随机共振理论在雷达信号截获中的应用

雷达侦察主要通过无源侦察接收设备对空域中敌方雷达辐射源信号进行检测,若要实现对敌辐射源信号的截获,基本条件就是敌雷达信号能量能够达到雷达信号侦收设备的截获灵敏度。然而现代战场中,电磁环境复杂多变,敌雷达信号往往被干扰信号、噪声等掩盖,导致侦收设备漏警概率提高。针对以上问题,提出基于随机共振原理的雷达信号截获判断的方法,增大了截获信号的输出信噪比,解决了由于噪声过大掩盖的雷达信号的侦收问题。将该方法应用于雷达告警接收机的前端截获部分,大大降低了截获系统的漏警概率,保证了整个截获系统的稳定性。仿真实验验证了该方法的有效性。     

基于灰色关联和D-S证据理论的导弹系统安全性评估

针对导弹系统安全性评价的不确定性问题,提出了将灰色关联和D-S证据理论相结合的方法,从人员安全性、设备安全性和环境安全性建立了综合评估指标体系,用灰色关联分析处理了指标之间的关联性。在传统证据合成公式的基础上,考虑证据集非关键因素的权重,给出了修正的证据合成公式。并以打靶选弹为例进行了计算分析,得出了导弹安全性优先级排序,并将改进算法与传统计算方法的结果进行了比较,验证了评价模型的可行性与实用性,为导弹系统的管理工作提供了有益的参考。     

‘Responsibility to protect’ and the African Union: Assessing the AU’s capacity to respond to regional complex humanitarian and political emergencies

Despite its many institutional and political weaknesses and limitations, the African Union (AU) has been developing a variety of tools and mechanisms to respond effectively to complex disasters and emergencies (both natural and manmade) by building up a comprehensive regional security architecture. Furthermore, it has become the first and only regional or international organisation to enshrine the principle of ‘responsibility to protect’ (R2P) in its Constitutive Act. This regional approach to and formal endorsement of the R2P principle allowed it to assume a particular place in the promotion of peace and security in its area. This article aims to critically assess the effectiveness of the AU on the African continent by exploring its real capacity in preventing and responding to emergencies and violent conflicts, and therefore in rendering the principle of R2P operational. The article argues that the formalisation of principles does not necessarily mean their effective implementation. The organisation's use of the R2P principle is also greatly conditioned by internal and external factors.     

Obligation to prevent (O2P): Proposal for enhanced community approach to genocide prevention in Africa

As empathetic as distant nations may feel about an ongoing or looming catastrophe in a particular region of Africa, they are too far removed from the horror to grasp its gravity and impact. Geographical proximity to the atrocity, and the likelihood of its spreading to their neighbourhoods, make the communities and neighbouring countries in the imploding region the best and most effective first responders to a crisis in their own backyard. A response from ‘communal’ or ‘regional’ groups is, therefore, the most practical measure for preventing human rights violations in Africa from descending into an actual genocide or an intractable genocidal condition. A community approach to preventing genocide and other human rights abuses should serve as the foundation for a new concept of ‘moral pan-Africanism’ on the African continent in the 21^st century. This article makes an argument for this genocide prevention model and new moral concept.     

Constraining missile defence†

Assessing missile defence through the prism of offence–defence theory requires primarily an examination of legal and structural constraints on future development. New weapons technology is frequently cited as having the most critical impact on the offence–defence balance. Yet, the method for assessing the introduction of a new weapons technology tends to neglect projected maturity and instead focus excessively on the initial rudimentary capabilities. It is argued here that the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation’s (NATO’s) missile defence is set to incrementally become more advanced in terms of quality, quantity and mobility, which is supported by a strategy that is increasingly favouring offence. As the system gradually enhances the offensive advantage vis-à-vis Russia, NATO categorically rejects any legal or structural constraints on future deployments.     

基于正交实验的弹道导弹射程灵敏度参数分析

传统灵敏度分析方法无法得出弹道导弹射程的高敏感影响因素。针对这一问题,提出利用基于正交试验的灵敏度分析方法,对影响弹道导弹战标的主要参数进行分析。选取射程灵敏度问题,设计了实验方案与分析流程,并依托弹道模型进行了仿真。仿真结果验证了方法的有效性。     

舰艇对空自防御系统集成优化方法

舰艇对空自防御系统的集成优化设计是提高系统使用性能的重要途径,系统地分析了舰艇对空自防御系统集成优化的总体思路和主要工作内容,提出了采用开放式体系架构和基于公共计算服务环境技术的舰艇对空自防御系统集成优化方案。     

导弹突防后弹道机动调整策略强化学习

针对弹道导弹中段突防后飞行弹道与标准弹道产生较大偏离的弹道机动调整问题,建立了机动调整时机策略最优化模型。设计了机动调整逆序Q学习算法,采用Tile coding逼近器编码状态特征空间,并对其进行线性逼近。构建了Q学习算法与蒙特卡罗方法相结合的逆序更新策略机制,以对导弹机动调整最优时机进行训练。仿真测试分析结果表明,在给定场景参数下,通过10 000代强化学习算法训练得到的策略能够可靠地使用最少机动次数控制导弹突防后飞行弹道的调整决策,验证了方法的有效性。     

多机空战系统的歼击机建模技术

分析了多机空战系统的顶层模型结构,给出了机载雷达、武器控制和导弹等三个主要部件的模型,可以将其应用于多机空战仿真系统的数学建模和软件设计中.     

导弹子母弹战斗部对复杂目标毁伤的计算机仿真

介绍了蒙特卡洛方法(Monte-Carlo)仿真的基本原理,并运用该方法对导弹子母弹战斗部对复杂目标毁伤进行研究,利用Matlab语言编制仿真程序实现了计算机仿真.有效地解决了其他方法计算繁琐的弊端,大大提高了毁伤仿真的计算效率.仿真结果表明应用该方法建模技术简洁,模型的通用性好,并能够随时根据需求进行功能扩展.