预警探测体系作战效能评估框架

首先阐述了预警探测体系及其效能评估的概念,根据预警探测体系及其作战任务的特点,建立了效能评价指标体系,并给出了部分效能指标的评估计算模型,最后提出了预警探测体系作战效能评估的框架和一般过程.     

Optimal capacity in a coordinated supply chain

We consider a supply chain in which a retailer faces a stochastic demand, incurs backorder and inventory holding costs and uses a periodic review system to place orders from a manufacturer. The manufacturer must fill the entire order. The manufacturer incurs costs of overtime and undertime if the order deviates from the planned production capacity. We determine the optimal capacity for the manufacturer in case there is no coordination with the retailer as well as in case there is full coordination with the retailer. When there is no coordination the optimal capacity for the manufacturer is found by solving a newsvendor problem. When there is coordination, we present a dynamic programming formulation and establish that the optimal ordering policy for the retailer is characterized by two parameters. The optimal coordinated capacity for the manufacturer can then be obtained by solving a nonlinear programming problem. We present an efficient exact algorithm and a heuristic algorithm for computing the manufacturer's capacity. We discuss the impact of coordination on the supply chain cost as well as on the manufacturer's capacity. We also identify the situations in which coordination is most beneficial. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

Factors that affect the optimal amount of central control in complex systems

Whereas much of the previous research in complex systems has focused on emergent properties resulting from self‐organization of the individual agents that make up the system, this article studies one vital role of central organization. In particular, four factors are conjectured to be key in determining the optimal amount of central control. To validate this hypothesis, these factors are represented as controllable parameters in a mathematical model. For different combinations of parameter values, the optimal amount of central control is found, either analytically or by computer simulation. The model is shown to provide results that match well with the level of control found across a broad spectrum of specific complex systems. This model also provides general guidelines as to how combinations of these factors affect the desirable level of control and specific guidelines for selecting and evaluating leaders. These results indicate that all of these factors, though not exhaustive, should be considered carefully when attempting to determine the amount of control that is best for a system. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

基于agent的多传感器管理原型系统研究

近年来,基于agent的分布式智能系统已成功应用于众多领域。将多agent技术应用于多传感器管理领域研究,以开发多传感器智能管理的多agent系统,提出了其原型系统的基本框架和系统实现途径及方法,其中着重研究了融合agent与传感器agent的原型系统结构、基于多a-gent理论的传感器管理问题分布式任务分解与控制问题以及agent之间的协调合作问题。原型系统的研究,为实际应用系统的研制开发提供了理论指导和方法依据。     

Tail hazard rate ordering properties of order statistics and coherent systems

We study tail hazard rate ordering properties of coherent systems using the representation of the distribution of a coherent system as a mixture of the distributions of the series systems obtained from its path sets. Also some ordering properties are obtained for order statistics which, in this context, represent the lifetimes of k‐out‐of‐n systems. We pay special attention to systems with components satisfying the proportional hazard rate model or with exponential, Weibull and Pareto type II distributions. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

小波变换在电力系统谐波检测中的应用

将小波变换方法应用于电力系统谐波检测中,用仿真算例说明该方法具有一定的有效性和可行性;用不同的小波函数进行了基频分量提取,给出了误差比较结果,初步分析了小波变换用于谐波检测时产生误差的主要原因.     

Progressive Type‐II censoring and coherent systems

A new connection between the distribution of component failure times of a coherent system and (adaptive) progressively Type‐II censored order statistics is established. Utilizing this property, we develop inferential procedures when the data is given by all component failures until system failure in two scenarios: In the case of complete information, we assume that the failed component is also observed whereas in the case of incomplete information, we have only information about the failure times but not about the components which have failed. In the first setting, we show that inferential methods for adaptive progressively Type‐II censored data can directly be applied to the problem. For incomplete information, we face the problem that the corresponding censoring plan is not observed and that the available inferential procedures depend on the knowledge of the used censoring plan. To get estimates for distributional parameters, we propose maximum likelihood estimators which can be obtained by solving the likelihood equations directly or via an Expectation‐Maximization‐algorithm type procedure. For an exponential distribution, we discuss also a linear estimator to estimate the mean. Moreover, we establish exact distributions for some estimators in the exponential case which can be used, for example, to construct exact confidence intervals. The results are illustrated by a five component bridge system. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 512–530, 2015     

有效飞机动力学转换对驾驶员诱发振荡影响

有效飞机动力学转换可能会导致人机闭环失稳,在特定条件下会引起驾驶员诱发振荡。针对此问题,分析了致使驾驶员诱发振荡发生的主要因素,构建了人机闭环系统模型,推导了人机闭环系统失稳数学模型。研究了引起有效飞机动力学转换的可能因素,并运用时域和频域分析技术对有效飞机动力学转换所产生的影响进行了分析。案例研究表明:有效飞机动力学转换后,在特定条件下可引发驾驶员诱发振荡,但由此引起的驾驶员诱发振荡可以采用相关方法进行抑制。在恰当的抑制方法作用下,由有效飞机动力学转换引发的驾驶员诱发振荡不会产生灾难性的后果。     

视觉惯性导航系统初始化方法综述

视觉惯性导航系统通过初始化,对尺度信息、重力向量、速度、惯性传感器偏差等一系列状态估计所需参数进行快速求解,以提升系统后续导航定位与环境感知的准确性。根据传感信息耦合方式,视觉惯性导航系统初始化方法可以分为三类:联合初始化、非联合初始化和半联合初始化。基于现有研究工作,从基础理论、发展与分类、现有方法、性能评估四个方面展开,对目前主流的初始化方法进行综述,并总结视觉惯性导航系统初始化领域未来的发展趋势,有利于对视觉惯性导航系统初始化方法形成总体性了解并把握其发展方向。     

具有时变通信时延的多智能体系统的一致性

首先,给出一种适用于可连续通信并具有时变通信延迟的有向多智能体系统关于参考状态的一致性算法,基于此算法,各智能体协同变量关于参考状态的一致性问题被转化为一个误差系统的稳定性问题.然后,利用Lyapunov稳定性理论,推导出多智能体系统在该算法作用下达到一致性的充分性判据,并由矩阵不等式的形式描述.结果表明:当时延函数有...