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171.
This article assesses the prospects for a strategy of incrementalism to lead to achievement of the core bargain of the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons: non-nuclear weapon states' nuclear nonproliferation in exchange for nuclear weapon states' nuclear disarmament to the point of “global zero.” Game theory, prospect theory, and liberal international theory are used to evaluate the potential of a strategy of incrementalism. While separately each has insights to offer, it is when all three theoretical approaches are used in tandem that meaningful explanatory gains emerge. The article concludes that incrementalism probably cannot lead to complete nonproliferation and global nuclear zero. Instead, signal events (as described by prospect theory) are needed to “punctuate” incremental processes in negotiations (best explained by liberal international theory) in order to move past hindrances such as international structural constraints (exemplified by game theory) and the conservative risk-taking propensities of state elites (described by prospect theory).  相似文献   
172.
Boko Haram terrorism has been recognized by Nigerian President Jonathan as the most threatening and complex security issue in Nigeria since independence. In response, the Federal Government of Nigeria has committed itself to different counterterrorism measures, which are largely dominated by “hard politics” and military mobilization. Spending heavily on defense to upgrade military hardware and train personnel in a counterterrorism role, Nigeria has also boosted its strategic importance in the “Global War on Terror”. However, this attempt has become unpopular as it has failed to contain Boko Haram within a short time frame and has made insufficient headway against unabated terror, with human rights costs among the host communities and amidst a surge of stakeholders' discordance. As a matter of concern, this article seeks to assess Boko Haram as an opponent in Nigeria's war on terror (WOT) and to ascertain the challenges the country faces, the alternative measures open to it, and possible ways forward.  相似文献   
173.
The rejection of the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT) by the U.S. Senate in October 1999 could have been avoided, and the consequences of that vote still loom in the minds of supporters of the treaty. President Barack Obama has embraced the vision of a world free of nuclear weapons, and a key element of the Obama administration's arms control agenda is delivering on U.S. CTBT ratification. In order to secure the two-thirds majority in the Senate necessary to ratify the treaty, senators that remain skeptical of nuclear disarmament must also be convinced that the entry into force of the CTBT is in the national security interest of the United States. This article provides an analysis of the issues surrounding U.S. CTBT ratification divided into three segments—verifiability of the treaty, reliability of the U.S. stockpile, and the treaty's impact on U.S. national security—and concludes that CTBT ratification serves the security objectives of the United States. The CTBT constitutes an integral component of the multilateral nonproliferation architecture designed to prevent the proliferation of nuclear weapons, and it constrains the qualitative development of nuclear weapons, thereby hindering efforts by states of concern to develop advanced nuclear weapons.  相似文献   
174.
电流传感器是电力设备局部放电在线监测系统中的一个重要组成部分 ,其局部放电信号传输特性直接影响测量结果。本文对电流传感器传输特性进行了理论分析 ,有关分析结果与实测结果一致  相似文献   
175.
本文在分析讨论计算机房静电危害的基础上,对计算机房地面泄漏电阻、人体峰值电位和人体静电电荷的衰减进行了现场测试,指出机房中存在的静电隐患,并提出了具体的防静电措施。  相似文献   
176.
提出一个柴油喷雾碰壁的数学模型,计算分析了垂直碰壁和倾斜碰壁时虽面射流的传播和混合特性.建立了新的壁面射流贯穿距离计算公式,结果显示这种计算方法是分析柴油喷注碰壁性能的简单而实用的工具.  相似文献   
177.
为适应装备型号需求生成的复杂性,必须开发面向作战能力应用的装备型号体系结构模型。按照装备型号需求生成工程化思想,建立了结构化的装备型号体系结构开发流程,并对每个环节进行了系统分析。装备型号作战体系结构和系统体系结构开发流程都划分为8个环节,为作战活动分析、系统功能分析提供了可追溯、可验证的模块化开发模式。装备型号体系结构关联开发流程分为4个环节,实现了作战能力对系统实体的关联关系,确保了系统需求对作战需求的支持,提高了装备型号需求成果的系统性和正确性。  相似文献   
178.
基于本体的两阶段任务空间概念模型开发方法   总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4       下载免费PDF全文
任务空间概念模型是独立于实现的、真实世界中的军事活动以及相关要素的描述,是军事世界的第一层抽象,任务空间概念模型建模是军事系统开发中的重要内容。分析了任务空间概念模型研究现状和存在的问题,探讨了任务空间的特征,提出并建立了基于本体的两阶段任务空间概念模型开发方法。基于本体的两阶段方法能有效地促进模型的重用性、可信性,并有利于实现仿真系统的互操作,具有重要的研究和应用价值。  相似文献   
179.
In this work, we extend the recently proposed adaptive phase field method to model fracture in orthotropic functionally graded materials (FGMs). A recovery type error indicator combined with quadtree decomposition is employed for adaptive mesh refinement. The proposed approach is capable of capturing the fracture process with a localized mesh refinement that provides notable gains in computational efficiency. The implementation is validated against experimental data and other nu-merical experiments on orthotropic materials with different material orientations. The results reveal an increase in the stiffness and the maximum force with increasing material orientation angle. The study is then extended to the analysis of orthotropic FGMs. It is observed that, if the gradation in fracture properties is neglected, the material gradient plays a secondary role, with the fracture behaviour being dominated by the orthotropy of the material. However, when the toughness increases along the crack propagation path, a substantial gain in fracture resistance is observed.  相似文献   
180.
局部放电在线监测是保证电力设备正常工作的重要手段。从变压器理论出发 ,提出了局放脉冲电流传感器等效电路及其参数计算方法 ,所提出的方法已成功地应用于实际局放在线监测传感器的设计中  相似文献   
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