临近空间大型柔性充气囊体结构特性分析*(专题约稿)

以临近空间平流层飞艇柔性充气囊体为研究对象,根据充气结构设计理论对充气囊体结构的最小压差和应力进行计算,建立平流层飞艇充气囊体结构有限元模型,在模型验证的基础上,采用非线性有限元方法对平流层飞艇充气囊体结构特性进行仿真分析,得到了囊体结构在不同压差和吊舱载荷作用下应力和变形分布及变化规律,并分析了结构加强配置对囊体应力和变形的影响,为平流层飞艇结构设计提供技术支撑和参考依据。     

旋转飞行器非线性运动稳定性判据

在弹体坐标系和准弹体坐标系中建立了旋转飞行器角运动数学模型。应用李亚普诺夫第一近似理论和劳斯-霍尔维茨方法导出了旋转飞行器的非线性运动稳定性判据,这个判据可应用于有控旋转导弹的运动稳定性分析,也可应用到炮弹和火箭弹上。     

磁层顶边界区剪切流的非线性波动方程

本文运用二维约化摄动方法首次导出磁层顶边界区剪切流的非线性波动方程,并对其非线性性态作了一些定性讨论。     

采用动网格技术的弹托分离仿真模型

针对一体化弹丸出炮口后弹托由与弹体接触到绕弹托质心做六自由度运动的过程,提出一种基于弹托分段分离运动并采用动网格技术耦合流体控制方程和六自由度运动方程的弹托分离仿真模型。以尾翼稳定脱壳穿甲弹为例,仿真分析不同马赫数下的弹托分离情况,并探讨弹托和弹体气动系数在分离过程中的变化情况。仿真结果表明:弹托分离马赫数越大,分离轨迹越靠近弹体且分离时间越短,但对地分离横向位移越大。通过与试验数据的对比,验证了所提弹托分离仿真模型的准确性。     

Does military spending stimulate growth? An empirical investigation in Italy

This paper investigates the effect of military burden on economic growth and extends previous works on the optimal size of government expenditure by exploring how external threat affects the preferences of the households and, in turn, economic growth. Post World War II Italian data are used to estimate nonlinear growth models using time-series semi-parametric methods. The estimates show that total government and civilian burdens are productive, whereas, military burden has significant effects on economic growth through the expenditure for peacekeeping missions, which reduces the insecurity in the home country. This may justify economically the current not negligible budget devoted to peacekeeping and humanitarian missions.     

分叉理论在非线性船舶横、纵摇耦合运动中的应用

以分叉理论为工具,研究非线性船舶横、纵摇耦合运动中的分叉,给出了分叉集,绘出了分叉集曲面,对分叉类型作了判断,绘出解的拓扑结构．     

FORECASTING SERIES CONTAINING OFFSETTING BREAKS: OLD SCHOOL AND NEW SCHOOL METHODS OF FORECASTING TRANSNATIONAL TERRORISM

Transnational terrorism data are difficult to forecast because they contain an unknown number of structural breaks of unknown functional form. The rise of religious fundamentalism, the demise of the Soviet Union, and the rise of al Qaeda have changed the nature of transnational terrorism. ‘Old School’ forecasting methods simply smooth or difference the data. ‘New School’ methods use estimated break dates to control for regime shifts when forecasting. We compare the various forecasting methods using a Monte Carlo study with data containing different types of breaks. The study's results are used to forecast various types of transnational terrorist incidents.     

Robust cubature Kalman filter method for the nonlinear alignment of SINS

Nonlinear initial alignment is a significant research topic for strapdown inertial navigation system(SINS).Cubature Kalman filter(CKF)is a popular tool for nonlinear initial alignment.Standard CKF assumes that the statics of the observation noise are pre-given before the filtering process.Therefore,any unpredicted outliers in observation noise will decrease the stability of the filter.In view of this problem,improved CKF method with robustness is proposed.Multiple fading factors are introduced to rescale the obser-vation noise covariance.Then the update stage of the filter can be autonomously tuned,and if there are outliers exist in the observations,the update should be less weighted.Under the Gaussian assumption of KF,the Mahalanobis distance of the innovation vector is supposed to be Chi-square distributed.Therefore a judging index based on Chi-square test is designed to detect the noise outliers,determining whether the fading tune are required.The proposed method is applied in the nonlinear alignment of SINS,and vehicle experiment proves the effective of the proposed method.