基于Petri网的潜艇CGF鱼雷攻击行为建模

为了实现潜艇对舰鱼雷攻击过程的计算机仿真,基于Petri网理论研究了潜艇鱼雷攻击过程的行为建模问题.在对潜艇鱼雷攻击过程的准离散化分析与构建了鱼雷攻击过程Petri网结构的基础上,将Petri网的变迁和潜艇鱼雷攻击过程的战术规则相关联,并提出了解决变迁冲突的方法,建立了基于Petri网行为模型.这种运用Petri网特有的可视化和以动态方式描述了潜艇鱼雷攻击过程的方法,有着坚实的数学基础,为进一步研究潜艇CGF鱼雷攻击自治行为规划打下了理论基础.     

掩护潜艇展开组织指挥的研究

为正确指挥掩护潜艇展开到敌封锁区后作战,对潜艇展开过程进行简要分析,根据潜艇展开的敌情威胁确定掩护兵力的作战任务,从而研究并确定了对潜艇展开掩护行动的指挥组织关系、指挥方式和指挥内容.有助于作战、训练时组织和指挥掩护潜艇展开的作战行动.     

基于遗传算法的潜射反舰导弹综合作战效能分析

提出了直接根据单指标相对隶属度的模糊评价矩阵,构造层次分析法中的判断矩阵用以确定各评价指标权重的方法,给出了用遗传算法检验和修正判断矩阵的一致性和计算判断矩阵各要素的权重的模糊综合评价模型,对潜射反舰导弹作战效能进行了综合评估和排序.实例表明,该方法简便通用,计算结果较为客观和稳定.     

分层流体中水平运动潜体产生的内波分析

从线性化的Euler方程和连续方程出发,采用线性自由面条件,通过傅里叶变换法研究水平运动点源在分层流体中产生的内波.利用源汇分布法分析运动潜体产生的lee波,采用稳定相法计算远场速度.计算结果表明,高模态内波的波域角小于低模态内波的波域角,内波的波域角小于Kelvin波的波域角;随航速增大lee波主要表现为散波.     

Putin and Russia in retro and forward: the nuclear dimension

Deterioration in security relations as between NATO and Russia reached boiling point in the aftermath of Russia’s annexation of Crimea in 2014 and its subsequent destabilization of Eastern Ukraine. As a result, some voices in the West look forward to the departure of Vladimir Putin from power, and others to the possible disintegration of Russia as a unitary state. However, both the departure of Putin and the collapse of Russia have a nuclear dimension. Putin has issued pointed reminders of Russia’s status as a nuclear great power, and Russian military doctrine allows for nuclear first use in the event of a conventional war with extremely high stakes. Beyond Putin, a breakup of Russia would leave political chaos in Eastern Europe, Central Asia and elsewhere, inviting ambiguous command and control over formerly Russian nuclear forces.     

从作战实际规划攻击型潜艇战斗系统

首先简述潜艇兵力的使命任务和作战特点 ,然后从作战的角度分析了攻击型潜艇战斗系统与海军战役系统的关系 ,提出了潜艇战斗系统的组成 ,探讨了潜艇战斗系统的功能及其动态特性。     

潜艇交流电力推进中的变频技术

采用交流电力推进是潜艇发展的方向 .交流推进主要采用变频调速 ,文中对潜艇中使用的变频技术做了比较详细地论述 ,对其发展趋势进行了展望并对其应用情况作了简单介绍 .     

基于模糊推理的目标对潜发现问题研究

基于模糊推理基本思想,针对潜艇水下收集目标信息的特点,在目标对潜艇威胁信息存在不确定性因素的基础上,建立了判断潜艇被发现与否的指标体系,应用模糊推理方法建立了判断规则,并给出了推导过程和实现方式,在把模糊推理方法应用于潜艇威胁判断模型的研究上做了初步尝试。     

Birth of a norm champion: how South Africa came to support the NPT’s indefinite extension

In 1995, South Africa was in a special position. It was: a new party to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT), the first country to voluntarily renounce nuclear weapons, led by a charismatic leader, and seen as a champion of disarmament principles. Yet South Africa’s new leaders were also interested in affirming their position within the Non-Aligned Movement, which was adamantly opposed to the NPT’s indefinite extension. Why, then, did South Africa decide to support the indefinite extension of the NPT in 1995? Existing scholarship has ascribed too much credit to pressure from the United States, overlooking domestic debates in South Africa and the bifurcation between professional diplomats and political elites. This article, building on new archival sources and in-depth oral-history interviews with major actors, demonstrates that South African diplomats opposed indefinite extension while South African policy elites allocated little attention to the topic until late in the game. The findings contribute to our understanding of South Africa’s norm entrepreneurship, as well as the politics of global nonproliferation.     

美国退出《中导条约》与俄美关系发展走向

2018年10月,美国宣布单方面退出《中导条约》。《中导条约》是美苏两国在冷战后期达成的,并得到了切实执行的条约,对于维护冷战后全球战略平衡发挥了至关重要的作用。冷战后,俄美曾经企图将《中导条约》多边化,构建俄美新型战略关系,但最终反目成仇,使得俄美关系严重倒退,并迈入新的相互战略遏制的时代。