防空武器系统的作战可用度

为了合理评价防空武器系统在复杂的天候条件和自然与人为干扰环境下的作战能力,引入了作战可用度概念,并详细介绍了它的度量方法。     

人工智能技术的军事应用边界研究

与国际上其他军事强国相比,我国军事智能化发展还处于起步和探索阶段.当前军事智能化发展呈现出技术增长点随机发散与关键技术领域不聚焦等特征,阻碍了人工智能技术在军事领域的应用.人工智能技术在军事应用中应本着"有所为有所不为"的原则.为了增强对"为军所用"人工智能核心技术的评价能力,推动高需求匹配度的核心技术发展,本文对军事...     

基于SEA方法的传感器与武器系统匹配分析

分析系统的匹配程度,是对作战系统进行评价的重要内容,提出将系统的作战效能作为衡量系统匹配程度的重要指标,在SEA(System Effectiveness Analysis)方法的框架下建立了系统匹配分析模型,采用蒙特卡罗方法对匹配过程进行了仿真计算,并通过具体算例验证了模型的正确性,为作战系统的匹配分析提供了一种新的思路.     

Between a rock and a hard place: Europe in a post-INF world

The end of the 1987 Intermediate-range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty has the potential to plunge Europe and NATO into deep crisis. Russia’s continued violation coupled with the Donald J. Trump administration’s desire to balance against Moscow and Beijing could force a new missile debate on Europeans. Even though Washington is trying to assuage its allies, the specter of another round of INF missile deployments to Europe is not unrealistic. Meanwhile, NATO’s European members face a dilemma. Some want NATO to resolutely push back against Russia. Others want to avoid a new deployment debate, at almost all costs. The Kremlin will use these cleavages to weaken NATO. If not carefully handled, NATO’s response to the Russian missile buildup could lead to domestic turmoil in a number of European states and render the alliance ineffective for a prolonged period. Europeans need to act now and voice their preferences in the military and diplomatic domains. A number of different military options are available, below the level of deploying new INF missiles in Europe. However, Europeans need to consider trade-offs regarding crisis and arms-race stability. At the same time, it will be up to European capitals to conceptualize a new arms-control framework for the post-INF world, one that takes into account today’s geopolitical realities and the entanglement of modern conventional and nuclear forces. Given the Trump administration’s loathing of arms control, concepts of mutual restraint may well have to wait for the next US administration. In any case, that should not stop Europeans from taking on more responsibility for their own security.     

Deterrence of nuclear terrorism in the context of South Asia

Stability among the great powers during the Cold War is widely theorized in terms of nuclear deterrence. Rationality of States and their preference for survival are the basis of nuclear deterrence. The rationality of non-state terrorist groups is different from that of nation-states. Even though they are also rational actors with their own hierarchy of preferences, survival may not be their ultimate goal. Deterrence of nuclear terrorism is therefore different from deterrence against states. South Asia is more vulnerable to nuclear terrorism than any other region of the world for many reasons. This article analyzes the possibility of nuclear terrorism and the ways of deterrence against it in the context of South Asia.     

舰炮一维弹道修正弹对岸校射方法研究

一维弹道修正弹是近年来兵器领域新研制的一种低成本信息化弹药,目前对其校射方法尚未有成熟的标准。为此,在分析一维弹道修正弹对岸射击工作原理、计算有无控弹试射的基础上,提出舰炮武器系统使用有控一维弹道修正弹的校射新方法,并确定了校射的组数和发数。分别对使用新方法前后的射击效能进行了数值仿真,结果表明本方法能极大地提高舰炮武器系统的射击效能。所提方法对舰炮武器作战效能的提高具有较强的理论价值和一定的参考意义。     

一种通用型舰载防空硬武器火力优化算法?

针对当前武器优化分配算法缺少通用性,难以兼顾效率和时间的问题,提出了一种通用型舰载防空硬武器火力优化算法。该算法首先提取各舰载武器能够攻击的目标集合,然后对各武器的目标集合逐一进行时间分配,并计算对目标的毁伤概率,最终完成所有武器的分配。计算表明,该算法具有很好的通用性和实时性,可适用于较大规模舰载防空硬武器的火力优化分配问题。     

测速雷达使用新方法研究

通过舰炮武器系统测速雷达作战使用分析,提出初速预测新模型、修正量新模型等测速雷达使用新方法。分别对使用新方法前后效能进行比较仿真,仿真证明,本方法极大地提高了舰炮武器系统对海作战时首群命中效能。所提出的方法对于提高舰炮武器作战效能具有理论和实际意义。     

非致命激光武器综合效能评估

非致命激光武器是采用低能激光使目标暂时丧失战斗力的一种战术武器,通过对影响非致命激光武器综合效能关键因素的分析,建立了非致命激光武器的综合效能评价核心指标体系,提出了非致命激光武器综合效能的评估方法,采用最优传递矩阵改进层次分析方法确定各指标的相对权重,运用灰色层次分析法对非致命激光武器的综合效能进行了评估,为非致命激光武器的研发和实际应用提供了理论支持。     

模糊Petri网在空舰导弹武器系统效能分析中的应用

空舰导弹武器系统综合效能分析不但对导弹的定型起着一定作用,而且对装载该导弹的作战飞机的作战效能都具有重要的意义。依据空舰导弹武器系统的战技指标要求,运用模糊Petri网的原理结合层次分析法,对导弹武器的性能采取定性分析与定量分析相结合,以定量分析为主的方法进行评价。仿真实例对某型空舰导弹系统效能进行评价,结果表明它是一种方便、实用、可行的方法。