Comparison between constant‐stress and step‐stress accelerated life tests under Time Constraint

By running life tests at higher stress levels than normal operating conditions, accelerated life testing (ALT) quickly yields information on the lifetime distribution of a test unit. The lifetime at the design stress is then estimated through extrapolation using a regression model. In constant‐stress testing, a unit is tested at a fixed stress level until failure or the termination time point of test, whereas step‐stress testing allows the experimenter to gradually increase the stress levels at some prefixed time points during the test. In this work, the optimal k‐level constant‐stress and step‐stress ALTs are compared for the exponential failure data under complete sampling and Type‐I censoring. The objective is to quantify the advantage of using the step‐stress testing relative to the constant‐stress one. Assuming a log‐linear life–stress relationship with the cumulative exposure model for the effect of changing stress in step‐stress testing, the optimal design points are determined under C/D/A‐optimality criteria. The efficiency of step‐stress testing to constant‐stress one is then discussed in terms of the ratio of optimal objective functions based on the information matrix. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 00: 000–000, 2013     

Does Geopolitical Risks Predict Stock Returns and Volatility of Leading Defense Companies? Evidence from a Nonparametric Approach

Abstract

We use the k-th-order nonparametric causality test at monthly frequency over the period of 1985:1 to 2016:06 to analyze whether geopolitical risks can predict movements in stock returns and volatility of 24 global defense firms. The nonparametric approach controls for the existing misspecification of a linear framework of causality, and hence, the mild evidence of causality obtained under the standard Granger tests cannot be relied upon. When we apply the nonparametric test, we find that there is no evidence of predictability of stock returns of these defense companies emanating from the geopolitical risk measure. However, the geopolitical risk index does predict realized volatility in 50% of the companies. Our results indicate that while global geopolitical events over a period of time is less likely to predict returns, such global risks are more inclined in affecting future risk profile of defense firms.     

发变电所传导干扰分析与抑制措施的研究

通过对发变电所由开关操作在二次系统和低压交流电源系统传导测量结果的分析,确定变电站低压交流电源中传导干扰的特征,利用安捷伦（Agilent）矢量网络分析仪,研究几种典型电源滤波器的插入损耗和特性阻抗等频率特性,应用夏弗纳（Schaffner）等系列抗扰度试验设备,研究电源滤波器对电快速瞬变脉冲群和衰减振荡波的滤波和抑制效果,给出了变电站电源滤波器的滤波特性要求。     

改进的Euler方法应用于非线性方程求根

本文通过引入动力系统,将改进的Euler方法应用于非线性方程求根问题,给出非线性方程求根的预估-再校正迭代格式,证明了该格式至少二阶收敛并可以调节参数达到超收敛。最后给出数值实验,数值结果验证了算法的有效性。     

C~4ISR系统仿真测试研究

针对一种C4ISR系统在测试时的特点,提出了模拟仿真测试的方案,建立了仿真装备与指挥系统的交互模型,设计了交互对象的自动匹配算法,并在实际系统的仿真测试中得到应用和验证。     

关注个体生命成长的公共教育学——基于教学实践的反思

关注个体生命成长的教育学是相对关注完整学科体系的公共教育学提出的。关注个体生命成长的教育学意味着回归教育学本原,从教育学原点出发,重新思考公共教育学身处当前尴尬处境的原因,并从价值取向、课程目标、教学方法、师生关系四个方面思考公共教育学走出困境的可能思路。     

应急机场沥青道面高温稳定性试验研究

利用MTS～810型材料伺服试验机对应急机场道面沥青混凝土进行了高温条件下车辙试验和蠕变试验。试验结果表明：随应力的增大,沥青混凝土的弹性应变增大,塑性应力增大,破坏时间提前,应变的发展速度越来越快;得出了应急机场道面沥青混凝土的粘、弹性参数与应力的关系及本构模型;求出了不同机型的不同胎压作用下应急机场面层沥青混凝土的动稳定度;根据应急机场跑道上的飞机重复作用次数及车辙试验结果,计算了不同胎压作用下应急机场沥青混凝土面层的变形厚度,在允许寿命内面层沥青混凝土的动稳定度满足要求。     

舰炮武器系统维修性试验方法研究

根据现代海战的要求,对舰炮武器系统维修性试验的必要性和重要性作出分析阐述;依据舰炮武器系统的组成特点,科学地制定了维修性试验的基本程序和试验项目;给出舰炮武器系统维修性试验具体试验方案.     

基于装备全寿命周期的装备需求论证研究

在研究装备需求论证和装备全寿命周期基本理论的基础上,建立了"螺旋型"的装备全寿命周期模型,依据该模型将装备全寿命周期划分为需求论证、方案设计、演示验证、工程研制、生产部署、使用保障和退役报废7个阶段。分析了基于装备全寿命周期的装备需求论证的基本概念,将装备需求论证的工作过程划分为需求生成与确认、需求修正与实现、需求验证与反馈3个阶段,并阐述了3个阶段的主要工作内容。     

便携式电磁辐射检测仪的研制与测试

研制一款便携式电磁辐射检测仪,详细阐述了其内部结构及部分电路组成,该检测仪采用单片机处理采集信号,方便实用。通过大量实验对其进行测试,结果表明,液晶显示屏上显示的电磁辐射电场强度的测量精度在±2.5 dB之内,达到了设计标准,能够对电磁环境进行有效监测。