网络谣言的心理分析与管控

近年来,随着智能移动终端和互联网技术的结合,上网变得十分便利。网民数量激增的同时,网络谣言层出不穷,给社会安全与稳定造成不良影响。文章从心理学角度深入分析助推网络谣言的原因,并基于心理规律提出网络谣言的管控措施。     

Casualty Rates of US Military Personnel During the Wars in Iraq and Afghanistan

Abstract

In Operation Iraqi Freedom, which ended in August 2010, nearly 3500 hostile deaths occurred among US military personnel and 32,000 more were wounded in action (WIA). More than 1800 hostile deaths occurred during Operation Enduring Freedom (in and around Afghanistan) through 2014 and about 20,000 were WIA. A larger proportion of wounded personnel survived in Iraq and Afghanistan than during the Vietnam War, but the increased survival rates were not as high as some studies have asserted. The survival rates were 90.2% in Iraq and 91.6% in Afghanistan, compared with 86.5% in Vietnam. The casualty rates varied between the conflicts in Iraq and Afghanistan and before, during, and after the respective surges. Amputation rates are difficult to measure consistently, but I estimate that 2.6% of all WIA and 9.0% of medically evacuated WIA from the Iraq and Afghanistan theaters combined resulted in the major loss of a limb. Elevated non-hostile death rates (including deaths due to accidents, illnesses, homicides, or suicides) resulted in about 220 more deaths in Iraq and about 200 more deaths in Afghanistan than would have been expected in peacetime among populations of the size deployed to those two conflicts.     

基于模型跟踪变结构控制的飞行重构控制律设计

提出一种基于模型跟踪变结构控制的飞行重构控制律的设计方法.利用该方法能实现受控对象对理想模型较高精度的跟踪,使重构飞行控制系统具有较好的控制性能.首先设计了一个比例-积分滑模面以确保消除稳态误差,采用极点配置技术使滑模具有良好的动态品质,其次利用饱和控制技术来减少变结构控制引起的抖振现象,最后以某型飞机纵向飞行控制系统为例进行了相应的数字仿真.结果表明重构系统不仅实现了无抖振模型跟踪,而且还具有较强的鲁棒性.     

具有终端角度约束的H_∞制导律设计

针对导弹对地面运动目标精确攻击时姿态约束的H_∞末制导问题,提出了一种新的具有终端角度约束的制导律.基于二维弹目相对运动学的非线性关系,并将目标机动运动和系统结构摄动作为外部的扰动,建立了垂直平面内弹目相对运动的数学模型.以命中点终端姿态角跟踪误差和控制能量最小为性能指标,同时基于零化弹目视线角速率的思想, 设计得到了非线性H_∞鲁棒制导律.该方法利用Lyapunov稳定理论严格证明了制导系统的全局渐近稳定性,而非求解HJI偏微分方程,同时也避免了对剩余时间的估计.数字仿真表明这种制导律在不需要任何目标运动信息的情况下,仍然保证终端角度和制导精度的要求,具有很强的鲁棒性和适应性.     

论经济分析方法在军事法中的应用

伴随着经济学的发展,经济分析方法于上世纪被引入法学领域,形成法经济学。经过半个世纪的努力,经济分析方法已经出现在众多部门法学研究中。军事法作为一门独立的部门法学并不排斥经济分析方法,用经济分析方法研究军事法具有重要意义。     

论公民参与消防行政的途径

新消防法将公民参与作为一项重要的工作原则,体现了消防行政的民主性。公民作为消防行政服务的受益者和受害者,理应成为消防行政的关键。分析当前我国消防行政参与的现状和缺陷,并提出保障消防行政参与的途径。     

辐射传热时活塞式气缸中加热气体的最大膨胀功

对热辐射传热定律q∝Δ(T4)下,给定初态内能、体积,末态体积以及过程时间时,加热气体膨胀的最优构型进行了研究,利用最优控制理论得出最大膨胀功输出时膨胀的最优构型由两个瞬时绝热分支和一个E-L分支组成的结论.给出了各分支之间转换点参数的求解方法及最优构型的数值算例,最后将线性唯象传热定律、牛顿传热定律、平方传热定律、立方传热定律和辐射传热定律下加热气体膨胀的最优构型进行了比较.结果显示,随着传热指数的增加,理想气体的内能呈现出明显的整体增加趋势,而体积则呈现出明显的整体减小趋势.     

弹着时间可控的机动目标多弹协同制导律

针对机动目标的多导弹齐射攻击,运用最优控制和卡尔曼滤波理论探索机动目标下弹着时间可控制导律问题。设计了一种最优弹着时间可控的制导律,它由指定弹着时间和预计弹着时间的误差作为反馈信号与传统比例制导律结合推导得出,称之为弹着时间可控制导律（Impact-time-control Guidance Law,简称ITCG）,同时利用卡尔曼滤波估计了目标加速度。通过对作战模型情况的仿真,可以看出这种新型的制导律应用于引导多发导弹以指定时间同时攻击目标时的有效性和可行性。     

军事行政法基本原则研究

军事行政法基本原则是军事行政法的核心范畴,如何界定其概念,构建其体系,并探讨其与普通行政法相区别的特有原则及其具体内容,在军事法学界一直未有权威性定论。因此,研究上述问题对于完善军事行政法学学科体系及其内容无疑具有重要的理论意义。     

How pressure for change challenge military organizational characteristics

This article elaborates on how structural, normative and functional pressures for change may challenge military organizational characteristics. We problematize theoretically and exemplify empirically what consequences these pressures can have on military organizational characteristics, arguing that they constitute major challenges for managing in particular normative pressures for change. The empirical examples suggest that bureaucratic, hierarchical, narcissistic and greedy traits of the organization are challenged by normative pressures such as value changes and normalization. Another source of challenge is professionalization processes. Structural challenges, on the other hand, are managed by the organization and do not seem to inhibit the workings of organizational characteristics. The plausibility probe conducted questions the sustainability of military organizational characteristics in their traditional disguise, in particular due to legitimacy concerns. It is suggested that future research should be directed towards analyzing how military organizations manage pressure for change and whether their characteristics are questioned.