A note on the causal relationship between defence spending and growth in Greece: 1955–93

The causal relationship between economic growth and defence spending has attracted considerable attention and has been the subject of many empirical studies. This paper investigates the existence of a causal link between military expenditure and economic growth in the case of Greece for the period 1955–93. By European Union standards, Greece allocates substantial human and material resources to defence. At the same time, Greece is the poorest European Union member facing chronic economic problems. Using the concept of Granger‐causality, the findings reported herein suggest that neither variable Granger‐causes the other disclosing thereof the absence of any causal ordering between them.     

论开发西北地区资源环境与兵团应采取的对策

西北作为资源开发主导型地区 ,矿产资源和水资源在开发利用过程中 ,存在一系列问题。兵团在新疆具有举足轻重的地位 ,应该协调该地区资源开发与环境保护 ,在可持续发展道路中采取相应的对策。     

Defence spending and economic growth: A causal analysis for Greece and Turkey*

There are a number of studies which consider the relation between military spending and economic growth using Granger causality techniques rather than a well‐defined economic model. Some have used samples of groups of countries, finding no consistent results. Others have focused on case studies of individual countries, which has the advantage of the researchers bringing to bear much more data than the cross country samples and a greater knowledge of the structure of the economy and the budget. This paper adds to the literature by providing an analysis of two countries, Greece and Turkey, which are particularly interesting case studies given their high military burdens, the poor relations between the two and the resulting arms race in the area. In addition to analysing the data using standard “pre‐cointegration” Granger causality techniques, this paper employs modern vector autoregressive (VAR) methodology that utilises cointegration via Granger's representation theorem. The standard Granger causality tests suggest a positive effect of changing military burden on growth for Greece, but this is not sustained when the cointegration between output and military burden is taken into account. The only evidence of significant Granger causality is a negative impact of military burden on growth in Turkey.     

复杂系统维修性综合评估技术

分析了复杂系统使用期间维修性水平动态变化特点,研究了复杂系统在使用中维修性数据特点、类型和分布确定方法,建立了复杂系统使用期间维修性指标综合评估模型,提出了维修性增长极大似然评估方法,为复杂系统维修性指标计算和评估提供参考。     

The nexus between military expenditures and economic growth in the BRICS and the US: an empirical note

This empirical note re-examines the causal linkages between military expenditures and economic growth for the BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) and that for the USA during the period 1988–2012. Results of Granger causality tests show that military expenditures influence economic growth in the USA, economic growth influences military expenditures in both Brazil and India, a feedback between military expenditures and economic growth in Russia, and no causal relation exists between military expenditures and economic growth in China and South Africa. The findings of this study can provide important policy implications for the BRICS countries and also for the USA.     

成败型产品的Bayes鉴定试验方案研究

利用可靠性增长模型给出了成败型产品鉴定试验的一种Bayes方法.提出了Bayes鉴定试验的最大后验风险准则,利用这种准则制定的鉴定试验方案综合了产品研制过程中的先验信息.在确保产品质量的前提下,与传统的鉴定试验方案相比,将大大节省试验时间.     

环境因素对枝孢霉菌生长特性的影响

考察了温度、pH、Fe3+质量浓度等主要环境因素对喷气燃料中特征微生物——枝孢霉菌生长的影响,为喷气燃料中枝孢霉菌的防治提供科学指导。在500 nm波长处,测定了不同浓度枝孢霉菌菌液的OD值,得出其浓度与OD值线性相关,且相关性大于99%。经生长特性试验,表明枝孢霉菌在24~40℃生命力较强,在32℃生长最为旺盛,低温和高温枝孢霉菌几乎停滞生长,高温对真菌的抑制作用更加明显;p H为3~11,随着pH增大,生长速度先加快随后减慢,最适宜生长的p H为9;Fe3+质量浓度为0~200 mg/L,随着Fe3+质量浓度增大,枝孢霉菌生长趋于旺盛,即Fe3+能促进枝孢霉菌的生长。所以,监测和控制储罐中温度和pH,减少储罐和管道腐蚀,是预防和控制喷气燃料中枝孢霉菌污染的有效措施。     

Analysis on MAV/UAV cooperative combat based on complex network

A formation model of manned/unmanned aerial vehicle (MAV/UAV) collaborative combat can qualitatively and quantitatively analyze the synergistic effects. However, there is currently no effective and appropriate model construction method or theory, and research in the field of collaborative capability evaluation is basically nonexistent. According to the actual conditions of cooperative operations, a new MAV/UAV collaborative combat network model construction method based on a complex network is presented. By analyzing the characteristic parameters of the abstract network, the index system and complex network are combined. Then, a method for evaluating the synergistic effect of the cooperative combat network is developed. This method provides assistance for the verification and evaluation of MAV/UAV collaborative combat.     

Growth model of cavity generated by the projectile impacting liquid-filled tank

The high-speed impact of a projectile on a liquid-filled tank causes the hydraulic ram, in which a cavity is formed. To study the growth characteristics of the cavity, the formation mechanism of the cavity is analyzed. The effect of Reynolds number and Mach number on drag coefficient is considered, the axial and radial growth models of the cavity are established respectively. The relative errors between the cavity length calculated by the axial growth model, the cavity diameter calculated by the radial growth model and Ma L. Y. test results are less than 20%, which verifies the effectiveness of the axial and radial growth models. Finally, numerical simulation is carried out to study the growth characteristics of the cavity caused by the projectile impacting the satellite tank at the velocity of 4000 m/s. The cavity length and diameter calculated by the axial and radial growth models agree well with those obtained by simulation results, indicating that the cavity length and diameter in satellite tank can be accurately calculated by the axial and radial growth models.     

高校新教师专业成长个人状况的调查与思考

新教师阶段是教师专业成长的关键阶段,对教师个体和学校的可持续发展具有深远意义。本文采用实地观察、问卷访谈等研究方法,对某高校新教师的职业满意度、专业成长的动机、需要和自我意识等专业成长个人状况进行了调查,分析其发展现状和存在的问题,进而提出促进新教师专业成长的思考与建议。