This research contributes to balancing theory and empirical work on East Asian security.     

Was World War Two a Completely Just War?

ABSTRACT

According to Brian Orend’s binary political model, minimally just states possess a robust set of moral rights, while other states essentially exist in a moral vacuum in which they possess no moral rights. I argue that a more plausible comparative model would allow for a state to acquire (or lose) discrete moral rights as it improves (or damages) its moral record. This would generate a more accurate portrayal of both domestic policy within states and military conflict between states; including, in particular, the role of the Allied forces during World War Two.     

网络中心战中的战场感知能力量化模型研究*

为了定量评价和探索提高网络中心战中的战场感知能力的途径,针对网络中心战的特点,运用集合论、信息论、图论等理论研究了战场感知能力的量化问题.首先分析了影响战场感知能力的主要因素及其作用,然后对主要因素进行了量化建模,提出了传感器对指控节点的信息量贡献模型以及指控节点之间的信息量贡献模型,建立了指控网战场感知能力量化计算模型,最后通过仿真,验证了模型的有效性,说明了提高指控网战场感知能力的有效途径.     

多层次区域炮兵地面侦察配系效能的评估

为了评估由于侦察区域大、目标机动性强等特点而建立的炮兵地面侦察配系的效能,运用排队论方法,建立了侦察配系效能评估模型.该模型综合考虑了各种因素对侦察配系效能的影响,把侦察区域按照距离的远近划分为不同的范围来进行侦察配系的效能评估.当目标流的速率发生变化时,依然可以灵活运用该模型对侦察配系的效能做出准确的评估.以雷达侦察配系为例,论证了评估模型在侦察效能评估中的可行性,为侦察配系效能评估提供了可靠的分析方法.