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Sales of arms are a significant component of international trade and raise a range of pressing policy issues. After a short review of the market, this paper provides a formal model of the trade which allows for competing forward‐looking suppliers whose welfare depends on both the economic benefits from the sales and the security repercussions of recipient behaviour. The recipient's behaviour depends on its military capability, a function of the stock of arms it has acquired. We first examine a myopic recipient, whose behaviour depends on current stocks, then a forward looking recipient for whom questions of the time‐consistency and the credibility of supplier threats to embargo or promises to resupply become crucial. Finally we examine the impact of supplier cooperation of the sort currently being discussed in the UN Security Council. 相似文献
144.
An availability‐oriented approach has been developed to decide when to replace an aging system. For an existing system, it is optimal to operate another year if and only if the incremental cost per available year is less than the lifetime average cost per available year of a new aircraft. We illustrate our approach using United States Air Force KC‐135 tanker data. In demonstrating our approach, we find it will be optimal to replace the KC‐135 by the end of the decade. 相似文献
145.
This paper analyses the long‐run demand for defence output through a homogeneous treatment of 15 NATO member countries between 1960 and 1999. We carry out a progressive study of the interactions between either defence spending or defence burden and their main determinants: income, external threat and allied military spending. To that end, we use time‐series analysis with endogenously determined structural breaks. We further consider individual country functions related to one another through a common correlated effects method, in order to take into account explicitly the connections between members of an alliance. 相似文献
146.
Military Spending and Income Inequality:Evidence on Cointegration and Causality for Turkey,1963–2007
Erdal Karagol 《Defence and Peace Economics》2013,24(3):289-298
This paper investigates a series of unit root, cointegration and causality tests to ascertain the direction of causality between the growth of GNP and defence expenditure in Turkey for the years 1955–2000. The main conclusion is that there is a long‐run equilibrium relationship between GNP and defence expenditures. Furthermore, the short run causality test indicates that there is a unidirectional causality between variables, from defence expenditure to economic growth. In order to see the effect of a shock, we employed impulse response analyses. The results show that GNP decreased during the period then output finally recovered from the initial shock to defence expenditures. 相似文献
147.
提出了一种变速率调制系统的设计方法。基于现场可编程门阵列(FPGA),在硬件系统中实现了新方法。所设计的系统能够处理(13.5~300)Mbps连续变化的比特速率。通过将整个可变速率范围分成若干小段,分别经过不同倍数的采样滤波,保证了所有符号速率对应的数据能够被调制到数模转换芯片(DAC)处理范围内。给出了系统整体设计结构,分析了硬件实现时的难点,论述了并行采样滤波与并行载波生成等设计方法。硬件实现结果表明,所提出的设计方法能够实现对较宽范围内连续可变速率信号的调制。系统的易扩展性也保证了所设计结构能够处理更宽的变速率范围。 相似文献
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提出一种从图像中检测目标的思路 ,并利用它提出了从图像中提取文字的新方法。该方法可以用于图像数据库内容检索 ,视频检索 ,以及将纸张出版物中的文本转化为电子出版物。新方法分为如下两个基本步骤 ,首先检测出可能存在文字的候选区 ;其次 ,利用Hough变换方法分析候选内扫描线灰度分布对候选区进行证实 ,并对候选区的形状进行修剪 ,使其尽可能紧凑地包含文字。该方法适用于检测出不同大小、字体、排列方向、灰度 (颜色 )的文字。由于该方法所有操作都是基于像元进行的 ,所以便于硬件并行实现。所做的实验证实了方法的有效性 相似文献
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本文对二甲苯溶剂中MeSiHCl2 和甲醇的反应产物Me (OMe)2SiH 及MeSi(OMe)3 作了红外和核磁共振分析, 结果表明: 以红外谱图中Si-H 和苯环吸收带作为含量分析谱带, 采用比例法, 借助工作曲线,可确定反应产物的含量。亦可以通过对各组分处于不同化学位移下质子的核磁共振分析,采用归一化法,经过换算测定反应产物混合液中各组份含量。两种测定方法均简便快捷, 并对两法的测定结果作了分析比较。 相似文献