The Damoclean sword of offensive cyber: Policy uncertainty and collective insecurity

Cyberspace is a new domain of operation, with its own characteristics. Cyber weapons differ qualitatively from kinetic ones: They generate effects by non-kinetic means through information, technology, and networks. Their properties, opportunities, and constraints are comparable to the qualitative difference between conventional and nuclear weapons. New weapons and their target sets in a new domain raise a series of unresolved policy challenges at the domestic, bilateral, and international levels about deterrence, attribution, and response. They also introduce new risks: uncertainty about unintended consequences, expectations of efficacy, and uncertainty about both the target’s and the international community’s response. Cyber operations offer considerable benefits for states to achieve strategic objectives both covertly and overtly. However, without a strategic framework to contain and possibly deter their use, make state and non-state behavior more predictable in the absence of reciprocal norms, and limit their impact, an environment where states face persistent attacks that nonetheless fall below the threshold of armed conflict presents a policy dilemma that reinforces collective insecurity.     

The Russian hybrid warfare strategy – neither Russian nor strategy

Following Russia’s annexation of Crimea and its initial actions in eastern Ukraine in 2014, the term hybrid warfare has received much public attention. Many have argued that the Russian actions we saw in Ukraine were part of a completely new strategy while others have suggested that there was nothing new in Russia’s actions. This article takes a critical look at these claims. Through the assessment of the history of the term hybrid warfare and a rigorous analysis of the so-called Gerasimov doctrine, this study finds that the Russian hybrid warfare strategy is rather a western myth than a formal comprehensive Russian strategic concept. Additionally, through the assessment of the Russian use of information operations and the way she has utilised the cyberspace in several recent conflicts, the study finds that against all claims Russia did not make these areas its main battlefield, but rather has been using them in support of its traditional concepts.     

一类飞行器载荷设计的三分段方法研究与应用

为有效解决传统载荷设计方法中存在的诸多不足,提出一种适用于一类飞行器载荷设计的三分段法,即分段刚度、分段质量和分段气动。该方法能够很好地逼近飞行器的真实质量分布和气动载荷分布。针对简化飞行器,分别利用三分段法、理论计算法和质量分站法计算其模态参数和截面载荷。结果表明,三分段法和理论计算法在模型参数、计算原理上是一致的,基本可以认为是一种方法,因而它们的模态参数和截面载荷完全吻合;质量分站法所得左、右截面载荷不一致,且相差很大,还不符合真实载荷情况。总之,采用三分段法能够得到较为真实、合理的飞行器截面载荷分布,且工程应用简便,方法合理、可信,同时还可以在很大程度上降低飞行器载荷设计和结构设计的难度。     

基于XML的海军作战仿真想定设计方法

作战仿真想定是军事仿真系统的重要组成部分,为仿真系统的运行提供了初始态势和作战任务。目前在仿真想定中存在的主要问题是对想定描述的格式和手段不统一,生成的仿真想定可读性和可移植性不好,影响了仿真系统的真实性和可信度。以海军装备应用研究系统为背景,着眼于海军作战仿真想定生成系统的标准化,通过分析海军作战想定描述的层次结构,针对XML技术在数据表达方面的特点和应用,探讨了使用XML表示标准的作战想定开发方法,以潜艇破交任务为例介绍了海军作战想定的设计方法。     

C~4ISR体系结构框架及设计方法

描述了美军体系结构设计框架的演变过程,包括最新《国防部体系结构框架》1.5版(DODAF1.5)的基本情况和《国防部体系结构框架》制定的最新进展。深入分析并比较了常用的几种体系结构设计方法的特点和它们各自的适用范围,讨论了体系结构开发中的一些共性因素和发展规律,最后对我军体系结构设计发展提出了一些建议。     

并行时域自适应算法在电大目标瞬态散射中的应用

基于电磁场时域积分方程(TDIE)数值技术计算复杂目标的瞬态散射特性,其计算量和内存需求大,采用时域自适应算法(TDAIM)降低了TDIE的计算规模。在研究TDAIM并行算法的基础上,开发了基于.NET Remoting的电磁场分布式数值计算方案。数值结果表明,该方案显著提高了TDAIM的计算效率,为解决电大目标瞬态电磁散射问题提供了一条有效途径。     

混合尺寸目标电磁计算的时域伪谱/有限体积混合方法

针对单一算法对混合尺寸目标进行时域电磁分析的困难,提出一种时域伪谱(PSTD)同时域有限体积(FVTD)混合方法。FVTD可方便地分析复杂的几何结构和材料,但是难以计算电大尺寸的目标,PSTD则特别适合计算电大尺寸的规则结构,但在模拟复杂的几何结构尤其是带有曲边结构以及电大、电小共存结构时存在困难。混合方法克服了单独算法的缺点,融合各自的优势,提高了算法的求解能力和应用范围。为了减小两种算法连接边界带来的反射,采用了FVTD计算面均值的二次函数重构方法,给出了交叠网格和非交叠网格两种混合方案。数值试验表明,混合方法有较高的精度,具有时域分析混合尺寸目标电磁问题的能力。     

两种捆绑火箭弹性振动建模方法对比分析及其对姿控系统的影响

针对长助推和短助推两种类型捆绑火箭的不同模态特点,分析了两者弹性振动建模方法的区别和联系,在此基础上建立了某型固体捆绑火箭姿态动力学新模型,模型中基于有限元法导出了弹性振动方程,基于该模型对箭体复杂弹性振动引起的通道间耦合进行了研究,采用逆Nyquist阵列法进行设计。结果表明,该模型能更准确地反映捆绑火箭纵、横、扭耦合运动特性;新模型三通道之间存在弹性耦合,但耦合矩阵具有对角优势性质,采用逆Nyquist阵列法进行姿控系统设计是有效的,仿真结果表明设计的控制器可行,能够取得比较好的性能。     

极化域-空域联合估计在反辐射导弹抗诱偏中的应用研究

提出了将极化阵列应用到反辐射导引头上,导引头利用目标与诱饵的极化差异,采用极化域-空域联合估计方法抗诱偏。首先,利用波达方向矩阵法,估算出雷达与诱饵的空间二维到达角和极化参数,将估算出来的二维到达角信息为反辐射导引头提供导引,极化参数用来鉴别雷达与诱饵,从而达到抗诱偏的目的。然后,结合导弹运动方程及导引方程对反辐射导弹抗三点源诱偏进行了全弹道数字仿真,并且采用Monte-Carlo方法对全弹道仿真进行了多次实验,仿真结果证明了将极化域-空域联合估计应用于反辐射导引头抗诱偏的可行性。     

PSOR方法的比较性定理

给出了一种PSOR方法,在理论上证明了PSOR方法的渐近收敛速度快于基本的AOR迭代法．同时,给出了在条件0〈ω≤1下,PSOR方法中参数ω的最优值．最后用数值例子验证了所得的主要结论．