Monte Carlo方法在计算机辅助布防中的应用

借助于统计推断的有关原理,提出了一种评估多个火力单元射击一批目标教果的方法。该方法可以为防空批导武器系统的合理布置提供参考,也可以用于评估一个已布置的防空反导系统的有效防卫能力,为最大限度地利用防空反导兵器提供依据。     

基于内外子区域划分的高阶精度CFD程序异构并行算法

对计算流体力学(CFD)程序CNS提出一种Offload模式下基于内外子区域划分的异构并行算法,结合结构化网格下有限差分计算和四阶龙格库塔方法的特点,引入ghost网格点区域,设计了一种ghost区域收缩计算策略,显著降低了异构计算资源之间的数据传输开销,负载均衡时CPU端的计算与MPI通信完全和加速器端的计算重叠,提高了异构协同并行性。推导了保证计算正确性的ghost区域的参数,分析了负载均衡的条件。在“CPU(Intel Haswell Xeon E5-2670 12 cores ×2)＋加速器(Xeon Phi 7120A ×2)”的服务器上测得该算法较直接将任务子块整体迁至加速器端计算的异构算法性能平均提升5.9倍,较MPI/OpenMP两级并行算法使用24个纯CPU核的性能,该算法使用单加速器时加速1.27倍,使用双加速器加速1.45倍。讨论和分析了性能瓶颈与存在的问题。     

Optimal production ramp-up in the smartphone manufacturing industry

Motivated by challenges in the smartphone manufacturing industry, we develop a dynamic production ramp-up model that can be applied to economically satisfy nonstationary demand for short-life-cycle products by high-tech companies. Due to shorter life cycles and more rapid evolution of smartphones, production ramp-up has been increasingly critical to the success of a new smartphone. In the production ramp-up, the key challenge is to match the increasing capacity to nonstationary demand. The high-tech smartphone manufacturers are urged to jointly consider the effect of increasing capacity and decreasing demand. We study the production planning problem using a high-dimensional Markov decision process (MDP) model to characterize the production ramp-up. To address the curse of dimensionality, we refine Monte Carlo tree search (MCTS) algorithm and theoretically analyze its convergence and computational complexity. In a real case study, we find that the MDP model achieves revenue improvement by stopping producing the existing product earlier than the benchmark policy. In synthetic instances, we validate that the proposed MCTS algorithm saves computation time without loss of solution quality compared with traditional value iteration algorithm. As part of the Lenovo production solution, our MDP model enables high-tech smartphone manufacturers to better plan the production ramp-up.     

Efficient budget allocation strategies for elementary effects method in stochastic simulation

This paper focuses on extending the Morris' elementary effects method (MM) for sensitivity analysis/factor screening originated in the context of deterministic computer experiments to the stochastic simulation setting. Given a fixed simulation budget to expend, the main objective is to provide efficient and accurate estimates of main and interaction (or nonlinear) effects coined by the standard MM for characterizing the importance of each factor, despite the impact of simulation errors. Taking into account both the factor/input sampling uncertainty rooted in MM and the random errors inherent in a stochastic simulation, we develop efficient budget allocation strategies for implementing MM in this new context. Under each strategy proposed, we derive its corresponding optimal budget partition and optimal budget allocation rules. Numerical results corroborate the practical effectiveness of the proposed budget allocation strategies.     

基于可拓方法的C3I作战方案生成与评价

作战指挥决策支持系统是指挥自动化系统的重要组成部分,作战方案生成与评价是作战指挥决策支持系统的基本功能.根据作战指挥决策支持系统特点将可拓方法应用于作战方案生成与评价,并分析了其优势所在.结合空战案例运用发散树方法进行作战方案集的开拓,并利用优度评价方法进行作战方案的评价,从而得到最佳作战方案.     

蒙特卡洛优化法在机组组合问题中的应用

机组组合(UC)是电力系统经济运行的重要内容之一。根据UC约束特点将机组组合问题分解为单机多时段和多机单时段问题。基于蒙特卡洛(MC)优化法原理,解决单机多时段的启停问题及最后过滤比较找出最优可行解;利用运行费用可导性,解决了爬坡约束并得出多机单时段下的最优解。最后在Madab 6.1下通过算例验证了该方法的可行性。     

鳍对拖式吊舱推进器水动力性能的影响

为考察鳍对拖式吊舱推进器水动力性能的影响,用基于速度势的面元法建立了吊舱推进器水动力性能计算的数学模型,对附鳍的吊舱式推进器的定常及非定常水动力性能进行了预报.螺旋桨和吊舱及鳍之间的相互影响通过迭代计算来处理.采用计算较为简便的关于扰动速度势的基本积分微分方程,并采用双曲面形状的面元以消除面元间的缝隙.在桨叶随边满足压力Kutta条件,用Yanagizawa方法求得物体表面的速度分布.计算了无鳍、单鳍和双鳍拖式吊舱推进器的水动力性能,计算结果表明,鳍会产生推力,使得双鳍时整个推进器的水动力性能最好,单鳍次之,无鳍最低.     

临近空间信息系统综合效能评估

与航空和航天信息系统相比,临近空间信息系统有着其独特的优势。为了评估临近空间信息系统的综合效能,重点探讨了系统在目标连续监视时基于ADC计算综合效能的方法,给出了整个系统可用度、可信度和系统作战能力的计算模型。     

带裂缝钢筋混凝土梁振动特性变刚度模型分析

按常规等刚度、匀质线性材料来考虑开裂后的钢筋混凝土梁,必然带来较大的误差,与实际情况存在较大差距。基于条带法提出了建立带裂缝钢筋混凝土梁的变刚度模型分析方法,对考虑开裂和材料非线性的钢筋混凝土简支梁的振动特性进行了理论计算和试验研究。结果表明：提出的方法从理论上可以得到既有钢筋混凝土简支梁的振动特性、裂缝开展情况等参数,理论计算结果与试验结果吻合较好,且精度较高,具有良好的可行性和工程适用性。     

含Nullor网络的回路分析法

本文针对含有Nullor的网络.提出回路分析法,使有源线性网络的分析更便于进行。文中还举例说明了这种方法的应用,并验证了它的正确性。