登月舱制动段最优机动中的状态跟踪

本文根据登月舱的运动方程,在固定推力条件下,给出最优推力方向。在最优推力方向上对摄动方程加入自适应调节控制,得到状态跟踪的稳定性,使受控系统的输出跟踪状态精度得到保证。     

Insurgency by the numbers I: A reconsideration of the ecology of communist success in jiangxi province,China

Theorizing about Taliban operations in Afghanistan has its limits and it is possible that Kabul-centric strategies do not adequately address the unique circumstances of each region in the country. How exactly has the Taliban gone about attaining its objectives in Kandahar province and how have those approaches evolved since 2002? And how have the Taliban adapted to coalition forces' attempts to compete with the insurgency and stamp it out? The answers to these questions are critical in the formulation of any counterinsurgency approach to Afghanistan.     

基于模糊模型的发动机部件级故障隔离方法研究

发动机故障诊断与故障隔离是发动机健康监控领域的一大难题,但对发动机故障定位、预防灾难性事故发生及发动机维修意义重大。为了准确地确定故障发生的部位,本文针对某型液体火箭发动机,提出一种基于模糊模型的部件级故障隔离方法。首先对发动机系统进行部件的划分,然后建立各个部件的模糊模型并进行训练,最后按照设定的故障检测与隔离策略对故障进行诊断。利用两组发动机故障仿真数据对基于模糊模型部件级故障隔离方法进行验证,结果表明:本方法可以实现单一或多个部件故障隔离。     

航天测控系统任务可靠性分析的EOOPN模型

提出了一种可用于航天测控系统任务可靠性分析的扩展面向对象Petri网（extend object-oriented Petri nets, EOOPN）模型,旨在对给定的航天测控方案进行可靠性评估分析。针对问题特点明确了OOPN扩展思路,给出了EOOPN模型的形式化定义、运行规则和建模步骤,模型通过引入公共库所、激发弧、消息变迁和消息处理函数等概念,体现了面向对象的思想,具有很好的层次性和模块性。所建立的EOOPN模型能够完整的描述航天测控系统的组成和任务特点。通过对算例模型仿真运行,表明实验结果具有良好收敛性,与Markov解析值对比误差在1%以内,从而验证了模型的有效性。     

基于搜索论的远程反舰导弹搜捕概率建模方法

针对传统捕捉概率模型难以满足远程反舰导弹机动搜捕概率建模计算的问题,提出利用搜索论进行导弹机动搜捕概率计算的建模方法。该方法根据目标机动规律建立其分布概率密度函数,并依据末制导雷达发现目标概率的"倒四次方律"及弹目相对运动轨迹,构建其探测函数,通过求取两者之积的积分实现搜捕概率计算。计算结果显示:若远程反舰导弹不采取机动搜捕策略,目标指示误差增加1km时搜捕概率降低0.47,目标速度增加10节时搜捕概率降低0.3,末制导雷达搜索半径减小50%时搜捕概率降低0.3;若采取平行搜捕策略,上述因素对其影响大幅下降。可见,该方法综合考虑了目标机动规律、传感器探测规律、导弹搜捕策略,可实现远程反舰导弹机动搜捕概率的解算。     

NCO相位截断对频域抗干扰性能影响分析

频域抗干扰易于工程实现、窄带干扰抑制性能好,是目前全球卫星导航系统(Global Navigation Satellite System,GNSS)抗干扰接收机中广泛采用的抗干扰算法。频域抗干扰接收机普遍采用数控振荡器(numerically controlled oscillator, NCO)生成本振信号。由于硬件约束,通常需要对NCO进行相位截断。而NCO相位截断是否合理对抗干扰性能影响较大。针对该问题,从NCO相位截断导致的本振杂散着手,从理论上分析其对混频和频域抗干扰环节的影响。在此基础上,给出一种NCO查找表地址位宽的理论计算模型,使得接收机的载噪比损耗接近无NCO相位截断的频域抗干扰接收机。仿真表明,抑制带宽大于100kHz、干信比小于80dBc的窄带干扰时,计算的NCO查找表地址位宽不超过10bit。无NCO相位截断的频域抗干扰接收机相比,采用NCO混频的抗干扰接收机的载噪比损耗最多增加0.6dB。     

An alliance between Cyprus and Greece: assessing its partners’ relative security contribution

The issue that this paper tackles is the assessment of the relative security benefits that Cyprus and Greece derive in the context of their cooperation on defence matters. This form of cooperation, known as the ‘Integrated Defence Space Doctrine’, aims at defending their interests in the Aegean Sea and the broader East Mediterranean theatre. The paper relies heavily on earlier research on this topic, which deals with the Greek–Cypriot alliance facing an arms race against Turkey, and uses a coefficient especially designed to assess the optimal levels of security and the associated defence expenditure of the two allies. A comparison of the relative security coefficient values for the two allies suggests that the security benefit that Greece derives thanks to its alliance with Cyprus exceeds the corresponding Cypriot benefit by far. Given the importance assigned to human resources by this index, in conjunction with the demographic problems of Greece, this conclusion justifies the recent Greek defence policy revision, emphasizing quality, capital equipment and flexibility of forces. This revision aims at satisfying the security requirements of the alliance and the increasing demands of an arms race against Turkey.     

Book review

La Conversion économique du secteur militaire, J. FONTANEL, Economica, Paris, 1994, pp. 112. Paperback. ISBN 2–7178–2650–5.     

Evasion costs and the theory Of conscription

This paper examines the trade and military relationship between two countries which have a common military enemy. The paper explains how the former two countries, which are military allies and trading partners, share the burden of defence against the third country. It demonstrates how the defence production of a country may hurt its ally because the latter country's terms of trade can be deteriorated. Whether or not a smaller ally spends less on defence is analyzed. Also analyzed is the effects of the reactions of the enemy country on the trade between the two allies and their welfare.