装备参数漂移量与其可靠度的关系

本文从实际出发总结了参数漂移的统计规律,找到了参数漂移量X(t)与参数可靠度R(t)的统计关系,进而给出了利用X(t)的样本估计R(t的计算公式,用于实际简便易行。     

一类化学反应动力系统的极限环

本文研究具有饱和输出的Prigogine三分子反应动力学模型,应用微分方程定性理论,完整地解决了系统极限环的存在性和唯一性问题。     

价值工程在引信方案论证中的应用

本文结合我国引信产品方案论证的实际,论述了应用价值工程原理,综合考虑引信战术性能、可靠性、安全性、寿命、费用等进行引信方案论证的方法、步骤和原则。     

基于CCD器件的光电位敏探测器研究

本文作为原理性探讨,在一定实验的基础上,提出了一种利用CCD器件和模拟电路构成光电位敏探测器(PSD)的新方法.用此方法构成的PSD具有高于CCD空间分辨率的定位精度、较宽的线性工作范围和较高的动态响应速度,能够满足特殊场合的使用需要.     

Measuring the Impact of Military Spending: How Far Does a DSGE Model Deviate from Reality?

Dunne, Smith, and Willenbockel (2005) argue that the mainstream growth literature has not found military spending to be a significant determinant of economic growth, yet much of the defense economics literature has noted significant effects. This paper revisits this issue by using a DSGE-VAR approach, combining both theoretical and empirical methods. We present that the DSGE approach (estimated with the Bayesian technique) and the Bayesian VAR with the Minnesota Prior both lead to worse in-sample fit than our proposed DSGE-VAR framework. The DSGE-VAR approach reveals that a positive military spending shock boosts the U.S. economy, increasing per capita real GDP growth, consumption, inflation and interest rate. Our results are robust to alternative model specifications. Future investigations such as exploring an optimal military spending policy could adopt the approach in this paper to determine the best model – empirical, theoretical, or a combination of the two.     

Dangerous work: Terrorism against U.S. diplomats

The goal of diplomats is to represent their countries’ interests through diplomacy, not arms. Because they are not military personnel, they may be perceived as at lower risk of being the target of terrorists. However, recent events have called this perception into question. Despite this danger, there has been little research on terrorist attacks against diplomats. Drawing on the terrorism studies literature, this article argues that diplomats are targeted more than non-diplomatic targets in countries where certain U.S. foreign policies are implemented. An empirical analysis of 471 attacks against U.S. diplomats from 1970 to 2011 reveals that while U.S. alliances and foreign aid increase the likelihood of attacks against diplomats, U.S. military intervention and civil war, on the other hand, increase the risk of terrorism against non-diplomatic targets. This finding is relevant because it shows terrorist attacks against diplomats result from certain types of foreign policy.     

The nuclear education of Donald J. Trump

During the 2016 American presidential campaign, Democrats and Republicans alike repeatedly raised concerns at the prospect of Donald Trump being in charge of America’s nuclear arsenal based on his seemingly unstable personality. Unfortunately, this emphasis on Trump’s character distracted attention from any in-depth investigation into his long-standing interest in nuclear issues. This article seeks to remedy this shortcoming by highlighting the nuclear legacy Trump will inherit from Obama, surveying his statements on nuclear issues over more than three decades, and providing an analysis of constraining factors on his administration’s nuclear agenda, particularly domestic institutions. It finds that most of Trump’s views on nuclear issues are relatively consistent with past Republican presidents. Where he is unique, however, is in his use of social media, which has potential implications on nuclear signaling.     

无标度网络上的队列资源重分配策略

在实际的通信系统中,由于物理条件的限制,每个节点都具有有限长度的队列。研究了在有限队列资源的条件下,队列资源对无标度数据流动力学的影响。提出了一种队列资源重分配策略,策略中节点的队列长度与节点的介数成正比。仿真结果表明,在无标度网络中使用最短路径路由的条件下,所提出的重分配策略可以有效地改进网络的容量。同时对有限队列资源条件下的网络容量进行了理论分析。     

体育教学方法选择与运用的哲学思考

体育教学过程中矛盾的多样性决定了解决矛盾的教学方法的多样性。体育教学方法的选择与运用要充分认识各种方法的内涵 ,考虑体育教学内在规律和教学对象的适应性 ,重视教法与学法的协调 ,兼顾即时的显性效应和长期的潜在效应 ,提高体育教学方法选择与运用的科学性     

英语句型教学的几种操练方法

教学方法的提出要考虑教学目的和基本教学原则 ,同时也要考虑语言习惯形成的规律和特点。作者认为要熟练掌握一种句型 ,达到运用自如、不假思索的程度 ,必须由浅入深进行机械操练、意义操练和交际操练