The growth in military expenditure in Germany 1951–2011: did parties matter?

We examine whether government ideology was correlated with the growth in military expenditure in Germany over the period 1951–2011. Using various measures of government ideology, the results do not show any effect. The exception is an ideology measure based on the Comparative Manifesto Project (left-right scale): using this measure, the results show that the growth in military expenditure increased by about 2.4 percentage points, when the ideology variable (right-wing) increased by one standard deviation. This effect, however, is based on observations until the early 1960s and cannot be generalized. The major political parties agreed on how to evaluate international risks and threats. Government ideology retired to the background. We conjecture that the consensus among the major parties will persist – even if military spending needs to be increased in response to new international risks and threats.     

基于数据冗余的BDS长报文传输机制改进算法?

北斗卫星导航系统（ Beidou Satellite Navigation System,BDS）只能传输字节受限的短报文,对于长报文需要通过分包和多次重传改善报文传输的成功率,这样会造成系统平台数据发送延误和网络拥塞。提出一种基于数据冗余的数据分包传输机制,该传输机制以数据包为处理对象,采用异或运算得到冗余包,编码简单,编码解码速度快。通过Matlab仿真,证明基于冗余编码机制比无冗余编码单次发送机制的数据接收成功率高15％以上,两次发送对多包的数据接收成功率有较大提高。     

大数据在信息作战指挥决策中的运用

针对信息作战指挥决策中大数据的运用问题,通过对大数据的海量信息检索能力、交叉复现的分析能力、“全信息”运算能力、智能决策执行能力的研究,提出了大数据为其提供按需订制的情报信息、多元多维的决策视角、动态实时的决策支持、智能自主的决策方式的观点,初步探索了大数据在信息作战指挥决策中的运用,对将大数据引入信息作战指挥决策具有十分重要的指导意义。     

大容量数据下基于DTN的链路中断优化传输技术

激光或GHz以上的高频链路的应用将导致DTN(Delay Tolerant Network)网络链路数据容量的增大,大容量数据链路的间歇性中断将严重影响数据的传输效率。针对DTN网络中大容量数据链路频繁中断和节点的剩余缓存空间剧烈变化的问题,提出在DTN路由算法上增加拥塞状态预测机制和易中断链路判定机制,根据节点的拥塞程度定义惩罚函数,缓解链路中断和节点资源受限导致的拥塞。仿真结果表明,该机制可以有效提高DTN网络的传输性能。     

舰船机电系统使用故障数据分析研究

舰船机电系统在使用维修过程中所记录的故障数据通常质量不高,信息记录不完整、不准确。针对这类不完备数据,利用图示法给出了故障趋势的判定。在此基础上,分别利用齐次泊松过程、非齐次泊松过程和几何过程,对装备的历史故障数据进行了分析。结果表明,几何过程产生的拟合误差最小,并据此预测了装备的未来故障强度。     

基于候选聚类的K调和均值算法(KHM-CC)

聚类分析是常见的数据分析技术。基于KHM的聚类分析是当前研究的热点。提出了基于候选聚类的KHM算法(KHM-CC),详细阐述了算法的设计过程。采用UCI的小样本(iris)数据集和大样本(Bag of Words)数据集对比了KHM-CC算法和禁忌搜索KHM算法(KHM-TS)和变邻域搜索KHM算法(KHM-VNS)的性能。实验结果表明,KHM-CC算法在处理iris数据集小样本数据集时,其性能和KHM-VNS算法基本接近,而优于KHM-TS算法。但是在处理Bag of Words大样本数据集时,性能优于KHM-VNS和KHM-TS算法,其聚类计算耗时明显缩短,证实KHM-CC算法在高维度数据集的处理上更具优势。     

Military expenditure and economic development in China: an empirical inquiry

Increases in military spending have a big impact on the socioeconomic conditions in any country. However, there is no consensus as to whether the rising military expenditure is beneficial or detrimental to economic growth. The present study chose China as a case study to empirically examine a complex relationship between military expenditure and economic development. The findings from the Johansen cointegration test indicated that there existed a long-run relationship between China’s military spending and economic growth. Furthermore, the Granger causality test detected a unidirectional causality from economic development to military expenditure. These results were further confirmed by the findings from the impulse response function. This means that China represents an example of a developing economy where the size of military expenditure expands in the process of economic transformation.     

Learning to Fight and Fighting to Learn: Practitioners and the Role of Unit Publications in VIII Fighter Command 1943–1944

A military cannot hope to improve in wartime if it cannot learn. Ideally, in wartime, formal learning ceases and the application of knowledge begins. But this is optimistic. In 1942, USAAF Eighth Air Force assumed it had the means necessary for victory. In reality, its technique and technology were only potentially – rather than actually – effective. What remained was to create the practice of daylight bombing – to learn. This article (1) recovers a wartime learning process that created new knowledge, (2) tests existing tacit hypotheses in military adaptation research, and (3) offers additional theoretical foundation to explain how knowledge is created in wartime     

JTIDS数据链在部分频带干扰下的性能分析

联合战术信息分发系统(Joint Tactical Information Distribution System,简称JTIDS)采用组合调制体制和多层编码体系保证报文传输的可靠性。分析了JTIDS数据链在莱斯衰落信道环境下的抗干扰性能,并通过仿真分析了该系统在部分频带干扰下的符号误码率和报文丢失率。仿真结果显示,由于JTIDS系统将RS编码、交织等多种编码技术和DS/FFH MSK调制技术相结合,使其在复杂信道环境下保持较低的符号误码率及报文丢失率,满足数据链报文传输可靠性的要求。     

一种面向混合数据集可视化的高效数据转换技术

应用领域中存在大量多数据类型属性的混合数据集,但是,很多有效多变元可视化方法的适用范围都只局限于单一类型,对于混合数据集可视化效果不甚理想。针对包含数值及分类型属性的多元混合数据集,提出一种面向混合数据集可视化的数据转换技术,首先对每一数值型属性使用聚类技术进行分类化,然后应用对应分析算法量化所有分类型属性,最后将转换后的混合数据集使用经典的数值型可视化方法——星形坐标法进行展现,并且针对变元数量较多或分类型变元势较高的混合数据集,在数据转换过程中提出一套降势策略,减少参与计算的变元数量,提高计算效率。实验表明,该方法对混合数据集的可视化结果不仅易于理解,而且有利于用户发现其中的隐性知识,降势策略在提高内存及时间效率方面作用显著。