对抗条件下SBIRS对战略导弹突防能力影响研究

为了研究对抗条件下天基红外系统对战略导弹突防能力的影响,基于战略导弹突防能力计算模型,从理论上分析了红外假目标干扰、气溶胶遮蔽和红外隐身技术等对抗措施下天基红外系统对战略导弹探测概率的影响,给出了对抗条件下战略导弹突防能力的计算模型。为作战仿真研究奠定了一定的基础。     

空空导弹研究与发展的世纪审视

从回顾国内外空空导弹的研制与发展之路入手,系统地分析了空空导弹系列化发展的成因和特征,并对空空导弹的系列化发展问题提出了一些看法。     

TOPSIS法用于区域防空重点保卫目标排序计算

区域防空作战中优化选择重点保卫目标,集中部署优势防空兵力,才能确保重点目标不受或少受损失.分析了影响保卫目标重要性的主要因素,采取德尔菲法获得指标值,采用层次分析法得到指标权重,利用逼近理想解的排序法对保卫目标的重要性进行了定量分析.最后通过算例对算法的正确性和实用性进行了验证.     

使用目标状态估值器提高空对空射击性能

使用卡尔曼滤波器对机载火控雷达及其它传感器提供的数据进行处理,可以得到空对空射击火力控制需要的目标运动信息.通过动态数字仿真比较了前置计算光学瞄准和使用目标状态估值器两种空空射击的火控算法.在具备机载火控雷达的条件下,使用目标状态估值器能够提高空对空射击性能.     

Optimization and mediated bartering models for ground delay programs

The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) and the airline community within the United States have adopted a new paradigm for air traffic flow management, called Collaborative Decision Making (CDM). A principal goal of CDM is shared decision‐making responsibility between the FAA and airlines, so as to increase airline control over decisions that involve economic tradeoffs. So far, CDM has primarily led to enhancements in the implementation of Ground Delay Programs, by changing procedures for allocating slots to airlines and exchanging slots between airlines. In this paper, we discuss how these procedures may be formalized through appropriately defined optimization models. In addition, we describe how inter‐airline slot exchanges may be viewed as a bartering process, in which each “round” of bartering requires the solution of an optimization problem. We compare the resulting optimization problem with the current procedure for exchanging slots and discuss possibilities for increased decision‐making capabilities by the airlines. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006     

双层地下室空气冲击波特性的模型试验研究

高层建筑多层地下室内人防结构顶板核爆荷载的合理确定是目前人防结构设计中亟待解决的问题。文中在对实际工程的调查基础上,研究了双层地下室的试验模型,进行了空气冲击波在地下室模型内传播的爆炸试验,分析了作用在双层地下室底层结构顶板的爆炸压力分布特性,并得出多层地下室的底层顶板核爆荷载一般要小于单层地下室顶板核爆荷载设计值的结论.     

高精度气压源的Fuzzy-PID控制研究

设计了Fuzzy-PID双模控制器并应用到高精度气源压力控制系统中.试验表明,单纯采用PID控制的高精度气源压力控制系统具有精度高的优点,但不适应系统参数的变化.Fuzzy-PID双模控制器具有响应速度快、稳态误差小、鲁棒性强的优点.通过试验比较了传统PID、Fuzzy控制和Fuzzy-PID双模控制3种控制策略,试验结果表明,Fuzzy-PID双模控制器综合了Fuzzy控制和PID控制的优点,适用于高精度气源压力控制系统.     

ESCAPE FROM NUCLEAR DETERRENCE

Since the post-World War II genesis of nuclear deterrence, two presidential initiatives have been presented to deliver humanity from the threat of its failure. The first was the Strategic Defense Initiative (SDI), a constellation of space- and ground-based systems that President Ronald Reagan envisioned would render nuclear weapons “impotent and obsolete.” The second is President Barack Obama's roadmap to “a world without nuclear weapons,” commonly referred to as “Global Zero.” While these proposals appear to have little in common, deeper investigation reveals a number of provocative similarities in motivation and presentation. Moreover, both generated fierce debate, often with ideological overtones, about their strategic desirability and technical feasibility. We use these parallels, as well as prominent dissimilarities, to draw lessons from the SDI experience that can be applied to the debate over Global Zero.     

基于灰色关联分析的反导导弹战斗部作战效能评估

针对反导导弹战斗部的性能特点,以灰色关联理论为基础,采用灰色加权关联度分析进行综合评判,建立了反导导弹战斗部作战效能评估模型．最后通过算例,验证了该模型的完整性,最终为决策者做出合理的作战决策提供了理论参考．     

基于仿真实验的弹道导弹阵地优选

合理部署弹道导弹位置对于提高作战效能具有至关重要的作用。基于解析计算的优化方法难以反映环境因素、武器装备的技术和动力特性等不确定性因素对部署位置的影响,求得的结果存在置信度低的问题。故将解析法与仿真实验相结合,以体系对抗条件下弹道导弹作战效能评估的数学模型为基础,建立了由各种作战实体和行动的模型聚合而成的弹道导弹攻防对抗仿真模型,然后通过仿真实验找出最优部署位置,最后给出了应用示例。实验表明该方法具有速度快、效率高、结果清晰直观的特点,可为指挥员提供科学、快速的决策支持。