浅析我国新阶段下的“三农”问题

三农(农民、农业、农村)在中国城市化、工业化、现代化过程中具有不可逾越的地位,有着不可低估的人口影响、空间影响、素质影响和政治影响。由于受经济、产业、制度的制约,出现了农民增长缓慢、农业发展动力不足、农村剩余劳动力过多等“三农”问题。新的国际、国内发展阶段又加剧了“三农”问题,使其成为影响我国经济持续健康发展的重要因素。“三农”问题的解决需要新的思路、新的方法和新的措施,这要求我们必须从以下几方面思考:大力发展小城镇,转移农村剩余劳动力;调整产业结构,提高农产品市场竞争力;大力发展教育,增加劳动力的人力资本存量;加大对“三农”的支持力度,创造良好的发展环境。     

航天遥感监测信息态势感知能力分析

针对遥感监测信息的效用评估问题,提出了一种态势感知能力定量分析的新方法。首先利用NIIRS等级尺度和GIQE模型建立了遥感图像与地面目标检测率之间的联系,由此得到这些目标在监视区域出现的概率分布。然后,以地面目标在监视区域的实际分布表示使用者信息需求,并利用信息理论中的Kullback Leibler距离来度量不确定性分布和信息需求之间的差异,从而得到不同遥感侦察与监视系统态势感知能力曲线,给出了传输处理时延对态势感知能力曲线的影响。     

Evaluating methods for the reliability of a large 2‐dimensional rectangular k‐within‐consecutive‐(r,s)‐out‐of‐(m,n):F system

A 2‐dimensional rectangular k‐within‐consecutive‐(r, s)‐out‐of‐(m, n):F system consists of m × n components, and fails if and only if k or more components fail in an r × s submatrix. This system can be treated as a reliability model for TFT liquid crystal displays, wireless communication networks, etc. Although an effective method has been developed for evaluating the exact system reliability of small or medium‐sized systems, that method needs extremely high computing time and memory capacity when applied to larger systems. Therefore, developing upper and lower bounds and accurate approximations for system reliability is useful for large systems. In this paper, first, we propose new upper and lower bounds for the reliability of a 2‐dimensional rectangular k‐within‐consecutive‐(r, s)‐out‐of‐(m, n):F system. Secondly, we propose two limit theorems for that system. With these theorems we can obtain accurate approximations for system reliabilities when the system is large and component reliabilities are close to one. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2005     

面向远火面压制的阵地体系生存效能评估

为满足阵地战时毁伤规律研究需要,以阵地体系为研究对象,从系统的角度出发,探究阵地体系目标生存效能与物理毁伤的映射关系,构建阵地体系生存效能评估模型,并运用蒙特卡洛方法实现阵地目标毁伤模拟,给阵地体系目标的毁伤量化评估与防护决策提供了依据.     

作战实体概念模型结构研究

本文将动态的作战实体视为智能实体,运用系统六元抽象方法对作战实体概念模型构成要素进行分析,明确了要素之间的相互关系,并从作战实体内部的状态、结构、行为出发,提出了一种以知识系统为中心的作战实体的概念模型结构。     

基于飞参数据的飞行仿真模型验证

由于缺少真实数据的支持,飞行模拟器飞行仿真模型的验证一直缺乏有效的量化验证测试手段。针对这一现实难题,提出使用飞参数据进行模型验证的方法。通过介绍和分析飞参数据的来源、用途和特点,论证了该方法的可行性。设计和开发了飞参自动验模系统,介绍了其基本原理和结构组成,并对其中的难点和关键问题进行了深入研究分析,阐述了解决问题的思路和方法。试验结果验证了飞参验模系统的正确性和有效性,对提高飞行模拟器逼真度具有积极意义。     

模糊集值统计理论在灭火救援指挥效能评估中的应用

在建立评估指标体系的基础上,将模糊集值统计理论应用于灭火救援指挥效能评估中。该理论方法改变了以往统计给出一个固定值的做法,而给出一个区间值,使某些具有模糊性和随机性的评估指标权值的确定更加符合实际情况。实例研究表明:该方法克服了经典统计法的不足,提高了效能评估的实用性和科学性。     

基于复杂系统的组网雷达系统分析

分析了常规单基雷达演化成组网雷达的过程,并运用复杂系统的基本属性———差异性、多样性、相关性和整体性,分析了组网雷达演化的机理。然后指出组网雷达整体涌现具体表现为作战能力的提高和“四抗”能力的飞跃。最后分析了组网雷达作为复杂系统,网内雷达站之间的数据融合是其涌现的动力学机制。     

小波分析在雷达信号处理中的应用展望

小波分析在雷达信号处理中的应用研究,已成为近些年来信号处理学科的热点之一。介绍了小波分析的发展历史、研究现状,阐明了小波分析的基本概念,比较了各种小波处理方法的特点,详细讨论了小波在雷达信号处理中的诸多应用,指出了有待解决的各种问题,对小波分析在雷达信号处理中的应用提出了展望。     

Protection of armoured vehicles against chemical,biological and radiological contamination

The article presents problems related to mechanical protection of vehicles with different add-on armours against chemical,biological and radiological contamination.This applies to vehicles with additional passive,reactive and hybrid protection in the form of cassettes against piercing with anti-tank pro-jectiles,piercing with their kinetic energy of impact,and as a result of chemical energy of shaped charges as well as explosively formed projectiles.It has been shown how increased ballistic protection of these vehicles at the same time reduces their decontaminability in various places of the vehicle due to the increased additional surface of the vehicle with cassettes.Prevention of contamination of these cassettes has been presented as a way of reducing hard to reach surface for decontamination and a method of insulating construction elements(stands),fixing these cassettes to the vehicle,from the environment to prevent contact with contaminated liquids and dusts.The selection of appropriate materials is shown,which may affect the improvement of the decontamination efficiency of the vehicle with such cassettes.This applies to the use of materials with low absorption of chemical warfare agents,which prevent the accumulation of large amounts of these agents on contaminated surfaces and improve the effectiveness of decontamination.It also shows how to ensure better access of the disinfectant to as much of the vehicle surface as possible,covered with cassettes that have been contaminated.It shows how a vehicle,in particular with such cassettes,can provide protection against radar detection when Radar Absorbent Material is used on vehicle cassettes.