利用AHP确定决策方案排序的一种改进方法

针对在用AHP法求解权重排序向量时 ,用不同的计算方法导致排序方案不一致的矛盾现象 ,提出了一种在单准则下综合各个排序方案信息的方法 ,使AHP法更趋于完善     

Sequential and systematic sampling plans for the Markov‐dependent production process

Acceptance sampling plans are used to assess the quality of an ongoing production process, in addition to the lot acceptance. In this paper, we consider sampling inspection plans for monitoring the Markov‐dependent production process. We construct sequential plans that satisfy the usual probability requirements at acceptable quality level and rejectable quality level and, in addition, possess the minimum average sample number under semicurtailed inspection. As these plans result in large sample sizes, especially when the serial correlation is high, we suggest new plans called “systematic sampling plans.” The minimum average sample number systematic plans that satisfy the probability requirements are constructed. Our algorithm uses some simple recurrence relations to compute the required acceptance probabilities. The optimal systematic plans require much smaller sample sizes and acceptance numbers, compared to the sequential plans. However, they need larger production runs to make a decision. Tables for choosing appropriate sequential and systematic plans are provided. The problem of selecting the best systematic sampling plan is also addressed. The operating characteristic curves of some of the sequential and the systematic plans are compared, and are observed to be almost identical. © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 48: 451–467, 2001     

Asymptotically optimal component assembly plans in repairable systems and server allocation in parallel multiserver queues

T identical exponential lifetime components out of which G are initially functioning (and B are not) are to be allocated to N subsystems, which are connected either in parallel or in series. Subsystem i, i = 1,…, N, functions when at least K_i of its components function and the whole system is maintained by a single repairman. Component repair times are identical independent exponentials and repaired components are as good as new. The problem of the determination of the assembly plan that will maximize the system reliability at any (arbitrary) time instant t is solved when the component failure rate is sufficiently small. For the parallel configuration, the optimal assembly plan allocates as many components as possible to the subsystem with the smallest K_i and allocates functioning components to subsystems in increasing order of the K_i's. For the series configuration, the optimal assembly plan allocates both the surplus and the functioning components equally to all subsystems whenever possible, and when not possible it favors subsystems in decreasing order of the K_i's. The solution is interpreted in the context of the optimal allocation of processors and an initial number of jobs in a problem of routing time consuming jobs to parallel multiprocessor queues. © John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 48: 732–746, 2001     

基于构件的决策支持系统中模型组织集成框架IFMO

决策支持系统模型组织和表示是影响模型和建模效果的一个基本问题 ,也是实现模型管理的前提。在研究国内外建模技术以及开发CS -DSSP决策支持系统开发平台[1] [2 ] 的基础上 ,本文提出了一种基于构件的模型组织集成框架 ,包括模型构件化描述、构件化框架、集成框架体系结构等。IFMO提出了一种把先进建模技术应用到DSS中的方法     

Preservation of unimodality under shock models

A number of results pertaining to preservation of aging properties (IFR, IFRA etc.) under various shock models are available in the literature. Our aim in this paper is to examine in the same spirit, the preservation of unimodality under various shock models. For example, it is proved that in a non-homogeneous Poisson shock model if {p_k}_K≥0, the sequence of probabilities with which the device fails on the kth shock, is unimodal then under some suitable conditions on the mean value function Λ (t), the corresponding survival function is also unimodal. The other shock models under which the preservation of unimodality is considered in this paper are pure birth shock model and a more general shock model in which shocks occur according to a general counting process. © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 46: 952–957, 1999     

雷达网情报保障方案决策支持系统设计

在现代防空战场环境下,雷达网面临各种复杂的情报保障任务。针对目前雷达网指挥自动化系统在情报保障辅助决策上的空白,设计了区域性雷达网情报保障方案自动生成决策支持系统（DSS）。运用决策支持系统的理论和方法对系统的建模进行了宏观的设计,阐述了系统的结构组成、功能模块和工作流程;并运用面向对象的方法实现模型库管理系统,将模型与数据完美结合。该系统为设计雷达网情报保障方案DSS提供了一条相对有效的途径。系统的实现还有待进一步的研究,但它的完成必将大大提高现有雷达网指挥自动化系统的辅助决策能力。     

基于多属性决策方法的防空C3I系统效能评估

介绍了防空C3I系统效能的定义及效能评估的一般处理过程.针对效能指标的多样性,提出了基于多属性决策(MADM)的效能评估方法,并通过一个示例给出MADM方法的处理过程,有效地解决了防空C3I系统效能评估这一复杂而困难的问题,仿真结果证明了方法的可行性.     

An optimal structured policy for maintenance of partially observable aircraft engine components

This paper considers the maintenance of aircraft engine components that are subject to stress. We model the deterioration process by means of the cumulative jump process representation of crack growth. However, because in many cases cracks are not easily observable, maintenance decisions must be made on the basis of other information. We incorporate stress information collected via sensors into the scheduling decision process by means of a partially observable Markov decision process model. Using this model, we demonstrate the optimality of structured maintenance policies, which support practical maintenance schedules. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 45: 335–352, 1998     

海底小目标数据库功能和运用方法研究

利用海底小目标数据库中的数据信息辅助探猎雷作战,可以摆脱传统探猎雷作战行动中的盲目性,优化反水雷作战流程,有效提高反水雷作战效率。如何科学构建数据库功能,合理设计数据存储、查询和调用的方式方法,以充分发挥各类探测数据的潜在作用,对辅助反水雷战术指挥决策具有重要意义。本文根据海底小目标对探猎雷作战的影响,提出目标位置比对、声纳图像比对、探测态势比对和数据统计分析是海底小目标数据库所应具备的主要功能,结合探猎雷过程中的典型作战环节,阐述了各项功能的基本运用方法和实现手段,指出数据的“量”“质”以及采集规范和维护管理制度,均是数据库建设的重要前提,并对建设数据库所应具备的保障条件进行了 说明。     

铁基非晶纳米晶涂层的耐磨性研究

采用基于机器人的自动化高速电弧喷涂技术在45钢基体上制备了FeCrBSiMnNbY非晶纳米晶涂层。研究了非晶纳米晶涂层在油润滑条件下,不同磨损时间、速度、载荷对涂层的磨损行为。采用扫描电镜（SEM）、能谱分析仪（EDAX）和X射线衍射仪（XRD）对涂层的组织结构进行了表征,利用纳米压痕仪对涂层的力学性能进行了分析,摩擦磨损试验在MM200滑块磨损试验机上进行。结果表明：涂层组织均匀,结构致密,主要由非晶相和α-Fe相纳米晶组成;在相同磨损试验条件下,非晶纳米晶涂层的相对耐磨性为3Cr13涂层的4．6倍,磨损机制主要为脆性疲劳剥落。