基于置信规则库的防空目标意图识别方法

为解决防空反导体系对于目标意图识别中多源信息处理的问题,提出了一种新的防空目标识别方法——置信规则库(Belief Rules Base)识别模型,该方法是基于BRB专家知识系统的自学习方法,可以有效处理多源不确定性信息。同时,为了提高其识别效率,建立了一种与之相匹配的参数优化模型,并选择差分进化算法作为BRB识别模型的优化引擎。此外,在BRB识别模型中,专家意见也被引用到模型的初始化和推理过程中。最后采用一个实例对BRB识别模型的准确度进行验证。研究表明:该方法具有较强的实用性,可为防空反导体系的目标意图识别提供有力支撑。     

实时潜艇损管专家系统的设计与实现

介绍实时潜艇损管专家系统的设计与实现.该系统应用专家系统理论对潜艇损管训练及其在危险情况下进行损管决策领域的知识进行了建模,具有连续实时判断潜艇受损后的浮态和稳性以及制定损管决策方案和损管有效性检验功能.     

一种解决知识不相容的方法

介绍了知识库更新的基本概念,并且在命题知识库的范围内研究了知识库更新的方法,结合实际应用给出了一种特殊情况下知识不相容的判定方法。     

Trilateral defence cooperation in the North: an assessment of interoperability between Norway,Sweden and Finland

Norway, Sweden and Finland have proclaimed a willingness to cooperate militarily in a future crisis or conflict despite their diverging alliance affiliation. This article assesses their ability to do so through various elements affecting their interoperability, with Arctic Challenge, a multinational military exercise, as an empirical basis. The analysis finds that the NATO/non-NATO-divide has a negative impact on the trilateral defence cooperation, especially on exchange of information and aspects related to command and control. At the same time, Finland and Sweden have become largely NATO-standardized through their active partnership with the Alliance. This has affected interoperability aspects, such as communication, culture, and the compatibility of technical solutions, in a positive manner. Through agreements with the Alliance, as well as domestic legal changes, the two NATO-partners have facilitated receiving military assistance from Norway and other NATO-members during a crisis. Other agreements between the Nordic countries, however, have been limited to peacetime.     

More military base closure? Considering the alternatives*

Despite multiple base closing rounds, the United States Department of Defense still has excess base capacity, and thus President Trump and high-level Defense Department officials are calling for more base closure through the Base Realignment and Closure (BRAC) process. However, another BRAC may not be the optimal solution, because simple base closure is not an efficient way to reduce surplus base capacity. Thus, Defense Department officials should consider other methods to reduce surplus capacity, including reduction in base size, leasing excess base property, or transferring it to another government agency for a variety of alternative uses. The surplus capacity issue also offers an opportunity to DOD to reassess base utilization, to update base requirements with current and future force structure. While BRAC focuses on American military bases, the process and alternatives also have international applications.     

Country survey: Angola

This paper is a survey of Angola’s defence sector and policy from 1992, the year the civil war ended, to 2012. Angola achieved its independence upon the Popular Movement for the Liberation of Angola (MPLA) defeating National Union for the Total Independence of Angola. Since then, fuelled by its rich natural resources, the country has grown steadily. The MPLA military forces were a central factor behind independence and maintain their central role to this day. Moreover, Angola’s support for African peace with monitoring military missions is a clear indication that the country aims to intervene in African security and military issues, with its military capabilities funded by oil revenues.     

All or nothing? The EU Global Strategy and defence policy after the Brexit

The public expects European governments and the European Union (EU) to deal with the security challenges in and around Europe. So does the US, whose strategic focus has pivoted to the Pacific. Washington, DC has made it clear that it will not, and cannot, solve all of Europe’s problems. The call for ‘strategic autonomy’ in the new EU Global Strategy of June 2016 does not come a moment too soon. But should the aim be EU strategic autonomy, without the UK, or can the aspiration still be European strategic autonomy, with the UK? Can nothing be achieved unless all are fully involved? Or are intermediate solutions possible? How EU Member States and the UK answer these questions will determine which degree of strategic autonomy the EU can achieve. With which degree of British involvement. And whether the UK itself will be left with any measure of strategic autonomy.     

Military Spending and Growth: The Role of Institutions

Recent literature on whether military spending affects economic growth argues that the relationship may be a conditional one. We add to this literature by considering the role that ‘good institutions’ play in the effect of military spending on growth. Using data from a sample of over 100 countries from 1988 to 2010, our analysis suggests that the effect of military spending on growth is generally negative or zero at best, and this effect is mitigated in the presence of good economic and political institutions.     

一种故障诊断专家知识库编辑和维护系统

设计了一种适用于火控系统的故障诊断专家知识库编辑和维护系统。从诊断对象的结构和功能原理出发,提出了一种对象式框架知识表示方法。该方法将诊断对象的原理知识统一为一种形式,简化了知识表示的复杂度。该系统分别建立对象式框架的状态、测试、规则、维修、图表等知识项,利用这些知识项建立系统的知识库。还对系统的可视化实现和功能进行了说明。实践表明该方法可以提高系统的直观性、简洁性,提高人机交互能力。     

Texture evaluation in AZ31/AZ31 multilayer and AZ31/AA5068 laminar composite during accumulative roll bonding

This article presents the texture development of magnesium AZ31 alloy in the accumulative roll bonded (ARB) AZ31/AZ31 multilayer and AZ31/AA5086 laminate composite. The comparative study demonstrates that the texture evolution in AZ31 in a multilayer system is strongly influenced by the interfaces. A typical basal texture of AZ31 has been observed in AZ31/AZ31 multilayer with texture intensity increased with the rolling deformation. Presence of AZ31/AA5086 interface in the laminate composite leads to a tilted basal texture along the rolling direction (RD) in AZ31 alloy. The texture intensity of composite increased initially with rolling reduction and weakened at the higher rolling strain. Weakening of texture in AZ31 during the laminate processing at higher strain has been attributed to the development of wavy interfaces in AZ31/AA5086 laminate.