The Demand for Military Expenditure in Europe: The Role of Fiscal Space in the Context of a Resurgent Russia

A variant of established work on the demand for military expenditure is developed based on a practical concept of fiscal space from the perspective of short-term government choices concerning public expenditures. A new indicator, referred to as fiscal capacity, is defined and used as a candidate explanatory variable in an empirical model of European defence spending over the 2007–2016 period. Fiscal capacity is found to outperform simpler measurements of economic conditions, notably GDP growth forecasts, in explaining changes in defence spending efforts as a share of GDP. Regarding security environment variables, the results suggest that Russia has recently come to be seen as a potential military threat by European nations, leading to defence spending increases, the more so the shorter the distance to stationed or deployed Russian forces, and particularly so by those European nations that have a land border with Russia. A prospective exercise is then carried out in order to assess the capacity of EU member states that are also members of NATO to reach NATO’s 2% goal for defence spending over a mid-term horizon.     

Excess procurement strategies by a dominant buyer under constrained supply

Supply chains are often characterized by the presence of a dominant buyer purchasing from a supplier with limited capacity. We study such a situation where a single supplier sells capacity to an established and more powerful buyer and also to a relatively less powerful buyer. The more powerful buyer enjoys the first right to book her capacity requirements at supplier's end, and then the common supplier fulfills the requirement of the less powerful buyer. We find that when the supplier's capacity is either too low (below the lower threshold) or too high (above the higher threshold), there is no excess procurement as compared to the case when supplier has infinite capacity. When the supplier's capacity is between these two thresholds, the more powerful buyer purchases an excess amount in comparison to the infinite capacity case.     

弹(箭)体级间连接结构准静载失效实验与数值预示

级间螺栓法兰连接是导弹(火箭)常见的连接方式,但破坏了整体结构连续性,且承载能力薄弱,在外荷载作用下易发生失效而使整弹(箭)结构强度丧失。根据实际导弹(火箭)连接结构特点,简化设计并制作了一组原理性实验件,设计了准静载加载实验测试系统和螺栓响应信号传感器,进行了两次准静载失效实验,并利用ABAQUS软件建立了对应的有限元仿真模型。根据实验效果和实测数据,分析了连接结构在准静载荷载作用下的失效机理,并对比验证发现有限元模型数值模拟效果和精度与实验吻合较好。研究结论可为弹(箭)体级间连接结构承载能力和失效实验设计提供参考。     

Stochastic production capacity: A bane or a boon for quick response supply chains?

The quick response (QR) system that can cope with demand volatility by shortening lead time has been well studied in the literature. Much of the existing literature assumes implicitly or explicitly that the manufacturers under QR can always meet the demand because the production capacity is always sufficient. However, when the order comes with a short lead time under QR, availability of the manufacturer's production capacity is not guaranteed. This motivates us to explore QR in supply chains with stochastic production capacity. Specifically, we study QR in a two-echelon supply chain with Bayesian demand information updating. We consider the situation where the manufacturer's production capacity under QR is uncertain. We first explore how stochastic production capacity affects supply chain decisions and QR implementation. We then incorporate the manufacturer's ability to expand capacity into the model. We explore how the manufacturer determines the optimal capacity expansion decision, and the value of such an ability to the supply chain and its agents. Finally, we extend the model to the two-stage two-ordering case and derive the optimal ordering policy by dynamic programming. We compare the single-ordering and two-ordering cases to generate additional managerial insights about how ordering flexibility affects QR when production capacity is stochastic. We also explore the transparent supply chain and find that our main results still hold.     

收缩管道装置层流热边界层理论及应用研究

研究了收缩管道装置层流热边界层理论及其应用。对于速度边界层提出了相似性解的解析结果,给出了速度分布、边界层厚度、摩擦阻力和水头损失的解析计算表达式。对于温度边界层利用管道热边界层方程,推出了温度分布、温度边界层厚度和热流量的计算关系式,并给出了设计应用实例。     

基于灰色聚类的管道电伴热系统安全评价

虽然管道电伴热系统在国防工业领域有着十分广泛的应用,但在实际使用过程中也经常会出现各种问题.本文针对管道电伴热系统安全性的评价问题,在分析总结管道电伴热系统常见故障的基础上,从系统设计、安装施工、电气连接与操作使用4个方面,选取17个影响因素构建管道电伴热系统安全评价指标体系,通过改进层次分析法计算得到各方案层的权重值...     

多进制多维信号集信道容量分析及其计算

描述了信道容量的一般概念 ,具体就波形信道 ,连续信道及离散输入连续输出无记忆信道进行了分析 ,分别导出了它们的信道容量公式。结合几种常见的多进制多维调制技术MPSK、MQAM、L正交信号及其星座分析 ,给出了它们信道容量的Monte Carlo模拟以及数值积分模拟 ,同时分析了由于信号集扩展而带来的编码增益     

The value of information sharing in a two‐stage supply chain with production capacity constraints

We consider a simple two‐stage supply chain with a single retailer facing i.i.d. demand and a single manufacturer with finite production capacity. We analyze the value of information sharing between the retailer and the manufacturer over a finite time horizon. In our model, the manufacturer receives demand information from the retailer even during time periods in which the retailer does not order. To analyze the impact of information sharing, we consider the following three strategies: (1) the retailer does not share demand information with the manufacturer; (2) the retailer does share demand information with the manufacturer and the manufacturer uses the optimal policy to schedule production; (3) the retailer shares demand information with the manufacturer and the manufacturer uses a greedy policy to schedule production. These strategies allow us to study the impact of information sharing on the manufacturer as a function of the production capacity, and the frequency and timing in which demand information is shared. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2003     

HALLO进气系统对柴油机燃烧的影响分析

利用燃烧分析方法,对TBD620V12柴油机的缸内压力曲线进行了放热规律分析.根据分析结果,研究了HALLO进气系统对燃烧过程的影响,确定了TBD620V12柴油机燃烧过程的特征参数.结果表明,采用HALLO进气系统,既保证了低负荷下形成良好的可燃混合气,使柴油机可在低负荷下良好地工作,又保证了高负荷下进气量,使高负荷下燃油充分燃烧.     

低散热柴油机研究综述

低散热柴油机是对燃烧室等主要受热零部件采取隔热措施处理的发动机。发动机工作时,通过燃烧室表面向冷却水的传热减少,可以显著减小坦克发动机冷却系统的整体尺寸。介绍了低散热柴油机的研究和发展情况,分析了隔热技术研究存在的问题,提出了坦克装甲车辆柴油机应用隔热技术研究的方向,指出隔热技术应用于柴油机成功与否的关键是隔热部件或涂层材料的可靠性,应用隔热技术后,应该进行燃烧系统优化及车辆冷却系统的整体性能的研究。