Dynamic Winner-Take-All Conflict

This paper empirically investigates the importance of financial and political variables in determining debt rescheduling probabilities in Turkey for 1955–2000. The problem of sovereign debt default and rescheduling has been the subject of substantial academic research during the last two decades. There has been criticism of models of developing countries’ indebtedness and rescheduling that rely solely on some economic or financial predictors related to country debt, the foreign exchange sector or the domestic economic situation. Using probit analysis, this paper indicates that financial variables are important determinants of rescheduling probabilities. However, political variables are not significant in our models.     

Transnational terrorism as a spillover of domestic disputes in other countries

This paper models transnational terrorism as a three‐way strategic interaction involving a government that faces armed opposition at home, which may spill over in the form of acts of terrorism by the state's opponents against the government's external sponsor. The external sponsor also utilises deterrence against potential terrorists, which only lowers terrorism if terrorists are not intrinsically motivated by a deep‐seated sense of humiliation. The model highlights the importance of intrinsic motivation. A rise in the external power's preference for deterrence against terrorism may backfire in these circumstances. Increases in the government's military efficiency against the rebels, who are also terrorists against the government's sponsor, raises overall levels of violence.     

Interval scheduling: A survey

In interval scheduling, not only the processing times of the jobs but also their starting times are given. This article surveys the area of interval scheduling and presents proofs of results that have been known within the community for some time. We first review the complexity and approximability of different variants of interval scheduling problems. Next, we motivate the relevance of interval scheduling problems by providing an overview of applications that have appeared in literature. Finally, we focus on algorithmic results for two important variants of interval scheduling problems. In one variant we deal with nonidentical machines: instead of each machine being continuously available, there is a given interval for each machine in which it is available. In another variant, the machines are continuously available but they are ordered, and each job has a given “maximal” machine on which it can be processed. We investigate the complexity of these problems and describe algorithms for their solution. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

保证率点值区间估计的Monte-Carlo方法

提出了一种根据实测样本系列对保证率点值进行区间估计的Ｍｏｎｔｅ─Ｃａｒｌｏ方法。对于具有正态分布或对数正态分布的样本,首先推出总体参数的分布,然后用Ｍｏｎｔｅ─Ｃａｒｌｏ法生成总体参数系列,据此求得相应的保证率点值系列,最后通过经验分布推得在给定置信度下保证率点值的区间估计,本文还给出了一个算例。     

改进的精密三点法——在线测量直线度方法的再探讨

在原精密三点法的基础上,对插值方法进行了改进,对随机误差采用了相应的数据处理方法,使得分离结果更加接近真实值,并有效地去除了随机误差的影响,得到了采样值加密的曲线,文中给出了改进的精密三点法的算法和流程图。从仿真和实验结果来看,该方法是具有可行性和可靠性的。     

C76、C78、C82、C84和C90的π电子磁化率

采用规范不变分子轨道方法,计算了Ｄ_２—Ｃ_（７６）、Ｃ_（２ｖ）￣－和Ｄ_３—Ｃ_（７８）、Ｃ_２—Ｃ_（８２）、Ｄ_２—和Ｄ_（２ｄ）—Ｃ_（８４）以及Ｃ_２—Ｃ_（９０）的л电子磁化率。其结果表明这些纯碳原子团簇分子具有较大的抗磁磁化率。反映出这些分子具有一定的芳香性及其л电子有较大的共有化运动程度。     

含气膜孔涡轮叶片寿命可靠性设计优化中的网格参数化方法

为了自动实现含气膜孔涡轮叶片寿命的可靠性设计优化,减少其有限元计算时间成本,提出了含气膜孔涡轮叶片的非结构局部网格参数化方法.该网格参数化方法将叶片划分为参数化区域和非参数化区域,分别设计非参数化区域的网格以及参数化区域的网格控制点,更新气膜孔的形状和位置后,保持非参数化区域的网格不变,重构参数化区域的网格.相比于结构...     

关于控制使用水成膜泡沫灭火剂的思考

水成膜泡沫灭火剂（AFFF）在扑救B类火灾中发挥重要作用,但其含有的C8类氟碳表面活性剂具有环境难降解性和生物累积性,对生态系统和人体健康具有危害作用.为此,关注消防行业带来的环境污染问题、开展AFFF环境安全管理研究具有重要的理论和现实意义.介绍了传统水成膜泡沫灭火剂的组成、应用,阐述了传统水成膜泡沫灭火剂引起的环境污染和人体健康问题,提出了新型绿色水成膜泡沫灭火剂的开发思路,以及水成膜泡沫灭火剂的环境安全管理对策.     

环肋轴对称组合壳塑性极限分析的弹性模量调整有限元方法

基于轴对称截锥壳单元,以单元横截面峰值应力为等效应力,建立了弹性模量调整有限元方法,应用Fortran语言编制了有限元软件用于计算环肋轴对称组合壳的塑性极限载荷.该方法根据组合壳的应力分布情况调整轴对称壳单元和肋骨单元的弹性模量,并进行一系列的弹性迭代计算,计算收敛后即可以得到环肋轴对称组合壳的塑性极限载荷.通过对算例的计算证明:该方法具有良好的收敛性和较高的效率,计算结果与试验结果吻合较好.     

试论张艺谋电影创作的两种修辞艺术

著名导演张艺谋在他的电影创作中运用了两种电影修辞艺术———象征和夸张,大大加强了电影的造型感染力和视觉冲击力,赋于他创造的艺术形象以巨大的丰富性和强烈的独创性。因此,张艺谋影片的象征、夸张两大艺术特点,是引导他的电影走向世界、创造电影神话的重要因素。