基于遗传神经网络的装备研制作战需求方案评价

针对评价问题的实际情况,利用神经网络良好的自适应性和遗传算法强大的全局搜索能力,采用遗传算法和BP神经网络相结合的遗传神经网络算法解决装备研制作战需求方案评价问题。通过样本数据训练,提高了评价的准确性和适应性。仿真实验表明,该算法能够较好地克服人为因素和随机性的影响,其稳定性和精确性也有较高。     

C4KISR系统成熟度的评价方法及其成熟度模型

针对指挥自动化系统与武器系统一体化(即C4KISR)的演进过程及发展趋势,探索C4KISR系统成熟度的有关问题。在对C4KISR系统的内涵、组成、功能和主要特征作简要分析之后,提出了评价系统成熟度的两种方法,构建了系统成熟度模型框架,并针对其中一种方法建立了系统成熟度模型。该模型为衡量C4KISR系统的发展水平提供了方法。     

反临近空间高超声速目标拦截弹中末制导交接班窗口

在视线旋转坐标系下建立拦截弹与目标的相对运动方程,分析采用纯比例导引律捕获高超声速目标的充分条件,并推导出在交接班处的最优拦截几何,即零控拦截流型。定性分析了拦截弹速度、高度、导引头特性以及末制导捕获条件等在中末制导交接班时所受到的限制,在此基础上定义了中末制导交接班窗口的概念,并介绍了交接班捕获窗口的影响因素、用途、特性以及计算步骤。以纯比例导引律拦截高速目标为例,定量描述了交接班捕获窗口和零控交接班区域,并通过数字仿真实验验证了交接班捕获窗口的合理性。     

基于型号性能指标的武器装备体系作战能力评估方法

武器装备体系需求方案通常只能给出装备型号的性能指标,性能指标到能力指标的转化和型号能力到体系能力的聚合成为体系评估的关键。为此,提出了从装备型号性能指标出发的武器装备体系作战能力评估方法。首先通过使命任务到能力需求的分析,建立了能力需求指标体系。然后通过建立装备性能与底层能力指标的关联关系,以及各层级能力指标之间聚合关系,得到从武器装备型号的性能指标到武器装备体系作战能力的函数关系,从而完成装备单元能力评估和装备体系子能力评估,最终得到武器装备体系作战能力评估结果。最后,通过一个实例说明该评估方法的具体步骤和可行性。     

基于网络结构的武器装备体系能力分析

现代战争以及从"平台为中心"转向以"网络为中心",强调的是通过各类武器平台通过相互之间的协作配合而形成作战网络来实现体系能力。从宏观和微观两个角度分析了武器装备体系能力的实现机理,构建了武器装备体系的作战网络结构模型,给出了作战网络结构模型中的节点类型和关系类型,提出了能力环的概念,从作战网络结构的角度对武器装备体系的整体能力进行了分析,并给出了具体算例。     

The role and capabilities of major weapon systems transferred between 1950 and 2010: Empirical examinations of an arms transfer data set

Arms transfers provide exporters an avenue to provide security to other states while gaining economic benefits. Arms transfers provide importers an avenue to gain security without having to rely on alliances. Past research uses aggregate measures of the monetary or security value of major weapon system transfers without accounting for strategic differences in possible use in interstate and civil conflict. This article presents a data set on interstate transfers of major weapon systems between 1950 and 2010 building upon Stockholm Peach Research Institute’s Arms Trade Register with several improvements. First, it disaggregates land weapons and air weapons into categories reflecting their strategic capabilities. Second, model level characteristics (e.g. age, speed, and range) are drawn from Jane’s Defence sources. Additionally, the data set covers a larger range of time and states than previous data sets categorizing arms. To demonstrate the usefulness, this article first presents summary statistics of the data set and then replicates an earlier test to show that the effect of human rights and regime types on United States transfers differs across the categories of arms compared to alternative measures of arms transfers.     

Thermal explosion of a reactive gas mixture at constant pressure for non-uniform and uniform temperature systems

In this study, the approximate and exact solutions for the stationary-state of the solids model with neglecting reactant consumption for both non-uniform and uniform temperature systems were applied on gas ignition under a constant pressure condition. The criticality conditions for a slab, an infinite cylinder, and a sphere are determined and discussed using dimensionless temperatures under constant ambient and surface temperatures for a non-uniform temperature system. Exact solution for a Semenov model with convection heat loss was also presented. The solution of the Semenov problem for constant volume or density as a solid and constant pressure were compared. The critical parameter δ is calculated and compared with those of Frank-Kamenetskii solution values. The validation of the calculated ignition temperatures with other exact solution and experimental results were offered. The relation between critical parameters form Semenov and F.K. models solution was introduced.     

“多极”外交政策下的俄罗斯对印度军售现状分析与前景

俄印是传统友好国家,俄罗斯也是印度最大的武器和军事装备供应国。在俄奉行"多极"外交政策的背景下,同时印度作为世界最大的武器和军事装备进口国,其军火市场受到多方觊觎,俄对印军售也面临着严峻的挑战。俄专家认为,"俄中印"战略大三角的构想应做出调整,且"多极"外交政策无助于加强俄罗斯与印度关系。文章分析和预测了俄对印的军售现状和前景。俄印这两个传统与新兴大国间的军事技术乃至政治-军事合作,已经和继续对亚太地区乃至全球政治格局施加重大影响。     

STRENGTHENING THE SECOND LINE OF DEFENSE

On Nuclear Terrorism, by Michael Levi. Harvard University Press, 2007. 210 pages, $24.95.     

脑机技术发展及其对军事领域的影响

进入新世纪以来,脑机技术作为“会聚技术”领域的核心技术之一,已经引起了欧美发达国家的高度重视．国内外众多著名的大学和科研机构在该领域已经开展了广泛深入的研究,并取得了一系列实质性的进展和丰硕的成果。文章详细介绍脑机技术的发展现状及其军事应用前景,为未来新概念武器的发展提供参考。