潜艇CGF规避反潜航空兵行为建模

对战场态势的不完全观测是潜艇作战的重要特点,充分利用不完全观测信息,提高潜艇对抗决策的合理性是设计潜艇CGF的核心问题。针对潜艇作战特点,提出了潜艇自防御行为模型框架,并利用多Agent不确定场景建模技术,建立了基于POMDP的规避反潜航空兵行为模型,最后进行了仿真验证。结果表明,该模型具有较强的可行性。     

I DESIRE,THEREFORE I PROLIFERATE

It is rare to find a well-formulated study that describes the behavioral aspects of leadership in the political realm. Even more infrequent is a combined study of individual behaviors as it applies to a large techno-political issue such as nuclear proliferation. India, Argentina, Australia, and France are used as cases for application of a national identity conception model. The model is based on two dimensions, solidarity and status, that when combined, result in a leader's identification with other nations’ abilities to be a player in the nuclear arms community. While the work is behavioral in context, there is no effort to avoid the technological side of proliferation, so as to provide a balanced review of a complex issue.     

多媒体软件交互体系的拓扑结构分析

用网络拓扑方法对多媒体软件中的交互结构进行了归纳和分折,抽象出７种交互拓扑结构,并对７种结构的应用特点进行了讨论．     

计算机辅助保障性分析技术框架设想

探讨了在装备型号研制过程中,计算机辅助保障性分析技术的总体框架,分析模块的基本功能,实现该项技术的技术途径.     

装甲车辆人—机—环境系统综合实验研究

本文阐述了现有工效学的普遍规律与装甲车辆人—机—环境系统具体特点相结合的重要性.进行了人—机系统综合实验系统的可行性分析,并提出该实验系统的具体实施方案.     

基于矩阵运算的光学零件磁流变加工的驻留时间算法

提出了一种光学零件磁流变加工的驻留时间计算方法.该算法以矩阵运算为基础,首先确定工件上各个控制节点的高度余量,并将磁流变抛光模对各控制节点的材料去除能力体现到去除矩阵中,然后利用非负最小二乘法求解驻留时间向量.采用该算法在自行研制的磁流变抛光机床上进行抛光实验,经过2次迭代加工后,有效口径为145mm的球面镜P-V值达到40.5nm(约为λ/15),RMS值达到5nm(约为λ/125),表面粗糙度Ra值达到0.57nm.     

基于抽象隐马尔可夫模型的CGF路径规划识别

路径规划识别是一种以位置信息为输入的在线识别。为了使CGF能在仿真中识别对手的路径和终点目标,在分析路径规划层次的基础上引入了抽象隐马尔可夫模型的识别框架。针对标准模型在对手更改终点目标和自上而下规划时无法识别的问题,提出了一种顶层策略可变的抽象隐马尔可夫模型。为模型的顶层策略增加初始分布和策略终止变量,更改了策略终止变量间的依赖关系,使下层策略能被强制终止。给出了改进后DBN结构,并通过推导条件概率更新和RB变量抽样流程实现了模型的近似推理。仿真实验表明,改进模型能准确识别给定环境下的各类典型航迹,不仅在终点目标不变时能较好地维持标准模型的识别准确率,在提供足够的观测数据后还能很好地解决变目标识别问题。     

人的注意力机理与装备系统的显示设计

论述了人-机联系研究中人的注意力机理理论的概念模型,并基于这些模型探讨在装备系统显示设计中影响显示信息格式、编码及组合形式的人的因素。     

Defense–Growth Causality: Considerations of Regime-Switching and Time- and Country-Varying Effects

This paper develops a panel smooth transition vector autoregressive model to investigate the economic growth–defense causality. This model simultaneously resolves the estimation problems of endogeneity, heterogeneity, and nonlinearity. Empirical results support that the causality is bidirectional, nonlinear, time- and country-varying. Economic growth has a negative impact on military spending and vice versa. The larger the HDI, the smaller the negative causality. Evidently, the increase in the level of country development can reduce the negative impact of military outlays on economic growth. Reducing the ratio of military spending to GDP is beneficial for countries with low HDI scores; however, moderately increasing the share of military expenditure is favorable for countries with extremely high HDI scores. Policy authority needs to set optimal education, health, and economic development shares of GDP for purchasing a maximum economic growth rate.     

计算机辅助装配公差分析的探讨

探讨了将公差分析纳入到设计过程中,并对设计过程中公差取值进行指导的可行性,在用Pro/E在计算机上进行产品预装配的过程中利用公差分析中的最坏情况分析法、统计分析法、敏感分析法、百分比贡献分析法以及Pro/E软件中的CE/TOL(公差分析)模块对所设计的零件和零件装配的全过程进行公差分析与综合,确定零件的公差在装配过程中影响关键尺寸公差的约束及其敏感度,通过改变个别零件的关键尺寸的公差约束来降低制造成本,减少发生干涉和精度超标的概率,提高装配精度。