Is there a Greek‐Turkish arms race?: Evidence from cointegration and causality tests†

Greece and Turkey are both members of NATO and are two of the principal players in the Balkan region. Their respective defence burdens (i.e. the share of military expenditure to GDP) are the highest in NATO. Their bilateral relations are marred by serious friction and conflict of interest and have on a number of occasions come close to an armed confrontation. Their strategic interaction and mutual weapons build‐up has recently attracted the attention of researchers in the field testing the hypothesis of a Greek‐Turkish arms race with conflicting results. This paper, using cointegration and causality tests, finds evidence of a systematic armaments competition between the two countries provided that a defence policy regime shift estimated to occur in 1985 is explicitly taken into consideration. This policy regime change is associated with the stagnation of defence spending in Greece owing to the gradual deterioration of Greek public finances over the last decade.     

结构解析建模方法在舰艇训练计划中的应用

根据舰艇训练计划特点,运用结构解析模型分析舰艇训练计划,建立训练内容的邻接矩阵与可达矩阵,划分训练内容的层次,并进行分层优化排列配置.建立的结构解析模型在计划实施过程中可根据外部因素的变化,提出适应不同变化的计划方案,能很好适用于实际的训练环境,大大提高了时间、资源利用率和保障舰艇的训练安全,对现有舰艇训练方法起到很好的改进作用.     

Experimental and numerical investigation of zirconium jet performance with different liner shapes design

This paper studies the shaped charge jet performance in terms of different liner shapes including conical,bell,hemispherical and bi-conical liners.The critical angles and the relevant flow velocities for the zir-conium liner material were calculated analytically and numerically using Autodyn hydro-code.The relationship between the critical collapse angle and the flow velocity was determined for the conditions of jet formation and coherency.Penetration tests according to the standard testing procedures of API-RP34 (Section-Ⅱ) were performed to validate the numerical predictions of the jet performance of the studied liners.It was found that the four shaped charge liners all produced coherent jets with different performances.The penetration depth of the shaped charges with the bell and the bi-conical liner shapes increased by 10.3％ and 22％,respectively,while the crater diameter of shaped charge with hemispherical liner increased by 85％ representing the formation of an explosively-formed-projectile (EFP),when they are compared with the corresponding jet characteristics of a conical liner shaped charge.     

边坡稳定性理论及其局限性

边坡分析理论经过近几十年的发展,基本形成了完善的体系。较为典型的有 极限平衡法,极限分析法,有限元法等。对各种分析方法做了简要的回顾与评述。基于极限 平衡原理发展的各种分析方法,大多需要做许多假设,同时对岩质边坡又不能很好地考虑其 断层节理特征。有限元强度折减法,是近年来发展起来的一种分析方法,与极限平衡法相比 不需要任何假设,可以求得任意形状边坡的临界滑移面及其对应的安全系数,同时可以反映 边坡失稳及塑性区的发展过程,为岩土体边坡分析开辟了新的途径。     

弹底引信许用旋卸扭矩的可靠性设计

分析了弹底引信旋卸时的应力分布特点,给出了应力分布规律已知时,引信不发生破坏的可靠度与最大许用旋卸扭矩之间的函数关系式,并将此式中的积分区间化为有限区间,使之能够用数值积分的方法求解。当应力分布规律未知时,假定所有被旋卸的引信都承受了同一最大应力,这样根据应力-强度干涉模型即可方便地求出其可靠度或最大许用扭矩。这两种计算方法也适用于其它螺纹连接件的旋卸可靠性分析。     

应用应力-强度干涉理论确定火炮零件的可靠性安全系数

本文根据应力—强度干涉理论,确定了火炮零件在统计意义下的可靠性安全系数并给出了可靠性安全系数的计算方法。将强度、应力、结构和可靠性计算联系起来。     

防空导弹兵力规划模型

借助兵力交换的思想,从宏观层次上研究不同类型的防空导弹火力单元对空中目标的优化分配问题;分析在最优目标分配策略下区域防空中各类型防空导弹火力单元的火力分配问题,并建立了递阶优化的求解模型.该模型可为区域防空部署的决策与分析提供科学依据.     

Φ2mm丝材电弧喷涂工艺对涂层结合强度的影响

分析了喷砂预处理和电弧喷涂这两个过程的工艺参数对涂层的结合强度的影响。将分数维理论用于喷砂后的试样表面,研究了喷砂角度、分数维和结合强度的相互关系,找到了获得最高结合强度所用的喷砂角度;通过正交试验法,找到了能获得最佳涂层结合强度的Φ2mm丝材电弧喷涂工艺参数。     

三维编织圆管力学性能及火箭级间段模拟结构承载能力研究

对于三维四向（４Ｄ）和五向（５Ｄ）两种编织碳／环氧圆管构件及由其组成的火箭模拟级间段，测试其压缩和扭转力学性能及轴压承载能力。实验表明，５Ｄ材料的压缩性能比４Ｄ材料有较大幅度提高，剪切模量提高幅度不明显。用３—细胞模型和ＦＧＭ模型预测相应的力学性能和压缩强度，并与实验结果进行了比较。结果表明，３—细胞模型的结果与实验结果符合较好，ＦＧＭ模拟预测结果偏低。本文结果为编织结构的设计分析提供了依据。     

关于潜艇装备劳兰C导航仪技术问题的研究

本文提出了一种改善潜艇现有天线接收性能的方法,从而解决了在潜艇上安装使用劳兰C导航仪的关键技术问题。