Should competing firms reveal their capacity?

In this article, we explore when firms have an incentive to hide (or reveal) their capacity information. We consider two firms that aim to maximize profits over time and face limited capacity. One or both of the firms have private information on their own capacity levels, and they update their beliefs about their rival's capacity based on their observation of the other firm's output. We focus on credible revelation mechanisms—a firm may signal its capacity through overproduction, compared to its myopic production levels. We characterize conditions when high‐capacity firms may have the incentive and capability to signal their capacity levels by overproduction. We show that prior beliefs about capacity play a crucial, and surprisingly complex, role on whether the firm would prefer to reveal its capacity or not. A surprising result is that, despite the fact that it may be best for the high‐capacity firm to overproduce to reveal its capacity when capacity information is private, it may end up with more profits than if all capacity information were public knowledge in the first place. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013     

基于证据理论的军械装备修理能力认证评估方法

借鉴AHP法建立军械装备修理能力认证评估体系,并构建其递阶层次模型。确立体系各级指标权重中,引入D-S证据理论对多专家意见进行融合;综合考虑专家的权重和不确定度,并采用单值转换分布概率算法对专家评价分数进行换算,改进了AHP法受专家经验、知识限制,主观性强等缺点。经算例分析,该方法能准确可靠地评价型号装备修理机构的修理能力,减少专家主观因素对评估结果的影响。     

参数法确定舰船增压锅炉的蒸发量

对于新制造或中修后的蒸汽动力装置的锅炉来说,研究其热平衡、确定其热效率以及检验增压锅炉出力,都必须知道锅炉的蒸发量.针对传统方法确定锅炉蒸发量的不足,运用流体力学基本原理,用参数法推出确定舰船增压锅炉蒸发量的计算公式.只需要在稳定工况下通过记录蒸汽参数(pk和pgr、tgr及B),并在计算机上编程计算即可得到蒸发量Dk.     

集热罩对喷头启动时间影响的数值模拟研究

通过分析大空间场所的特点,并选择FDS软件作为研究工具分别对集热罩边长为200、400、600、800mm;边缘厚度为40、50、60mm;喷头距火源的垂直高度为6、7、8、9m;喷头在火源正上方以及与火源的水平间距为2.2m时喷水灭火系统喷头启动时间进行模拟,通过对比分析集热罩对大空间场所中喷头的作用效果,为集热罩的设计提供指导。     

公安消防机构推行说理执法探索

探索推行说理执法是公安机关消防机构创新社会管理,不断改进和加强消防监督执法工作,提高理性、平和、文明、规范执法能力的重要举措。从说理执法的内涵及推行说理执法的重大意义,说理执法应当把握的指导思想、基本原则、任务和要求等方面,对推行说理执法作了初步探讨。     

先张预应力BFRP筋混凝土梁受弯性能试验研究

玄武岩纤维筋是一种新型复合材料,具有轻质、高强、非磁性、耐高温、耐酸碱等多重优点.完成了直径为10 mm的BFRP筋基本力学性能测试.进行了3根先张有粘结预应力BFRP筋混凝土梁,1根非预应力BFRP筋混凝土梁的受弯性能对比试验,分析了试验梁受力过程及破坏形态、平截面假定情况、特征荷载值、荷载--挠度关系、裂缝发展情况...     

Hazard evaluation of ignition sensitivity and explosion severity for three typical MH2 (M＝Mg,Ti, Zr) of energetic materials

MgH2, TiH2, and ZrH2 are three typical metal hydrides that have been gradually applied to composite explosives and propellants as additives in recent years. To evaluate ignition sensitivity and explosion severity, the Hartmann device and spherical pressure vessel were used to test ignition energy and ex-plosion pressure, respectively. The results showed that the ignition sensitivity of ZrH2, TiH2 and MgH2 gradually increased. When the concentration of MgH2 is 83.0 g/m3 in Hartmann device, the ignition energy attained a minimum of 10.0 mJ. The explosion pressure of MgH2 were 1.44 times and 1.76 times that of TiH2 and ZrH2, respectively, and the explosion pressure rising rate were 3.97 times and 9.96 times that of TiH2 and ZrH2, respectively, through the spherical pressure vessel. It indicated that the reaction reactivity and reaction rate of MgH2 were higher than that of TiH2 and ZrH2. In addition, to conduct in-depth theoretical analysis of ignition sensitivity and explosion severity, gas production and combus-tion heat per unit mass of ZrH2, TiH2 and MgH2 were tested by mercury manometer and oxygen bomb calorimetry. The experimental results revealed that MgH2 had a relatively high gas production per unit mass (5.15 mL/g), while TiH2 and ZrH2 both had a gas production of less than 2.0 mL/g. Their thermal stability gradually increased, leading to a gradual increase in ignition energy. Furthermore, compared with theoretical combustion heat, the combustion ratio of MgH2, TiH2 and ZrH2 was more than 96.0%, with combustion heat value of 29.96, 20.94 and 12.22 MJ/kg, respectively, which was consistent with the explosion pressure and explosion severity test results.     

提高MIMO系统容量的检测算法研究

为了满足通信容量的需求,在发射端和接收端设置多元素天线阵列构成多输入多输出系统,可以显著提高频谱的利用率.基于贝尔实验室提出的非线性迫零检测算法,提出了反向迫零检测算法.理论和仿真证明,在相同信噪比条件下,反向迫零检测算法获得的系统容量高于非线性迫零检测以及线性迫零检测算法.与奇异值分解算法相比,该算法虽然得到的系统容量有所减小,但是由于所需的运算量相对较小,因而易于实现.     

做好编辑工作应具备的素质和能力

编辑工作是整个出版工作的中心环节,编辑又是读者与作者之间不可或缺的桥梁与纽带。能否在编辑工作中贯彻“从读者出发,为读者服务”的指导方针,是整个编辑出版工作成败的关键所在。当代新闻出版业的急剧发展和演变,对编辑工作也提出了新的要求。     

军事电子信息系统能力需求分析概述

军事电子信息系统现已发展成为支持信息化作战的核心系统,基于该系统与作战思想、方式之间紧密关联的特殊性,阐述了军事电子信息系统能力需求分析在信息系统需求工程中的重要地位和作用,分析了军事电子信息系统能力需求分析的基本内容,探讨了能力需求分析的实施过程,并进行了弹道导弹信息感知系统能力需求分析。通过对军事电子信息系统能力需求分析实施过程及其应用的研究,为军事电子信息系统能力需求工程提供借鉴。