新形势下对进一步加强消防工作的几点思考

消防工作是国民经济和社会发展的重要组成部分,是发展社会主义市场经济不可缺少的保障条件。作为与经济发展密切相关的公安消防部门,如何更好地适应经济发展的需要,实现消防工作跨越式发展,是当前公安消防部门需要深入研究探索的一个重要课题。     

基于迭代Bargaining策略优化服务合成执行路径

服务质量(QoS)是优化服务合成执行路径的关键研究内容,当前绝大多数存在的方法很少注意到商业环境下服务商之间存在的隐性竞争压力可能会迫使服务商动态改变他们的QoS值以至于合成优化执行路径发生改变.针对此问题,提出一个基于迭代Bargaining策略的约束违背纠正方法.该方法使用本地最优化策略,在没有考虑用户QoS约束的情况下建立一条最优执行路径.对此路径,全局QoS计算模型和全局约束违背检查模型能找出所有发生的约束违背.一个迭代的Bargaining策略被递归作用于关键路径执行节点,使得更好服务提供商被选出替换原有执行节点,从而一个优化的执行路径能被重新建立以满足用户综合的QoS约束需求.     

边防毗邻省区跨域协同警务战略研究

在非传统安全威胁不断增多的情况下,公安边防部队维护边疆社会治安和政治大局稳定的职能作用更加凸现。针对公安边防部队点多、线长、面广的特点和毗邻省区结合部管理防范相对薄弱的实际,研究探索新形势下加强毗邻跨域警务协同、联手固边的工作机制,形成无缝链接——“全国边防一盘棋”的整体战略,全面提升公安边防部队战斗力,具有极其重要的现实意义。     

基于多信号模型的装甲车辆电源系统诊断策略

针对装甲车辆电源系统模块失效和信号失效不统一的特点,提出了一种多信号模型的改进方法,在此基础上,通过电源系统故障模式影响分析,建立了电源系统测试性模型。基于故障熵理论,利用诊断信息量和费用优化的启发式函数,确立了系统的诊断策略。计算结果表明:该方法对诊断策略的优化是有效的。该方法对装甲车辆电源系统诊断策略的研究具有一定参考意义。     

基于DSPACE的高功率密度柴油机智能化冷却系统控制策略验证

为了验证高功率密度柴油机智能化控制冷却系统控制策略是否正确,以DSPACE为基础搭建了半实物仿真试验平台;通过仿真试验平台验证,控制策略符合柴油机冷却系统工作要求,电控阀、传感器、驱动电路等部件工作可靠,节省了研制时间、经费,降低了研制风险。     

基于模糊干扰观测器的高超声速飞行器一体化制导控制方法

为充分利用高超声速飞行器在俯冲段的质心运动与绕质心运动之间的耦合作用和飞行过程中的不确定性,基于模糊干扰观测器提出了三维一体化制导与控制问题。首先根据飞行器的动力学方程以及飞行器-目标的视线角相对运动方程,推导出来适用于倾斜转弯控制的一体化制导控制模型。接着,针对模型中的不确定性采用模糊干扰观测器进行补偿,并使用块动态面方法设计了一种一体化制导控制律。然后,通过选取适当的李雅普诺夫函数证明了闭环系统状态的一致毕竟有界性。最后,仿真结果验证了该一体化制导控制方法的有效性和鲁棒性。     

SINS/CNS组合导航的导航星表构建方法

构建满足完备性、精简性和查询快速性的导航星表是实现捷联惯性/星光组合导航系统的重要前提和保证。以天文学中的Tycho-2星表作为导航星表的初始星表,对球矩形分区方法进行了改进,包括明确分区及子分区的划分方法,提出了备选导航星的选择策略。实验结果表明,采用改进型球矩形分区方法的备选导航星数量最多只占赤纬带法导航星的19.37%,仅占全天遍历法导航星的3.12%。因此,改进型球矩形分区方法更加精准,查询更快捷,更适用于捷联惯性/星光组合导航系统。     

Beyond Just War: Military Strategy for the Common Good

The objective of this article is to move ethical discourse on military strategy beyond the confines of the established War Convention. This is achieved by utilising the common good, a concept found in political philosophy and theology. The common good acts as a positive organising concept for socio-political activity. With its focus on peace, development and the flourishing of the individual and community, the common good poses a significant challenge to strategy. This article constructs an approach to strategy that is compatible with the common good. Importantly, it does so whilst respecting the pursuit of victory as an indispensable component of strategy’s true nature. The theory presented in this article is then tested in relation to four different modes of strategy: regular war, irregular war, deterrence, and cyberwar.     

Ordering and controlling the dimensions of strategy

Colin Gray’s dimensions of strategy, built upon the earlier work of Clausewitz and Howard, has theoretical, practical, and pedagogic value for the Strategic Studies community. This paper further develops the theory, arguing that the dimensions can be controlled or managed to improve strategic performance. The dimensions are divided into two categories: “internal” and “external” to the process of strategy. The paper describes the dynamic process by which the internal dimensions, which can be controlled, are used to exert influence over the external dimensions that are beyond the control of the strategist. It is argued that six dimensions hold the key to strategic success: politics and the five dimensions concerned with warfighting. This conclusion validates the Clausewitzian paradigm with its emphasis on policy and battle.     

Nonlinear pricing with consumer satiation

In various scenarios, consumers may become satiated with products, and the degree of satiation is directly associated with their prior experiences. Confronted with consumer satiation, the seller is unable to either identify consumers who have a higher likelihood of being satiated ex ante or distinguish satiated from non‐satiated consumers ex post. Therefore, the seller should address dynamic selling, valuation uncertainty, and quantity decisions, all of which are important operational issues. We consider a two‐period problem in which consumer types are influenced by their prior consumption experiences. Faced with these consumers, the seller intends to optimize quantities and adjust the prices of the products in each period to maximize revenue. We find that the seller may reduce ex ante production quantity as some consumers become satiated. Moreover, the ex ante quantity is first decreasing and then increasing with regard to the satiation rate. Furthermore, two‐period information asymmetries may provide a rationale for upward distortion in quantity when consumer preferences are highly sensitive to first‐period consumption. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 386–400, 2016