新疆边境地区恐怖活动特点及打击对策

近年来以“东突”为主的恐怖势力在新疆边境地区活动十分猖獗,呈现出联合,渗透对象多元、低龄等特点。公安边防部队地处边境一线,任务艰巨,责任重大,要通过加强反恐情报建设、健全装备保障体制、加强战法研究与战术训练、加强边境管理以及加强国际警务合作等多种对策,不断提高部队打击和防范恐怖活动的能力与水平,为维护边疆稳定做出贡献。     

公安现役院校英语学习环境的调查与思考

学习环境对于语言学习者至关重要,就外部环境和内部环境相互关系而言,外部环境影响人的学习态度和认知过程,内部环境控制外部环境的影响力。这些因素无疑能促进英语学习,但也可能在某种程度上阻碍英语学习的进步。在对几所公安现役部队院校的英语学习环境调查后发现,英语学习环境不容乐观,还有很多急需改进之处,应引起有关方面的重视。     

突发事件处置经验对军队战时管理的启示

战时管理是关系作战全局的基础性工作,是保持和释放战斗力的重要举措,是确保军队高度集中统一、能打胜仗的重要支撑。有效提升军队战时管理能力是现代战争中部队管理工作亟待研究的重要课题。本文梳理了近期我国突发事件处置中的经验教训,从战时支前物资管理、战时人力资源管理及战时舆情信息管控三个方面提出：战时支前物资管理应完善机制、改造模式、畅通网络;战时人力资源管理应紧贴任务实际、突出岗才一致、彰显精简程序;战时舆情信息管控应统一机构、正确导向、纯洁队伍、严管舆论等措施,以期给未来战时管理决策提供可选方案,实现管理服务作战,保障打赢之目的。     

AN ECONOMIC ANALYSIS OF SECURITY POLICIES

This paper analyses public policy choices in the security economy from an economic perspective. It discusses the role of public goods for national and global security and identifies the importance of the first‐ and second‐order indirect effects of insecurity on economic activity, which include the behavioural responses of agents and the government to security measures, akin to such effects in insurance economics. Furthermore, key public policy trade‐offs are outlined, in particular between security and efficiency, globalisation, equity and freedom. The analysis identifies suitable policy options for raising security in the national and international contexts and in view of these trade‐offs. A balance between market and non‐market instruments in achieving security should be aimed for in order to minimise the adverse effects of aiming for higher security. In addition, the public good nature of security implies that international coordination of security policies is important, despite this process being fraught with enforcement problems.     

复杂网络下基于Agent的舆情演化研究

<正>确认识、预测、引导和处理舆情对公众的影响,对社会稳定有重大的现实意义。通过综合运用多Agent和动力学微分方程的思路建立模型,结合社会人群中个体的行为规律,重点描述个体的行为细节和交互规则,构建了自下而上的舆情演化模型,并模拟广场"自焚"事件在网络上的传播,对模型进行了实证研究,验证了模型的有效性,运用Net Logo软件进行数值仿真,得到了舆情演化的规律,进而提出相应的对策建议。     

The effects of local elections on national military spending: A cross-country study

In this paper, we study the domestic political determinants of military spending. Our conceptual framework suggests that power distribution over local and central governments influences the government provision of national public goods, in our context, military expenditure. Drawing on a large cross-country panel, we demonstrate that having local elections will decrease a country’s military expenditure markedly, controlling for other political and economic variables. According to our preferred estimates, a country’s military expenditure is on average 20% lower if its state government officials are locally elected, which is consistent with our theoretical prediction.     

Military spending and budget deficits: the impact of US military spending on public debt in Europe (1988–2013)

The aim of this paper is to study the relationship between military spending and sovereign debt in a panel of 13 European countries. In particular, under the assumption of the interdependence of military spending between US and European countries, we analyse whether US military spending affected European sovereign debt in the period 1988–2013. The empirical estimation is based on different steps: (i) a unit root test; (ii) an Arellano–Bond panel estimation and a linear fixed effect model; and (iii) a FMOLS estimation to highlight the long run relationship between debt and relevant variables. General results highlight that debt burden of European countries is: (1) positively associated with US military burden and (2) negatively associated with average military burden of other European countries.     

公安消防部门应对重特大火灾事故信息传播策略

重特大火灾事故发生后,若信息传播处置不当,容易形成危机事件。作为处置突发事件的主力军之一,公安消防部门应利用自身优势,在重特大火灾事故信息传播中发挥作用。分析了其在信息传播过程中应当恪守的基本原则,提出应从加强机制建立、强化培训教育、加强舆情监测等方面采取措施进行重特大火灾事故信息传播。     

New sources of military change – armed forces as normal organizations

The literature on how European states have adapted to the post-cold war security environment ffocuses invariably on different understandings of military transformation, a process which is seen as inherently different from other forms of organizational change. However, as this paper argues, new management practices, going back to the introduction of so-called New Public Management (NPM) reforms throughout Europe in the 1980s, have eventually penetrated also the last bastion of the old state – the defense sector. Taking a critical approach to the idea of military transformation and existing theories of military change, the paper demonstrates how other international developments have pushed towards what may be seen as a “normalization” of Europe’s defense sectors. This has important implications for how we approach and understand change in contemporary defense organizations.     

论道德教育对亲社会行为的培养作用——以“向陈洲贵同志学习”为例

亲社会行为具有无私增进他人利益的道德属性.亲社会行为与道德的这种特殊关系,决定了亲社会行为培养离不开道德教育的作用.事实上,道德教育对亲社会行为培养具有诸多正向作用.如道德榜样教育激发亲社会行为模仿,道德知识传授解释亲社会行为的合理性,道德舆论宣传创设亲社会行为的情境氛围等,通过考察这些正向作用,为亲社会行为的伦理培养提供有益思考.