分布式虚拟环境中环境信息动态更新研究

环境信息动态更新是分布式虚拟环境的一个主要特点,如何使环境信息更新更活跃、更反应实际情况,一直是分布式虚拟环境研究的重点。在典型的分布式交互环境中,环境信息动态更新是基于协议数据单元(PDU),它不提供数据可靠性传输保证。如何保证分布式环境中各结点环境信息一致性,本文提出了一种信息校验和协议,它通过极少的信息传输就可保证各结点环境信息高度一致。文中定义了保证分布式环境信息动态一致性更新的协议数据单元,并在试验环境中证明了协议的可靠性。     

飞行器动力学环境预示技术应用研究

动力学环境试验技术已被广泛应用 ,但动力学环境预示技术还没有得到很好的重视和发展。讨论了几种动力学环境预示方法的特点 ,着重研究了统计能量分析 ( SEA)方法的原理及其应用 ,并以某型号发动机长尾喷管舱为例 ,具体给出其工程分析估计过程     

More allies,weaker missions? How junior partners contribute to multinational military operations

There is a growing consensus that multinational military operations are often less effective than the theoretical sum of their constitutive parts. Multiple chains of command, restriction on intelligence sharing, and capability aggregation problems can reduce fighting power. However, partners may be necessary to provide legitimacy to an intervention. As such, most studies assume that the state leading a coalition (usually the United States) has to accept a degree of operational ineffectiveness in order to gain political benefits from the participation of junior partners to a multinational military operation. However, such analysis puts all junior partners under the same category, without taking into account the differentiated contributions of those junior partners based on their relative military power and international status. This article explores variation between the junior partners’ contributions and their impact on coalition political and military dynamics. It teases out the implications of adopting a fine-grained analysis of junior partners.     

Parliamentary involvement,party ideology and majority-opposition bargaining: Belgian participation in multinational military operations

This article examines the impact of parliamentary involvement in troop deployment decisions on restrictions on military mandates by examining the Belgian contribution to the 2011 Libya intervention and the coalition against the self-proclaimed Islamic State. More specifically, we analyse (1) the effect of party ideology on mandate preferences, and (2) the impact of bargaining between majority and opposition parties on the outcome of mandate negotiations. Our case study demonstrates that left-wing parties show a strong inclination toward imposing restrictions on the use of military force beyond humanitarian goals, while right-wing preferences tend to depend on the national interests at stake in the operation. With regard to majority-opposition bargaining, our study shows that the impact of opposition parties is dependent on the degree of contention between government and opposition parties, as well as on the extent to which the executive needs to seek support across its own majority.     

Artificial intelligence & future warfare: implications for international security

Recent developments in artificial intelligence (AI) suggest that this emerging technology will have a deterministic and potentially transformative influence on military power, strategic competition, and world politics more broadly. After the initial surge of broad speculation in the literature related to AI this article provides some much needed specificity to the debate. It argues that left unchecked the uncertainties and vulnerabilities created by the rapid proliferation and diffusion of AI could become a major potential source of instability and great power strategic rivalry. The article identifies several AI-related innovations and technological developments that will likely have genuine consequences for military applications from a tactical battlefield perspective to the strategic level.     

高原环境对弹丸动态稳定性的影响

分析了高原环境低空气密度对弹丸动态稳定性的影响。给出了弹道坐标系中的力方程组和非滚转弹体坐标系中的力矩方程组,并通过线性化方法得到弹丸角运动的状态空间模型。列出了角运动状态矩阵的四个特征根,并利用复数平方根计算方法得到特征根实部的表达式。提出弹丸动态稳定性稳定因子的新定义,并证明新的动态稳定条件与传统的动态稳定条件是一致的。讨论了低空气密度对尾翼稳定弹和旋转稳定弹动态稳定性的影响,并通过仿真说明弹丸在高原条件和平原条件下的动态稳定性存在差异。     

【将军论坛】重要经济目标与矢量防护工程

重要经济目标是信息化战争首选的打击对象,这类目标绝大多数位于地面以上,特点突出、规模庞大、难以保密、易损性强,一旦遭受破坏后果将损失惨重,而依靠建造硬壳抵御弹药毁伤的传统防护工程对其难有大的作为。本文从新形势下重要经济目标防护陷于困局的实际出发,系统分析和梳理了传统防护工程和防护技术的特点及其应用的固有薄弱特征,提出矢量防护的创造性解决方案,为重要经济设施和预警设施、新型作战装备等位于地面的易损性目标提供了理论基础。矢量防护工程通过改变弹药的运动方向,避免弹药与目标交汇,将防护工程由“拳击式”硬顶变为“太极式”破解,为未来我国重要经济目标提供了新质防护技术。     

心理战领域研究的科学知识图谱

为把握心理战领域的研究现状,本文基于文献计量与科学知识图谱技术,对CNKI与WoS收录的心理战领域研究文献进行计量分析,并绘制文献的时间分布图谱、关键词共现图谱以及关键词突变图谱。在此基础上,对国内外心理战领域研究的科研合作、研究热点及研究前沿进行了探索与对比,并提出应制定完善的心理战条令,建立专门的心理战职能部门,加强心理战人才培养及提高部队官兵的心理素质等几项措施、建议,期望为国内心理战领域的进一步研究提供借鉴与参考。     

地面无人装备对未来陆战的影响及对策

当前,地面无人装备作为多能合一的新质作战力量,已成为世界各军事强国发展的重点,对未来陆战形态影响深远。为准确把握地面无人装备对陆战的影响及未来陆战形态发展趋势,本文首先通过对地面无人装备的发展现状及在研项目的分析,分析装备能力的发展趋势以及可担负的作战任务;其次,从颠覆战场形态、改变作战方式及影响指挥控制方式三个方面阐述了地面无人装备给未来陆战带来的影响;再次,从无人化技术、作战样式及指挥决策三个方面对未来陆战形态的演进进行分析;最后为应对未来陆战变革带来的机遇与挑战,从军事需求、技术发展、优势保持及人才培养四个方面提出了对策与建议,具有一定的理论研究意义。     

An approach for predicting digital material consumption in electronic warfare

Electronic warfare is a modern combat mode, in which predicting digital material consumption is a key for material requirements planning (MRP). In this paper, we introduce an insensitive loss function (ε) and propose a ε-SVR-based prediction approach. First, we quantify values of influencing factors of digital equipments in electronic warfare and a small-sample data on real consumption to form a real combat data set, and preprocess it to construct the sample space. Subsequently, we establish the ε-SVR-based prediction model based on “wartime influencing factors - material consumption” and perform model training. In case study, we give 8 historical battle events with battle damage data and predict 3 representative kinds of digital materials by using the proposed approach. The results illustrate its higher accuracy and more convenience compared with other current approaches. Taking data acquisition controller prediction as an example, our model has better prediction performance (RMSE = 0.575 7, MAPE (%) = 12.037 6 and R² = 0.996 0) compared with BP neural network model (RMSE = 1.272 9, MAPE (%) = 23.577 5 and R² = 0.980 3) and GM (1, 1) model (RMSE = 2.095 0, MAPE (%) = 24.188 0 and R² = 0.946 6). The fact shows that the approach can be used to support decision-making for MRP in electronic warfare.