National security,military spending and the business cycle

This paper develops a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model where national security is an argument in the agent’s utility function and the government chooses optimally the level of military spending to maximize social welfare. National defense depends on military expenditure and on the strategic environment reflecting a potential hostile external threat. We use aggregate data on consumption, investment, and military spending for the US economy to estimate the parameters of the model. Estimation results suggest that consumption and national defense are complements and that military spending variability is mainly explained by external threat shocks although it also depends on the macroeconomic conditions. We compute impulse response functions of the main macroeconomic variables to several shocks: a total factor productivity shock, a defense technology shock, and a strategic environment shock. Surprisingly, we find that the optimal response to an increase in the external threat (a worsening in the strategic environment) will rise output by reducing consumption and increasing investment.     

舰船结构塑性动力响应研究进展

从舰船结构塑性动力响应的工程背景出发,简要介绍了该问题当前的研究进展．主要评述了国内外学者所关注的一些基本问题和研究方法,主要包括解析法、近似法、数值法等,以及冲击载荷作用下梁、板、板架、壳体等结构塑性动力响应的研究进展．     

基于动态贝叶斯网络的复杂网络抗毁性分析

复杂网络抗毁性是复杂网络在节点或边遇敌攻击后能继续维持基本功能的能力,是衡量军事信息网络鲁棒性和敏捷性的重要指标。针对复杂网络及对作战体系支撑能力的多指标、复杂化和动态演绎特点,在静态分析方法基础上,提出基于动态贝叶斯网络的抗毁性分析方法。建立了复杂网络抗毁性指标体系。构建了基于动态贝叶斯网络的复杂网络抗毁性评估模型,提出确定评估模型参数的方法。仿真验证了方法的可行性和有效性。     

Estimating defence budget saving from disarmament: the United States’ case

Probing the technology in the production of US national defence by using a dynamic cost‐function model with adjustment costs, this paper evaluates the effect of reducing the level of national defence on the defence budget saving. Our inquiry involves estimating the defence production structure without output data for non‐market goods that are normally unavailable. Our findings include: (i) the United States behaves rationally to minimize cost in the production of national defence; (ii) the adjustment costs are larger in disarmament than in military build‐up; (iii) due to the adjustment costs peculiar to disarmament, the defence budget saving from disarmament appears small, but cutbacks allow great savings on the defence budget.     

Visual SLAM in dynamic environments based on object detection

A great number of visual simultaneous localization and mapping (VSLAM) systems need to assume static features in the environment. However, moving objects can vastly impair the performance of a VSLAM system which relies on the static-world assumption. To cope with this challenging topic, a real-time and robust VSLAM system based on ORB-SLAM2 for dynamic environments was proposed. To reduce the influence of dynamic content, we incorporate the deep-learning-based object detection method in the visual odometry, then the dynamic object probability model is added to raise the efficiency of object detection deep neural network and enhance the real-time performance of our system. Experiment with both on the TUM and KITTI benchmark dataset, as well as in a real-world environment, the results clarify that our method can significantly reduce the tracking error or drift, enhance the robustness, accuracy and stability of the VSLAM system in dynamic scenes.     

空间飞网系统牵拉模式影响研究

针对空间飞网系统任务设计需求,研究飞网牵拉模式对系统展开性能的影响。建立空间飞网系统拉出展开过程动力学模型,并通过地面试验对比验证了模型的有效性。面向任务需求建立空间飞网系统评价指标,针对四、六点牵拉模式,采用有限绳段方法对飞网系统进行建模仿真。模型中保持绳网质量和初始发射能量一致,对评价指标的分析结果表明,在六点牵拉模式下,飞网系统飞行性能指标和力学性能指标有明显提高,但能量利用率和系统可靠性小幅下降。     

Prolog动态代码的两种语义及其实现方法

Prolog数据库操作内部谓词是Prolog非逻辑成份的一个重要组成部分。为了实现Prolog程序的可移植性,这些内部谓词应有一致的操作语义。本文首先讨论了两种比较合理的语义,然后论述了这两种语义在WAM框架下的实现方法。     

在交际过程中话语的正确与得体的互补作用

首先概述了语言的使用与语境密切相连,进而就话语使用的正确与得体的相关性问题,以英语语言为例,从会话和跨文化交际两个方面进行了论述,并得出如下结论：语言学习者不仅要能造出正确的句子,还要能根据语境以及不同的社会和文化背景,正确、得体地使用这些话语．     

Physical and damping properties of kenaf fibre filled natural rubber/thermoplastic polyurethane composites

The paper presents the investigation of the effect of alkaline treatment of sodium hydroxide (NaOH) on physical and dynamic mechanical analysis (DMA) viscoelastic properties of kenaf fibre filled natural rubber (NR)/thermoplastic polyurethane (TPU) composites. The treated kenaf fiber, NR and TPU were weighed and proportioned according to the required compositions and were blended using hot mixed Brabender machine. The polymer composites were then fabricated using the hot press to form a sample board. The sample was cut and prepared and water absorption, density, thickness swelling and DMA tests were performed. As far as physical properties are concerned, composites with the highest NR amount of shows the best results, which indicates good fiber bonding adhesion. The polymer composites with the highest amount of TPU shows the highest damping properties at high temperature.     

圆柱壳受不对称径向冲击时的塑性动力屈曲分析

本文发展了Lindberg、Duffey等人的思想,考虑不对称冲击下圆柱壳的塑性动力屈曲问题,旨在研究内凹变形与屈曲的关系。用能量法导出了不对称基本变形的微分方程,近似地将之与对称情形下屈曲扰动控制方程联合,构成一个初值问题,然后进行数值求解。考虑了壳厚变化,放弃了屈曲过程中速度保持不变的假定(对称情形中采用)。本文的研究结果很好地解释了高速冲击时倒塌模式上无屈曲波形,屈曲波形遍布加载范围内且并不明显减弱,局部冲击临界速度高于对称情况形下临界速度等许多实验与已有的分析结果,从而明确了屈曲在塑性动响应中的地位。