装备采办中一级密封招标的博弈均衡分析

针对装备采办中的一级密封招标问题,分析了招标过程中的博弈特点,给出了一维贝叶斯均衡的求解方法和解析表达式,论证了在军工企业的最优战略是选择博弈的贝叶斯均衡,军方的选择是增加竞标者的人数。然后,重点分析了招标过程中的多维博弈问题,给出了多维贝叶斯均衡的一般求解方法,并针对特定的事例进行了多维均衡分析。最后,在多维博弈的框架下对一维博弈和多维博弈的均衡结果进行比较分析,结果表明：在一级密封招标过程中,多维博弈均衡是军工企业的最优战略。     

高超声速滑翔式飞行器再入轨迹多目标多约束优化

轨迹优化是高超声速滑翔式飞行器关键技术之一.为避免间接法求解轨迹优化问题时对初值敏感以及伪谱法求解轨迹优化问题中难以处理航路点和禁飞区等问题,提出采用基于Akima插值多项式的直接法求解高超声速滑翔式飞行器再入轨迹优化问题.以驻点热流密度最小和到达目标点时间最小为优化目标,考虑了终端约束、航路点约束、禁飞区约束、动压约束、过载约束等约束条件.仿真结果表明:采用的插值方法可以减少插值过程中的控制变量越界问题;得到的Pareto前沿具有良好的分布性,在初步设计时能够给设计者较大的选择余地;和文献中的单目标优化结果相比,本文所采用的算法也具有较好的寻优能力.     

Stability in a general oligopoly model

We analyze a general but parsimonious price competition model for an oligopoly in which each firm offers any number of products. The demand volumes are general piecewise affine functions of the full price vector, generated as the “regular” extension of a base set of affine functions. The model specifies a product assortment, along with their prices and demand volumes, in contrast to most commonly used demand models. We identify a fully best response operator which is monotonically increasing so that the market converges to a Nash equilibrium, when firms dynamically adjust their prices, as best responses to their competitors' prices, at least when starting in one of two price regions. Moreover, geometrically fast convergence to a common equilibrium can be guaranteed for an arbitrary starting point, under an additional condition for the price sensitivity matrix.     

高功率密度柴油机智能化冷却系统控制策略

简要分析了未来坦克装甲车辆柴油机智能化控制冷却系统的必要性和可行性,提出了智能化冷却系统设计方案,阐述了其组成及工作原理,重点对智能化冷却系统控制策略进行了研究。针对某型柴油机,通过对其散热需求分析,提出了基于发动机工况的开环控制策略,同时,结合以发动机出口冷却水温度为控制目标提出了基于PID算法的闭环反馈控制策略。应用该策略可保证发动机在不同的环境和工况下冷却强度适宜,降低冷却系统的功耗。     

多元气体化学爆炸的超压安全泄放设计

压力容器在气液二相共存的情况下 ,采用UNIFAC法预测液相活度系数进行气液平衡计算 ,得到多元系统的气液平衡浓度 ,结合燃爆模拟实验数据 ,对容器危险工况下的超压进行安全泄放设计。     

一类军事竞争系统的非线性分析

应用非线性系统的定性理论方法,对一类军事竞争系统进行了定性分析,研究了系统平衡点的性态,证明了系统在全平面不存在闭轨线。     

军事云环境下基于动态博弈的资源调度方法

针对军事云环境下联合指挥资源调度优化问题,综合考虑了多部队任务需求,多目标优化,多部队资源竞争等约束条件,运用动态博弈理论及方法,建立并提出了一种基于完全信息扩展博弈的资源调度模型及方法,提高了资源调度效率,兼顾了多部队利益,增加了联合作战效益。最后通过实验验证了其有效性及准确性。     

高空远程滑翔UUV减速段弹道仿真与分析

高空远程滑翔UUV技术是一种集高空滑翔与水下航行于一体的综合技术研究,减速段弹道是高空远程滑翔UUV弹道流程中的重要部分.通过建立高空滑翔UUV的六自由度数学模型,在Matlab/Simulink环境下对减速段弹道进行了运动仿真与分析.采用火箭反推减速方案对UUV进行减速,根据UUV入水条件要求设置初始条件,仿真结果显示UUV能满足入水条件要求,证明了此方案的可行性.并对影响减速段弹道的因素:反推力的大小、反推力作用时间、反推火箭安装位置进行了仿真与分析,对以后的进一步研究具有指导意义.     

Asymmetric information and third-party intervention in civil wars

I study a two-period model of conflict with two combatants and a third party who is an ally of one of the combatants. The third party is fully informed about the type of her ally but not about the type of her ally’s enemy. In a signaling game, I find that if the third party is unable to give a sufficiently high assistance to her ally, then there exists a unique separating equilibrium in which the third party’s expected intervention causes her ally’s enemy to exert more effort than in the absence of third-party intervention; this worsens the conflict.     

Inducing coordination in supply chains through linear reward schemes

Decentralized decision‐making in supply chain management is quite common, and often inevitable, due to the magnitude of the chain, its geographical dispersion, and the number of agents that play a role in it. But, decentralized decision‐making is known to result in inefficient Nash equilibrium outcomes, and optimal outcomes that maximize the sum of the utilities of all agents need not be Nash equilibria. In this paper we demonstrate through several examples of supply chain models how linear reward/penalty schemes can be implemented so that a given optimal solution becomes a Nash equilibrium. The examples represent both vertical and horizontal coordination issues. The techniques we employ build on a general framework for the use of linear reward/penalty schemes to induce stability in given optimal solutions and should be useful to other multi‐agent operations management settings. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006