Why Culture Matters: Revisiting the Sino-Indian Border War of 1962

This article examines the nuclear command and control (C²) system implemented in Pakistan since 1998, and discusses its potential consequences for the risk of inadvertent or unauthorised use of nuclear weapons. I argue that troubled civil-military relations and Pakistan's doctrine of ‘asymmetric escalation’ account for the creation of a command and control system with different characteristics during peacetime and military crises. Although the key characteristics of Pakistan's nuclear C² system allow relatively safe nuclear operations during peacetime, operational deployment of nuclear weapons during military standoffs is likely to include only rudimentary protections against inadvertent or unauthorised nuclear release. The implication of this study is that any shift from peacetime to wartime command and control procedures is likely to further destabilise Indo-Pakistani relations during the early stages of a diplomatic or military standoff, and introduce a non-trivial risk of accidental escalation to the nuclear level.     

Assessing Capabilities in International Politics: Biased Overestimation and the Case of the Imaginary ‘Missile Gap’

How states assess the capabilities of their adversaries and rivals is of paramount importance to the theory and practice of international relations. This paper presents a framework for understanding why states overestimate the capabilities of their adversaries. Three types of overestimation are presented, consisting of conscious/rational, erroneous and biased overestimation. In order to demonstrate the phenomenon of biased overestimation in international politics, the case of the ‘Missile Gap’ (1957–61) controversy in the United States is examined.     

Britain and Hiroshima

Most historical accounts of the atomic bombings of Japan show little interest in Britain's explicit authorization for the attacks. Meanwhile, the few historians who have attempted to explain it rely on a unitary, rational actor model of the British state that is misleading. This article demonstrates that high-ranking British officials became anxious early on about the strategic consequences of a peremptory use of the new weapon. Therefore, especially over the course of 1944 they sought to engage Washington on the linked questions of the bomb's wartime use and its postwar control. However, these officials' initiatives were rebuffed by Prime Minister Winston Churchill, who paved the way to the bombings based on a fervent desire for Anglo-American integration, and on a dim understanding of the bomb's revolutionary potential.     

基于路径规划的敏捷卫星姿态机动反馈控制方法

为了避免奇异状态,单框架控制力矩陀螺(SGCMG)操纵律要求框架角进行快速转动,需要消耗较多的能量,并会对SGCMG和卫星系统带来一系列潜在危害。针对该问题,提出基于路径规划和反馈控制相结合的姿态机动控制方法。根据固定时间姿态机动的任务需求,以能量为优化指标,采用伪谱法优化机动路径并回避奇异状态;将最优控制量作为参考数输入,并利用基于系统限制状态的反馈控制方法消除不确定性和扰动的影响。反馈控制基于名义输入进行数值积分得到的预测状态量,并与期望终端状态比较形成控制误差信号。该方法将卫星和SGCMG作为整体规划姿态运动,能够有效避免奇异状态。结合工程实际,在闭环控制仿真中考虑了卫星角速度和SGCMG框架角的初始偏差。仿真结果表明:本文算法能够有限避免奇异状态,且能消除初始姿态角速度和框架角不确定的影响。     

基于直接力控制的无人机抗侧风着陆研究

摘 要：分析了无人机采用大展弦比、短机身、小垂尾的气动布局对着陆和操纵性的影响。建立了侧风存在时的无人机横向着陆模型;依据主动控制思想,提出了前垂直鸭翼和方向舵组合的直接力控制无人机抗侧风着陆的方案,并通过仿真实验验证了该方法的有效性。     

“This program will not be a threat to them”: Ballistic Missile Defense and US relations with Russia and China

Although the Obama Administration has differed from its predecessor in a number of respects, on the specific issue of Ballistic Missile Defense (BMD), there is a striking continuity. The Obama Administration has remained committed to the BMD project, even as it has modified the schedule of deployments and prioritized different systems from the Bush Administration. Significantly, this has led to Chinese and Russian balancing in the nuclear sphere. As a result, there is evidence of a security dilemma-type dynamics in US relations with China and Russia. At present, there is no study that analyzes Russian and Chinese hard internal balancing against the USA in the sphere of missile defense during the Obama Administration. This article fills this gap.     

美国舰载标准系列导弹对海军防空导弹发展的影响

美国海军现役的标准导弹是一个庞大的系列,主要型号从标准1一直到标准6,每个主要型号又在不同的时期发展出多种改进型。它不仅是美国海军当前的主力舰空导弹武器装备,还出口到多个国家和地区,是世界上装备量最大、应用最为广泛的舰空导弹系统。本文主要结合标准系列导弹的发展历程,分析了标准系列导弹对世界海军防空导弹装备发展的深远影响。     

面向服务的指挥控制系统协作方法研究

新军事变革和多样化军事任务为当前指挥控制系统带来了前所未有的挑战,研究表明面向服务协作（Service-oriented Collaboration,SOC）的应用可以有效增强信息系统的实时信息共享和协同能力,但现有平台存在自适应性和扩展性不强等问题。文章通过引入灵活对象技术,设计提出了一种基于灵活对象的服务协作应用框架,并基于指挥控制系统建立了原型系统。通过应用分析表明,本文所提出的服务协作应用框架具有很好的自适应性和扩展性,有利于信息化条件下的指挥控制系统快速构建的要求。     

接近观测最后逼近段最优制导方法

接近观测是一种新兴的天基观测手段,精确地导引飞行器到达目标附近合适的观测点是关键技术之一。针对接近观测最后逼近段制导问题,提出了一种最优末制导方法。在惯性系中建立了相对运动方程,把目标和观测点的相对位置作为终端约束,引入了综合考虑飞行时间与燃料消耗要求的性能指标,从而把接近目标的过程转化为最优控制问题,求解出最优推力方向、发动机工作时间和飞行时间。在此基础上,设计了最优制导方案。仿真分析表明最优末制导方法的精度较高,能够满足抵近观察任务的要求,同时对深空探测、交会对接等任务具有借鉴意义。     

中远程空空反辐射导弹的战术问题

提出了一种用普通战机挂载中远程空空反辐射导弹,对抗雷达探测距离占有绝对优势的先进飞机或隐身飞机的新战法,并计算最大发射距离.该战法是在被敌方机载雷达截获并面临导弹威胁的情况下,主动发射空空反辐射导弹攻击目标辐射源,然后进行置尾机动,破坏来袭导弹的中制导,使它脱靶,达到消除来袭导弹的威胁和攻击对方的双重效果.