民用建筑外墙保温材料防火对策

分析民用建筑外墙保温材料火灾危险性和在建工程施工现场消防管理存在的问题,讨论了我国建筑外墙保温立法存在的缺失,并提出了针对性的防火对策。     

试论性能化建筑火灾风险分析

针对目前我国利用现有建筑设计防火规范等一系列标准对建筑物进行火灾风险分析存在的不足,介绍澳大利亚的BCA结构体系和美国的建筑防火分析方法BFXEM两种性能化建筑火灾风险分析方法,并提出了性能化建筑火灾风险分析方法的基本框架及确定火灾场景的方法。在量化方法基础上,为建筑消防安全的风险问题提供了一项可以接受的解决方案。     

灰色系统理论在火灾预测中的应用

简述了灰色系统理论的基本概念与方法,并着重阐述了灰色理论中灾变预测的特点和其建模过程,并将其应用于实际火灾预测之中。     

集贸市场火灾隐患及整改对策

集贸市场作为社会主义市场经济的重要组成部分,其消防安全不容忽视。分析了当前集贸市场普遍存在的火灾隐患,从集贸市场建筑消防设计、集贸市场消防管理两个方面探讨了集贸市场火灾隐患的整改对策。     

Remotely Piloted Aircraft,Risk, and Killing as Sacrifice: The Cost of Remote Warfare

In this paper I argue that a remotely piloted aircraft (RPA) pilot’s act of killing remotely, when it is done in the defense of another person, can be viewed as an act of sacrifice. This argument concludes from two premises. First, the RPA pilot faces psychological risk to self by carrying out such an action; second, the RPA pilot is motivated to some significant degree by something other than self-interest. Moreover, I challenge both the view that RPA represent merely an incremental development in technology yielding an incremental expansion of the distance between the war-fighter and the target and the view that RPA is revolutionary in some fundamental sense. I instead argue that, based upon the natural geometric boundary imposed by the earth’s shape, RPA have maximized the physical distance between the war-fighter and the target and, over time, this fact will change, not only the psychological effects on the RPA pilot, but also the way we view killing and distance in general. When taken together, these two broad claims, that other-defense can justify killing in war and that there is a psychological cost paid by remote killers, yield a conception of remote killing as an act of sacrifice that will inform the broader conversation about ethics, risk, killing, and RPA.     

Advancing “Defence-in-depth”: intelligence and systems dynamics

This article aims to encourage the fostering of more systems thinking, and its greater exploitation, within the domain of contemporary intelligence. With particular focus on “micro systems thinking” and with reference to key intelligence processes, such as intelligence analysis, the utility of many systems dynamics within the intelligence context seeks to be further revealed. Through their greater collective harnessing, including up to “System of Systems” (“SoS”) dynamics, and promoting all that they can offer, more sophisticated overarching operational-to-strategic/policy “ends,” notably that of “defence-in-depth,” can be viably further advanced in a sustainable manner into the future. Arguably, a much-needed transformative impact on contemporary intelligence can also be increasingly realised through comprehensively engaging in and with more systems and SoS thinking. Aiding civil protection tasks, crisis management, emergency planners, and civil contingency practitioners likewise gain.     

浅析内装修工程防排烟系统设计的常见问题

在内装修工程中,出于减少建设资金投入、缩短施工周期等原因,导致防排烟系统设置不当或者随意改动原有系统的情况时有发生,由此产生诸多不符合规范要求的隐患.结合工作中的案例对此问题进行分析,指出建设单位不重视、设计单位未严格按规范设计是产生问题的重要原因,在此基础上提出了相应的建议,以引起相关单位的重视.     

仿真信号模糊一致性分析与风险评估方法

为了完善基于置信区间的仿真信号一致性分析方法,考虑了置信区间与接收区间的长度匹配问题,定义来最佳样本容量,并在此基础上提出了基于D-S证据理论的仿真信号模糊一致性分析方法。同时为了对信号仿真模型的风险进行定量评估,建立了信号仿真模型风险系数函数,得到多参数仿真信号风险系数向量,以此给决策者和/或仿真用户提供决策支持。最后,用水中兵器仿真试验中水中目标辐射噪声仿真的应用实例加以说明。     

用人工神经网络BP算法评价城市火灾风险

深入讨论了人工神经网络的BP算法在城市火灾风险评价中应用的可行性和一些具体做法.     

消防办公网络安全需求分析及对策

通过简要介绍消防网络的构成及功能,进行网络安全及需求分析,并结合消防办公信息网的实际恃况,提出制定安全对策的几种建议.