执勤案例库在武警勤务教学中的运用

案例教学在国外较为流行,哈佛大学商学院、法学院等一些高级专业课程已经取得较大成功。我国高等院校已经基本普及,军队院校案例教学也取得一定成果。执勤案例库可以有效提高学员对勤务理论知识的理解和掌握;运用案例库进行案例教学能增强教学针对性、提升实战能力;执勤案例库可以培养学员分析判断、综合处理复杂问题的能力。所以,必须重视武警执勤案例库建设,并充分运用案例库进行教学。     

Assessing the value of demand sharing in supply chains

We consider the problem of assessing the value of demand sharing in a multistage supply chain in which the retailer observes stationary autoregressive moving average demand with Gaussian white noise (shocks). Similar to previous research, we assume each supply chain player constructs its best linear forecast of the leadtime demand and uses it to determine the order quantity via a periodic review myopic order‐up‐to policy. We demonstrate how a typical supply chain player can determine the extent of its available information in the presence of demand sharing by studying the properties of the moving average polynomials of adjacent supply chain players. The retailer's demand is driven by the random shocks appearing in the autoregressive moving average representation for its demand. Under the assumptions we will make in this article, to the retailer, knowing the shock information is equivalent to knowing the demand process (assuming that the model parameters are also known). Thus (in the event of sharing) the retailer's demand sequence and shock sequence would contain the same information to the retailer's supplier. We will show that, once we consider the dynamics of demand propagation further up the chain, it may be that a player's demand and shock sequences will contain different levels of information for an upstream player. Hence, we study how a player can determine its available information under demand sharing, and use this information to forecast leadtime demand. We characterize the value of demand sharing for a typical supply chain player. Furthermore, we show conditions under which (i) it is equivalent to no sharing, (ii) it is equivalent to full information shock sharing, and (iii) it is intermediate in value to the two previously described arrangements. Although it follows from existing literature that demand sharing is equivalent to full information shock sharing between a retailer and supplier, we demonstrate and characterize when this result does not generalize to upstream supply chain players. We then show that demand propagates through a supply chain where any player may share nothing, its demand, or its full information shocks (FIS) with an adjacent upstream player as quasi‐ARMA in—quasi‐ARMA out. We also provide a convenient form for the propagation of demand in a supply chain that will lend itself to future research applications. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 515–531, 2014     

消防行政补偿范围研究

阐述了我国消防行政补偿制度的现状,梳理了消防法律法规有关消防行政补偿的规定,分析了其存在的问题,对消防行政补偿范围进行了较深入地分析,并提出了相应的建议,对完善我国消防行政补偿制度具有参考价值。     

中国共产党90年的奋皇功绩与经验启示

中国共产党90年,以艰苦卓绝的奋斗取得了丰功伟绩,积累了深刻宝贵的基本经验和启示：不负重托,不辱使命;保持先进性;把马克思列宁主义基本原理与中国具体实际情况和时代基本特征相结合;一切为了和紧紧依靠人民群众;加强和改进自身建设。     

我国行政程序证据制度的缺失及其影响

依法行政不能仅强调行政行为＂依照法律、法规、规章的规定进行＂,＂公正合法的程序、正确地认定事实＂也是依法行政的应有之义。基于此,我们需要行政程序法,更需要行政程序法对行政程序中的证据问题作出明确、科学而详细的规定。而我国目前尚无行政程序证据制度可言,行政机关在实践中为防止成为被告而承担败诉的风险,只得按照行政诉讼证据规则要求自己。但行政管理的特殊性与行政行为的多样性决定了行政机关不应照搬繁琐而严格的行政诉讼证据规则。实践中行政机关照搬行政诉讼证据规则会产生排异反应,造成诸多不适应。     

试论屋顶简易建筑消防安全隐患的治理

结合西藏拉萨市屋顶简易建筑治理情况,分析研究了屋顶简易建筑消防安全特点和消防安全管理面临的困境,提出了屋顶简易建筑消防安全治理的措施。     

新疆兵团职业教育集团化办学发展探析

本文对兵团职业教育存在的问题进行梳理,对其现状进行了客观分析,阐述了兵团职业教育集团化办学发展的意义和可行性,提出了推进兵团职业教育集团化办学的建议。     

基于改进TOPSIS法和蚁群算法的反TBM目标群目标分配研究

基于改进的TOPSIS法和蚁群算法,以弹道导弹目标群为研究对象,研究了反导指控系统对目标群的目标分配问题。首先通过改进的TOPSIS法确定TBM目标群威胁排序并基于拦截排序准则确定拦截排序;其次使作战效能最大化,基于蚁群算法确定目标的最优分配方案;最后通过仿真实例验证了在考虑目标威胁值排序前提下采用此算法,可使目标群分配方案更加科学有效和符合反导作战实际。     

一类具免疫时滞的HIV模型的动力学性态分析

研究一类具有时滞和免疫反应的HIV模型。首先通过分析特征方程研究了平衡点的局部稳定性以及Hopf分支的存在性。然后利用规范型理论和中心流行理论得到了确定Hopf分支方向和分支周期解稳定性的计算公式。接着讨论了无病平衡点的全局稳定性。最后通过数值模拟说明了所得理论结果。     

基于三角白化权函数的武器装备研制项目技术风险评估

针对武器装备研制项目技术风险评估问题,利用灰色理论中的三角白化权函数,建立了武器装备研制项目技术风险评估模型。最后,结合实例验证说明了该模型的可行性,在同类问题中亦具有一定的参考使用价值。