作战任务的形式化描述及其过程表示方法

为了使各信息系统一致地理解作战任务的内涵及执行过程,本文对作战任务的形式化描述方法进行了深入研究。在分析作战任务概念和组成的基础上,利用八元组结构给出其形式化定义。抽象出作战任务中的三类关系:总体作战任务与具体作战任务间的实例化关系、作战任务与作战行动间纵向的层次结构关系、作战行动间横向的时序逻辑关系。依据作战任务的特点,提出了一种作战任务形式化描述的流程,采用IDEF3模型表示任务的执行过程。通过行为单元与仿真数据的集成,交汇点与仿真规则的映射,进一步讨论了模型的计算机实现问题。     

Partial equilibrium in risk‐based production decisions

Characteristically, a small subset of operational problems admit risk neutrality when contingent claims methodology were used in their analysis. That is, for the majority of manufacturing and production problems, operating cash flows are not directly linked to prices of traded assets. However, to the extent that correlations can be estimated, the methodology's applicability to a broader set of operational problems is supported. Our article addresses this issue with the objective of extending the use of contingent claims techniques to a larger set of operational problems. In broad terms, this objective entails a partial equilibrium approach to the problem of valuing uncertain cash flows. To this end, we assume risk aversion and cast our approach within Merton's intertemporal capital asset pricing model. In this context, we formulate a “generic” production valuation model that is framed as an exercise in stochastic optimal control. The model is versatile in its characterization and can easily be adapted to accommodate a wide‐ranging set of risk‐based operational problems where the underlying sources of uncertainty are not traded. To obtain results, the model is recast as a stochastic dynamic program to be solved numerically. The article addresses a number of fundamental issues in the analysis risk based decision problems in operations. First, in the approach provided, decisions are analyzed under a properly defined risk structure. Second, the process of analysis leads to suitably adjusted probability distributions through which, appropriately discounted expectations are derived. Third, through consolidating existing concepts into a standard and adaptable framework, we extend the applicability of contingent claims methodology to a broader set of operational problems. The approach is advantageous as it obviates the need for exogenously specifying utility functions or discount rates.© 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2011     

Optimal inventory control policy for periodic‐review inventory systems with inventory‐level‐dependent demand

We consider a setting in which inventory plays both promotional and service roles; that is, higher inventories not only improve service levels but also stimulate demand by serving as a promotional tool (e.g., as the result of advertising effect by the enhanced product visibility). Specifically, we study the periodic‐review inventory systems in which the demand in each period is uncertain but increases with the inventory level. We investigate the multiperiod model with normal and expediting orders in each period, that is, any shortage will be met through emergency replenishment. Such a model takes the lost sales model as a special case. For the cases without and with fixed order costs, the optimal inventory replenishment policy is shown to be of the base‐stock type and of the (s,S) type, respectively. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2012     

组网雷达的改进粒子滤波算法

针对现代战争中有源雷达容易受到干扰和反辐射导弹的摧毁,以及无源雷达隐蔽性高,只能测量方位角度,测量精度小等特点,提出利用集中式有源雷达系统与无源雷达系统协同组网对目标进行跟踪。但是在实际环境中,噪声属性以及有源雷达,无源雷达接收信号的特点决定了组网雷达需要应用非线性滤波技术对信号进行处理。传统的非线性技术包括卡尔曼滤波、扩展卡尔曼滤波(EKF)或无迹卡尔曼滤波(UKF)等方法。非线性近似过程带来的误差相对较大,而且均要求观测噪声和过程噪声为独立或相关的高斯白噪声。而粒子滤波避免了传统非线性滤波方法的缺陷,但是存在粒子退化,于是用EKF和UKF在每一时刻更新粒子,用更新的粒子及其协方差构造重要性函数,然后重采样。仿真实验表明这两种改进粒子滤波方法有很好的效果。     

电视制导小灵巧炸弹三维导引律

小灵巧炸弹是一种采用倾斜转弯(BTT)控制方式的小型面对称电视制导航空弹药,在实际飞行中必须确保其导引头框架角不超出可用范围。针对上述问题,根据时变偏置比例导引的思想,在三维空间中设计视线角速率偏置项,通过姿态角时变修正实现框架角约束,提出了一种带导引头框架角约束的三维纯比例导引律。仿真结果表明该方法在保证小灵巧炸弹战技指标要求的同时有效减少了框架角需求。     

基于Vega Prime的直升机反潜机动三维视景仿真

针对直升机反潜的实际过程,以使用吊放声纳搜潜为例,建立了直升机反潜搜索时的机动航路解算模型;在解决三维实体动态加载、直升机旋翼表现、坐标变换等关键技术的基础上,给出了基于Vega Prime的视景仿真软件设计思路。最后以VC为开发平台,编程实现了直升机反潜过程的三维视景显示,仿真效果理想,对开发类似的作战过程视景仿真系统具有一定参考价值。     

分布式防空C3I系统的作战效能模型研究

分布式防空C3I系统具有比集中式防空更大的优越性.为了分析分布式防空C3I系统的有效性、可靠性,对分布式防空C3I的作战效能模型进行了研究.提出把作战效能分为我目标保护概率集、敌目标损失集、己方目标代价集、己方目标损失集、敌突防概率集,并对C3I系统作战效能的含义和计算进行了研究,给出了一种新的评价分布式防空C3I系统的方法.该模型体现了分布式C3I的分布性和有效性.     

Insurgency by the numbers I: A reconsideration of the ecology of communist success in jiangxi province,China

Theorizing about Taliban operations in Afghanistan has its limits and it is possible that Kabul-centric strategies do not adequately address the unique circumstances of each region in the country. How exactly has the Taliban gone about attaining its objectives in Kandahar province and how have those approaches evolved since 2002? And how have the Taliban adapted to coalition forces' attempts to compete with the insurgency and stamp it out? The answers to these questions are critical in the formulation of any counterinsurgency approach to Afghanistan.     

航天测控系统任务可靠性分析的EOOPN模型

提出了一种可用于航天测控系统任务可靠性分析的扩展面向对象Petri网（extend object-oriented Petri nets, EOOPN）模型,旨在对给定的航天测控方案进行可靠性评估分析。针对问题特点明确了OOPN扩展思路,给出了EOOPN模型的形式化定义、运行规则和建模步骤,模型通过引入公共库所、激发弧、消息变迁和消息处理函数等概念,体现了面向对象的思想,具有很好的层次性和模块性。所建立的EOOPN模型能够完整的描述航天测控系统的组成和任务特点。通过对算例模型仿真运行,表明实验结果具有良好收敛性,与Markov解析值对比误差在1%以内,从而验证了模型的有效性。