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121.
    
A recent paper in Defence Economics suggests that “a single variable, the public opinion balance, ... when accompanied by a control variable measuring the proportion of responses in the ‘residuum’ (no opinion or keep the status quo), permits an accurate prediction of subsequent changes in the rate of change of U.S. defense outlays from the mid‐1960s through the 1980s” (Higgs and Kilduff, 1993, p. 227). In contrast, this comment provides evidence that since 1986 the Higgs‐Kilduff model frequently mispredicts the direction of U.S. defense spending. In addition, the average prediction error, and its variance, since 1986 consistently exceeds the average prediction error, and its variance, for the years prior to 1986.  相似文献   
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Abstract

The outbreak of the sovereign debt crisis at the end of 2009 in Greece led to a severe recession, and constant economic problems. This paper investigates military expenditure among others as a potential factor to the growth of sovereign debt in Greece over the period 1960 until currently. Our empirical findings suggest that high deficits, inflation and military spending have been the primary causes of debt growth in Greece. The structural break models reveal a much higher effect of deficits and inflation in the post-1990 period while the threshold switching regression, based on the level of sovereign debt, indicate that for levels of debt-to-GDP ratio above 90% deficits, inflation and military expenditures had significantly more pronounced effects on government debt changes.  相似文献   
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笔者从健全完善公安边防部队干部管理机制和推进部队建设稳步健康发展出发 ,针对当前领导干部经济责任审计评价不够规范科学的实际 ,阐述了建立公安边防部队领导干部经济责任审计评价体系的必要性 ,并提出了建立这一审计评价体系的初步构想和相关保障问题 ,对深化公安边防部队领导干部经济责任审计有一定的借鉴意义。  相似文献   
125.
新形势下公安边防部队政治工作定位的思考   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
改革开放的深入和社会主义市场经济体制的逐步确立,给公安边防部队政治工作带来了一系列新情况、新问题、新挑战,大大加重了政治工作的任务和难度。要积极应对这种挑战,进一步加强部队政治工作,首先应从指导思想上对新形势下公安边防部队政治工作的地位、目标、任务、内容、作用以及方式方法等问题进行全面准确的定位。  相似文献   
126.
各类突发事件的处置具有任务的突然性、时间的紧迫性、作战的连续性、影响的公共性等特征。对于消防部队而言,做好处置突发事件中的思想政治工作可以达到统一官兵思想、鼓舞官兵士气、树立良好形象的作用。在四川汶川大地震救援行动中,消防部队许多行之有效的思想政治工作方法具有显著的典型性。  相似文献   
127.
公共教育学是综合性大学教师教育专业的教育类课程的核心和基础,担负着培养学生教育教学所需要的现代教育理念、教育教学能力以及提高综合素质等多重任务。但近年来,师范生对公共教育学的学习态度,一直是阻碍公共教育学教学质量的一大难题。文章通过问卷和访谈的研究方法,调查师范生对学习公共教育学的态度情况,并从中发现由于教材,教学方式,学习方法,课程评价等因素的影响,师范生对公共教育学的学习态度比较消极,因此,通过引导,改变教学方式,提倡多样化的学习方法,建立多样化的课程评价方式等途径,积极促进师范生对公共教育学学习态度的转变,从而提高教学质量。  相似文献   
128.
李保忠  赵金莎 《国防科技》2018,39(6):088-095
公共政策,既是时代的产物,又为时代服务。新时代要求公共政策的创新必须更加聚焦,一切以调动广大人民群众的积极性,增强民族的凝聚力、创造力为出发点;要求公共政策的创新以人民为中心,一切以人民是否满意,是否具有获得感、幸福感、安全感、自豪感为落脚点;要求公共政策的创新,应当以社会问题为重点,以推动解决主要矛盾、化解社会各领域的主要问题为根本要求;要求公共政策的研究应当提高定位、开阔视野,跟上时代步伐,多出系统性、前瞻性研究成果和高质量研究人才,为党和国家的科学决策贡献更多的智慧力量。  相似文献   
129.
The British Military Covenant can be located in and from many sources and from 2011 onwards in primary legislation. This article argues that the provision of military housing amounts to an early test of how the military covenant is understood and used by those involved in defence policy, and those in the armed forces affected by it. It finds that housing was a prominent feature of how service personnel understood how they were valued, but was not explicitly understood as a covenant issue by those personnel or the officials in charge of the Defence Estates. We locate three reasons for this: (1) the covenant has been poorly translated from aspiration into policy practice, (2) the covenant is unevenly understood across its stakeholders which has the effect of generating disappointment through misaligned expectations, (3) those engaged in the reform process surrounding the Defence Infrastructure Organisation (DIO) saw the covenant as a means to energise reform. Ultimately housing was seen as a dry and technocratic business area and thus an issue ripe for being refracted through the covenant was ultimately left outside of its remit.  相似文献   
130.
It is commonly assumed in the foreign policy literature that narratives are uniquely persuasive and thus integral to obtaining public support for war. Yet, empirical research on “strategic narrative” is often vague on both the concept of narrative and how it persuades. Moreover, the stories publics use to interpret war are rarely examined. This paper offers a novel approach to studying “from the ground up” the war stories of individual British citizens. It examines public interpretations of war through emplotment: the way people select and link events to create a coherent story. Examining the wars people include and those they silence, it illustrates how a diverse range of citizens morally evaluates Britain’s military role, be it as a Force for Good, a Force for Ill or a country Learning from its Mistakes. In doing so, the paper offers an alternative methodological approach to studying how individual citizens understand war.  相似文献   
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