Two‐stage component test plans for testing the reliability of a series system

A system reliability is often evaluated by individual tests of components that constitute the system. These component test plans have advantages over complete system based tests in terms of time and cost. In this paper, we consider the series system with n components, where the lifetime of the i‐th component follows exponential distribution with parameter λ_i. Assuming test costs for the components are different, we develop an efficient algorithm to design a two‐stage component test plan that satisfies the usual probability requirements on the system reliability and in addition minimizes the maximum expected cost. For the case of prior information in the form of upper bounds on λ_i's, we use the genetic algorithm to solve the associated optimization problems which are otherwise difficult to solve using mathematical programming techniques. The two‐stage component test plans are cost effective compared to single‐stage plans developed by Rajgopal and Mazumdar. We demonstrate through several numerical examples that our approach has the potential to reduce the overall testing costs significantly. © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 49: 95–116, 2002; DOI 10.1002/nav.1051     

IIR系统的自适应横向滤波辨识

用自适应线性组合器匹配IIR型离散系统,通过拟合系统传递函数来辨识系统参数;比较了该法与自适应递归算法的动态性能,数值仿真结果证明该法的有效性.     

蒸汽动力装置分布式控制系统可靠性设计准则

讨论了为保证蒸汽动力装置分布式控制系统的可靠性所采取的一般技术 ,详细分析了提高蒸汽动力装置分布式控制系统可靠性的一般设计准则 ,包括系统设计的一般要求、计算机的选型、元器件的选择与使用以及抗干扰措施     

C4ISR系统层次化建模方法

建模仿真是对C4ISR系统进行分析设计的重要手段。针对C4ISR系统的特点,提出了一种层次化建模的方法,对系统的多层抽象、模型的形式化描述和模型组合等问题进行了研究,最后给出了一个简单的示例。     

Threshold optimization for weighted voting classifiers

Weighted voting classifiers considered in this paper consist of N units each providing individual classification decisions. The entire system output is based on tallying the weighted votes for each decision and choosing the one which has total support weight exceeding a certain threshold. Each individual unit may abstain from voting. The entire system may also abstain from voting if no decision support weight exceeds the threshold. Existing methods of evaluating the reliability of weighted voting systems can be applied to limited special cases of these systems and impose some restrictions on their parameters. In this paper a universal generating function method is suggested which allows the reliability of weighted voting classifiers to be exactly evaluated without imposing constraints on unit weights. Based on this method, the classifier reliability is determined as a function of a threshold factor, and a procedure is suggested for finding the threshold which minimizes the cost of damage caused by classifier failures (misclassification and abstention may have different price.) Dynamic and static threshold voting rules are considered and compared. A method of analyzing the influence of units' availability on the entire classifier reliability is suggested, and illustrative examples are presented. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 50: 322–344, 2003.     

不确定熵证据合成法在防空兵火力配系评估中的应用

防空火力配系是根据任务、敌情、地形和火器的性能,对参战的各种火器作适当的配置和分工所构成的火力系统,防空火力配系是典型的多属性决策问题,而多属性决策问题中存在着属性评价的不确定性问题,而证据理论是典型的多属性融合理论,它的天生缺陷就是不相容证据合成带来的问题,为此引入基于不确定熵证据合成的多属性决策理论,能够很好地克服上述不足,用来对防空火力配系进行优化,可以解决多目标决策中的信息不完全性,效果良好.     

未来一体化联合作战条件下的综合信息系统

未来一体化联合作战中,综合信息系统是部队作战指挥的核心体系,是夺取战场制信息权和全面获取信息优势的基石;为应对未来一体化战争挑战,必须建设先进的综合信息系统.介绍了综合信息系统的基本概念和发展概况,阐明了一体化联合作战的本质是系统与系统的对抗,分析了牵引综合信息系统的七种能力,提出了构建综合信息系统要实现信息、功能、系统、平台、能力集成.     

海军舰载导弹防空系统信息作战方法

信息与火力是海军舰载导弹防空系统研究的核心问题,运用信息作战原理,在给定攻击战机的条件下,对舰载导弹防空系统的信息与火力联合作战能力的分析表明:与提高作战安全性的隐形战机相比,军事诱骗战术更易降低舰载导弹防空系统的火力防御能力.火力对作战能力的贡献约为信息的4倍.根据这一结论,可以为海军舰载导弹防空系统开发出基于信息作战原理的新战法,全面提高指战员在实战中把握信息与火力的运用规律、实施信息作战、做出科学决策和夺取战场胜利的能力.     

灰色理论和模糊数学相结合的装备保障能力评估模型

军事装备保障能力的评估研究.对于战斗力的形成和保持有着重要意义.以灰色理论和模糊数学为基础,提出了一种新的装备保障能力评估模型,它是由AHP、灰色聚类分析,模糊评判综合集成而成的,既能体现装备保障能力评估的模糊性,又能充分利用信息,避免了使用单一模糊数学方法的不合理之处,为全面系统评估军事装备保障能力提供了一种新的途径.     

改进火炮拖动随动系统跟随特性的方法

为了提高火炮拖动随动系统跟随误差精度,在三环伺服控制系统的基础上,提出了一种经典控制和智能控制相结合的方法.利用误差补偿的思想,在位置环采用前馈校正和超前校正的复合控制.采用模糊PI参数自整定控制的思想,在速度环上设计了智能模糊控制器.仿真结果表明,与PID控制系统相比较,系统的动态误差精度从10-3提高到10-4,明显地增强了火炮拖动随动系统的动态跟随特性,并使系统具有较强的鲁棒性.