基于动态贝叶斯网络的弹道导弹态势评估模型研究

针对弹道导弹态势评估的特点,分析了弹道导弹的作战过程和弹道导弹主动段作战特点。在此基础上,给出了动态贝叶斯网络用于弹道导弹态势评估的建模过程,建立了基于动态贝叶斯网络的弹道导弹态势评估模型,并依据观测到的数据对模型进行了仿真,结果表明,将动态贝叶斯网络应用于弹道导弹的态势评估模型是可行的,该模型能够对飞行中的弹道导弹态势快速准确作出评估。     

光电坐标传感器在光幕靶中的应用

针对光电报靶系统的标校问题,以及可见光光幕靶光电接收器检测灵敏度的一致性和与海量数据的高速采集问题,采用大发射角的LED发光管,设计了光电开关电路和高速采样保持电路,实现了基于光电开关和取样电阻网络的光电坐标传感器,提高了系统的检测灵敏度和一致性,降低了系统设计的难度和成本。试验证明：该方法精度较高,具有良好的应用前景。     

身管柔性化对火炮动力后坐试验的影响研究

为研究火炮动力后坐试验过程中身管变形对火炮后坐复进运动的影响,以某自行火炮火力部分作为研究对象,基于多体动力学和有限元方法,构建了考虑身管柔性化的火力部分刚柔耦合动力学模型。该模型中,炮膛合力以样条函数的形式直接作用在炮口前端。通过仿真,对比火炮后坐部分最大后坐速度、最大后坐位移以及最大后坐速度时的后坐位移和时间的仿真值与实弹射击过程中的试验值,结果表明,采用冲击的方式进行火炮后坐模拟试验时,身管柔性特征对火炮后坐复进特性影响较小,也证明冲击式火炮后坐试验装置的研制可行性。     

随动定向战斗部破片飞散特性研究

针对防空导弹常规破片式杀伤战斗部使用中存在能量利用率低的缺陷,提出采用随动定向战斗部的观点。建立随动定向战斗部的破片动态飞散区和飞散速度的计算模型,采用数值解析方法,解决在复杂弹目交会条件下破片的飞散区域与打击速度的计算问题．并用MATLAB软件对建立的模型进行验证,得出仿真结果与实际结果一致,这表明模型是合理、正确的。     

导弹贮存寿命预估的组合模型

在分析比较了几种寿命预估方法优缺点的基础上,针对单一预估方法在解决实际问题中所暴露的局限性,优选了GM-BPNN组合预估模型。该组合模型既利用了灰色预估理论具有所需要的样本数据少、原理简单、运算方便、短期预估精度高、可检验等优点,也发挥了神经网络并行计算、容错能力强、自适应能力强等优点。最后利用该组合模型对弹上某设备寿命进行了预估,取得了较好的预测效果。     

概率分布模型的飞机战备完好率评估与预测

飞机战备完好率是军用飞机战斗力的重要体现.在分析目前部队常用的飞机战备完好率算法缺陷的基础上,建立了基于概率分布的飞机战备完好率计算模型,该模型体现了飞机任务可靠性、维修性与战备完好性之间的关系.以某型飞机为例,通过分析飞机任务可靠度,利用飞机可靠性、维修性、保障性及作战训练任务的历史统计数据,依据概率分布模型对飞机的...     

基于物元模型-AHP的联合电子防空作战效能评估

针对现代防空作战训练中联合电子防空作战效能评估的问题,引入物元模型,并结合层次分析法(AHP)提出了基于物元模型-AHP的联合电子防空作战效能评估方法.以某次复杂电磁环境下联合电子防空演习任务为背景,建立了作战效能评估指标体系和评估模型,给出了评估模型的仿真算例,结果表明,该方法在联合电子防空作战的效能评估中是可行和有...     

地空反辐射导弹武器系统作战效能影响评估模型

地空反辐射导弹武器系统融入战术防空体系对防空作战效能的影响如何定量评估是作战运用研究的重要问题。采用阶段概率分析法建立了打击空袭方预警机、电子干扰机对防空作战效能和我方航空兵突击作战效能影响评估模型,通过计算可得出定量数据供作战研究参考。实例计算结果表明地空反辐射导弹武器系统将能极大地提高防空导弹体系作战效能,对于获取防对抗中的信息优势将发挥举足轻重的作用,对地面防空由被动防御向攻防兼备转型将其有重大意义。     

Multi-objectives nonlinear structure optimization for actuator in trajectory correction fuze subject to high impact loadings

This paper presents an actuator used for the trajectory correction fuze, which is subject to high impact loadings during launch. A simulation method is carried out to obtain the peak-peak stress value of each component, from which the ball bearings are possible failures according to the results. Subsequently, three schemes against impact loadings, full-element deep groove ball bearing and integrated raceway, needle roller thrust bearing assembly, and gaskets are utilized for redesigning the actuator to effectively reduce the bearings' stress. However, multi-objectives optimization still needs to be conducted for the gaskets to decrease the stress value further to the yield stress. Four gasket's structure parameters and three bearings' peak-peak stress are served as the four optimization variables and three objectives, respectively. Optimized Latin hypercube design is used for generating sample points, and Kriging model selected according to estimation result can establish the relationship between the variables and objec-tives, representing the simulation which is time-consuming. Accordingly, two optimization algorithms work out the Pareto solutions, from which the best solutions are selected, and verified by the simulation to determine the gaskets optimized structure parameters. It can be concluded that the simulation and optimization method based on these components is effective and efficient.     

Storage life prediction under pre-strained thermally-accelerated aging of HTPB coating using the change of crosslinking density

In order to predict the storage life of a certain type of HTPB (hydroyl-terminated polybutadiene) coating at 25 C and analyze the influence of pre-strain on the storage life, the accelerated aging tests of HTPB coating at 40 C, 50 C, 60 C, 70 C with the pre-strain of 0%, 3%, 6%, 9%, respectively were carried out. The variation regularity of the change of crosslinking density was analyzed and the aging model of HTPB coating under pre-strained thermally-accelerated aging was proposed. The storage life of HTPB coating at 25 C was estimated by using the Berthelot equation as the end point of the aging life with a 30% decrease in maximum elongation. The results showed that the change of crosslinking density of HTPB coating increased with the increase of aging temperature and aging time, and decreased with the in-crease of pre-strain. Under 0% pre-strain, the relationship between the change of crosslinking density of HTPB coating and the aging time can be described by the logarithmic model with the confidence probability greater than 99%.The stress relaxation phenomenon existed under 3%, 6% and 9% pre-strained aging. The aging model considering chemical aging and pre-strain was established with the confidence probability greater than 90%. The storage life of HTPB coating was 15.2935 years at 25 C under 0% pre-strain, which was reduced by 13.9007%, 75.6949% and 89.7859% under 3%, 6% and 9% pre-strain, respectively. The existence of pre-strain has a serious impact on the storage life of HTPB coating, therefore, the pre-strain should be avoided as much as possible during the actual storage.