基于制导武器的分布式半实物仿真系统研究

应导弹动态性能指标检验的迫切需求,开发了基于制导武器的分布式半实物仿真系统。充分利用仿真模型构建一体化思想,将整个半实物仿真系统按其功能划分成若干个网络节点,采用弹道仿真工作站集中式分布的星形结构进行分布式系统仿真。仿真软件借鉴Windows操作系统消息、事件驱动方式,采用客户/服务器运行机制,基于VC＋＋软件开发工具实现了半实物仿真系统中的数据采集、视景驱动的多线程开发,修正了视线角误差,从而确保了导弹动态性能检测精度;实现了导弹攻击过程可视化仿真,较准确地再现了制导武器在不同干扰条件下的攻击过程。     

基于案件模糊推理的试验装备采办风险控制研究

如何运用科学的手段选择正确的风险控制策略,是试验装备采办风险控制是否成功的关键和基础。针对试验装备采办风险控制进行了研究,分析了试验装备采办风险控制策略,建立了基于案例模糊推理的试验装备采办风险策略选择模型,研究结论有利于更好地识别和规避试验装备采办风险,提高试验装备采办效率。     

基于博弈论的装备采办成本控制问题研究

从武器装备采办的理论需求出发,以博弈论为理论工具,对武器装备采办过程中的生产成本控制问题进行了分析;建立了基于激励的生产成本控制模型,并对成本控制模型的特点进行了分析和解释;针对军方在激励合同执行过程中有可能出现的2类错误,对成本控制模型进行了优化。在非对称信息条件下,优化后的成本控制模型不但能有效减少2类错误的发生,而且可提高军方装备采办效用,减少代理方合同风险。     

基于博弈论的装备采购定价激励模型

不同的定价方式和定价参数的选择对于承包商会起到不同程度的激励作用。为提高装备采购效益,在承包商追求效用最大化假设的基础上,建立了装备采购完全信息动态博弈模型。对价格、成本、承包商努力程度和承包商效用之间的关系进行了研究,证明了成本分担和固定价格的定价方式能够有效激励承包商提高自身努力水平降低成本,并提出了2种定价方式的参数定量计算方法。     

装备保障性风险识别与分析技术研究

为了解决目前装备在保障性方面存在的问题,给出了可操作性强而且实用的保障性风险识别与分析的技术与方法。该方法包括保障性风险区域的确定,保障性风险判断准则的建立,保障性风险的量化,保障性风险的评定等,为保障性风险管理提供了有效的方法和手段,从而为提高装备战备完好性和作战能力提供了有力支持。     

美军装备采办中需求牵引与技术推动融合研究——以F-22战机为例

通过分析F-22项目中需求牵引和技术推动两大动力,指出美军的体制机制保障动力融合,采办文件明确动力融合,机构设置促使动力融合。总结出我国武器装备发展一是系统构建、综合权衡,二是瞄准实战、滚动评估,三是紧跟前沿、严控陷阱。     

Think again – supplying war: reappraising military logistics and its centrality to strategy and war

This article argues that logistics constrains strategic opportunity while itself being heavily circumscribed by strategic and operational planning. With the academic literature all but ignoring the centrality of logistics to strategy and war, this article argues for a reappraisal of the critical role of military logistics, and posits that the study and conduct of war and strategy are incomplete at best or false at worst when they ignore this crucial component of the art of war. The article conceptualises the logistics–strategy nexus in a novel way, explores its contemporary manifestation in an age of uncertainty, and applies it to a detailed case study of UK operations in Iraq and Afghanistan since 2001.     

The role and capabilities of major weapon systems transferred between 1950 and 2010: Empirical examinations of an arms transfer data set

Arms transfers provide exporters an avenue to provide security to other states while gaining economic benefits. Arms transfers provide importers an avenue to gain security without having to rely on alliances. Past research uses aggregate measures of the monetary or security value of major weapon system transfers without accounting for strategic differences in possible use in interstate and civil conflict. This article presents a data set on interstate transfers of major weapon systems between 1950 and 2010 building upon Stockholm Peach Research Institute’s Arms Trade Register with several improvements. First, it disaggregates land weapons and air weapons into categories reflecting their strategic capabilities. Second, model level characteristics (e.g. age, speed, and range) are drawn from Jane’s Defence sources. Additionally, the data set covers a larger range of time and states than previous data sets categorizing arms. To demonstrate the usefulness, this article first presents summary statistics of the data set and then replicates an earlier test to show that the effect of human rights and regime types on United States transfers differs across the categories of arms compared to alternative measures of arms transfers.     

二语习得中转喻思维能力发展策略

转喻是人类的一种认知机制。转喻思维是转喻实现过程中大脑的一种思考过程。转喻思维使二语习得者打开认知事物的思路,加强对二语潜在意义的理解,进而构建新的知识图式。在二语习得过程中可以通过转喻相邻和因果原则、利用英汉文化异同及转喻突显关系和转喻主体性特征来发展和提高二语习得者转喻思维能力。     

习得论对新疆汉语教学的意义

第二语言习得理论对新疆汉语教学有着重要启示。从输入假设和情感过滤假设出发具体讲述了克拉申理论对于新疆汉语有效教学的意义。通过对一线课堂的了解,进一步从理想的输入、要有足够的输入量、学生学习的动力、情感状态对于学生学习双语的重要性等方面反映出习得理论对于双语教学的意义。