基于CREAM的后方仓库叉车装卸运输弹药HRA评估

针对我军后方仓库弹药装卸运输环节对人员叉车操作的安全性需求,设计出了叉车操作测试场地路线,归纳总结了人员操作叉车进行弹药装卸运输环节中的安全失效形式及失效原因,构建了HRA评估数学模型．选取我军某后方仓库搬运机械建制班人员为对象,进行了实地测试,得到了弹药装卸运输环节的人为失误概率．测试结果表明,基于CREAM方法能够较好地解决后方仓库弹药装卸运输环节人为失误概率的量化问题．     

机载制导武器的武器-目标分配算法研究

机载制导武器的武器-目标分配算法是智能航空指控系统的一个基础研究问题。本文在建立了武器-目标分配的基本概念和对算法要求的基础上,提出了两种武器-目标分配算法;基于决策论的武器-目标分配算法和基于导弹截获区的武器-目标分配算法,并对基于导弹截获区的武器-目标分配算法进行了仿真实验。结果表明,此算法具有高透明性、有限消除最大威肋、杀伤概率最大、充分利用机载武器等特点。     

寻觅自由灵魂的栖息地——谢的朝隐之梦与思乡情结

从谢的出身谈起 ,从激情踏入仕途到萌生朝隐梦想 ,从抒发剪不断理还乱的思乡情到朝隐梦的破灭 ,叙述了谢寻觅心灵家园、寻觅理想生存方式的过程 ,指出朝隐之梦与思乡情结的内在联系及深层意蕴 ,并运用弗洛依德的爱洛斯人格理论诠释了谢心灵矛盾及人生悲剧的本质原因。     

袁国平军队政治工作思想与方法研究

袁国平是我党我军最早从事军队政治工作的杰出代表,在长期的军队政治生活实践中,袁国平从不成熟走向成熟,逐渐形成了一整套独有的从事政治工作的思想与方法,其内容广泛,特点鲜明,为搞好我党早期的军队政治工作做出了巨大贡献,其精华部分是我军思想工作建设的宝贵财富,对于当前的政治工作建设仍具有极大的参考价值。     

A Question of ‘Government’ Control: Afghanistan DDR Programs Since 2001

Since the fall of the Taliban in late 2001, the Islamic Republic of Afghanistan (GIRoA), the United States, the United Nations, and the International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) have funded and led three different Disarmament, Demobilization, and Reintegration (DDR) programs. Despite a significant investment in time and treasure, all of them have failed to significantly reduce the number of insurgents or arbaki (militia). This article explores why these programs failed despite incorporating ideas from the prominent DDR schools of thought. Utilizing Stathis Kalyvas’ theory of The Logic of Violence in Civil War as a lens, this article argues that GIRoA and ISAF did not have sufficient control of territory to entice insurgents or arbaki to reconcile and/or reintegrate with the government. Further, in areas GIRoA nominally controlled in northern and western Afghanistan, regional powerbrokers who controlled these areas balked at these programs.     

What Is Known About Defence Research And Development Spill-Overs?

This article surveys the body of available evidence regarding the spill-over effects of defence R&D. It reviews the routes through which defence R&D spills over to the economy with positive externalities – in terms of new products, technologies or processes; the barriers that impede or block such a process; potential negative repercussions, and the measure of such effects. The main conclusion is that the uncertainty of these effects, and the inaccurate appraisal of their value, hardly supports informed decisions concerning defence R&D policies.     

The politics of international chemical weapon justice: The case of Syria, 2011–2017

There has been near-universal condemnation of the use of chemical weapons in the Syrian conflict. The international community has nevertheless struggled to make progress on holding the perpetrators to account. This article reviews developments at the international level in terms of Syrian chemical weapon justice between 2011 and 2017. It argues that there have been substantive disagreements between states on the rationale and means of justice in the Syrian case. It also argues that international initiatives have been tightly intertwined with developments in chemical disarmament and conflict resolution processes as well as the broader war. The article describes progress and challenges to chemical weapon justice in a number of distinct formal international mechanisms during the period studied. The analysis concludes by contextualizing international responses—including the U.S. tomahawk strikes against a Syrian airbase—to the Khan Shaykhun chemical attacks of April 2017.     

军民融合产业概念及范畴研究

军民融合产业概念及范畴不明确一直是困扰决策部门和研究部门的问题,影响了军民融合发展的顺利推进。本文在梳理总结军民融合产业概念及范畴的研究现状以及政府文件表述的基础上,认为军民融合作为一种发展模式,定义军民融合产业概念并非易事,但出于当前工作要求,需要相关管理部门整合力量,加强研究,尽快明确军民融合产业概念和范畴,构建科学合理的军民融合产业统计体系。