海面多径环境下雷达目标俯仰角测量提取的研究与应用

在单脉冲测角体制下,由于多径回波信号的干扰,极大地影响了雷达对低空目标俯仰角的测量。通过对多路径反射环境模型分析,同时考虑镜面反射和漫反射的干扰,得出了岸、海基单脉冲雷达低空目标跟踪时俯仰角测量误差的产生原因,将传统的多目标分辨算法(C2算法)与偏差补偿技术相结合应用于低角多径环境下偏轴跟踪目标俯仰角的测量,弥补两种算法各自的不足。在给定的测量环境下对不同高度目标进行仿真,得到良好的仿真结果,表明两种算法结合使用,可较大地提高低空目标偏轴跟踪俯仰角的测量精度。并将其应用于某型雷达对掠海巡航飞行目标测量数据事后俯仰角的提取,与雷达实时输出的俯仰角测量数据相比,验证了该算法的有效性和可实施性。     

倾斜转弯无人水下航行器H_∞鲁棒控制策略

针对倾斜转弯无人水下航行器的控制系统是横滚、俯仰、偏航三通道强耦合非线性系统这一特点,首先建立了三通道控制问题加权性能结构模型,并研究了权函数的选取;然后,设计了H∞鲁棒控制器,并进行降阶处理;最后,进行了仿真验证。仿真验证表明:该设计方法能有效克服各通道的交叉耦合作用,可以满足倾斜转弯无人水下航行器的控制设计要求。     

基于移频卷积的合成孔径雷达干扰技术研究

针对合成孔径雷达(SAR)信号存在着距离和多普勒频率之间耦合的特点,提出了一种利用DRFM进行SAR雷达信号的存储,并加入多普勒频移进行脉冲叠加噪声卷积的SAR干扰新方法.通过真目标回波与滞后方向的假目标回波交叠,形成了类似于噪声的距离维压制干扰;在复制的干扰脉冲上叠加一个窄带的噪声信号,造成方位维的模糊来进行方位维干扰,达到对SAR的二维相参压制干扰效果.     

基于间歇采样转发干扰的ISAR群目标生成方法

基于间歇采样转发干扰理论,提出了一种ISAR二维群目标生成方法。采用伴飞式干扰机,对所掩护的目标回波信号进行间歇采样转发,在ISAR上形成逼真的虚假二维群目标图像;通过调整干扰机和目标的空间位置关系,生成二维假目标序列,并能模拟目标的动态姿态变化。在介绍了间歇采样转发干扰的基本原理后,阐述了伴飞式干扰原理,然后从理论上推导了了伴飞式干扰机的功率和空间位置要求,接下来着重分析了二维群目标生成的理论原因,指出了影响二维群目标分布的关键因素和群目标的姿态角变化规律,最后进行了仿真验证,结果表明了该方法的有效性。研究成果对于ISAR干扰机的设计和工程应用具有指导意义。     

A model of the international arms market∗

Sales of arms are a significant component of international trade and raise a range of pressing policy issues. After a short review of the market, this paper provides a formal model of the trade which allows for competing forward‐looking suppliers whose welfare depends on both the economic benefits from the sales and the security repercussions of recipient behaviour. The recipient's behaviour depends on its military capability, a function of the stock of arms it has acquired. We first examine a myopic recipient, whose behaviour depends on current stocks, then a forward looking recipient for whom questions of the time‐consistency and the credibility of supplier threats to embargo or promises to resupply become crucial. Finally we examine the impact of supplier cooperation of the sort currently being discussed in the UN Security Council.     

Investigating optimal replacement of aging air force systems

An availability‐oriented approach has been developed to decide when to replace an aging system. For an existing system, it is optimal to operate another year if and only if the incremental cost per available year is less than the lifetime average cost per available year of a new aircraft. We illustrate our approach using United States Air Force KC‐135 tanker data. In demonstrating our approach, we find it will be optimal to replace the KC‐135 by the end of the decade.     

A LONG‐RUN ANALYSIS OF DEFENCE SPENDING IN THE NATO COUNTRIES (1960–99)

This paper analyses the long‐run demand for defence output through a homogeneous treatment of 15 NATO member countries between 1960 and 1999. We carry out a progressive study of the interactions between either defence spending or defence burden and their main determinants: income, external threat and allied military spending. To that end, we use time‐series analysis with endogenously determined structural breaks. We further consider individual country functions related to one another through a common correlated effects method, in order to take into account explicitly the connections between members of an alliance.     

Military Spending and Income Inequality:Evidence on Cointegration and Causality for Turkey,1963–2007

This paper investigates a series of unit root, cointegration and causality tests to ascertain the direction of causality between the growth of GNP and defence expenditure in Turkey for the years 1955–2000. The main conclusion is that there is a long‐run equilibrium relationship between GNP and defence expenditures. Furthermore, the short run causality test indicates that there is a unidirectional causality between variables, from defence expenditure to economic growth. In order to see the effect of a shock, we employed impulse response analyses. The results show that GNP decreased during the period then output finally recovered from the initial shock to defence expenditures.     

基于复杂网络的指控组织建模与分析

面对指控组织(C2组织)日益呈现出的复杂性和网络化结构特点,提出基于复杂网络的研究思路,并从现实指控组织网络出发,分析复杂网络理论适用于指控组织建模的现实与理论依据。结合指控组织建设的普遍实际,参考复杂网络适应度模型及组织网络模型后,基于新节点和内部边两方面交互增长的思想,建立了指控组织生成模型。通过仿真实验,验证了无标度性、小世界性等复杂网络特性,符合现实指控组织的特点,为进一步进行指控组织效能评估提供了基础。     

基于CMM的指挥控制能力成熟度模型

分析了美军与北约等外军对指挥控制能力成熟度模型的研究现状,借鉴软件生产能力成熟度模型(CMM)的相关方法,提出了我军指挥控制能力成熟度的研究思路和指挥控制能力成熟度模型总体架构与评价方法,阐述和展望了该模型的应用。